College Basketball · MAC · 2026-27
Ball State Cardinals
0-2 · Coach Chris Capko
Power Rankings
#218▼49
Who is best right now.
-6.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -1.3 (#169)
Preseason: #169
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
13-18
- Conference record
- 9-13
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.5
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #169 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #296 in the country (-12.6), 12-19.
- →17% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Zaon Collins (Fresno State, 11.6 ppg), K'Jei Parker (Massachusetts, 10.7 ppg), Sean Blake (Vermont, 9.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Kai McGrew (#282), Kamden McGilveary (#294).
- →Lost Armoni Zeigler (12.5 ppg, now at Boston College), Davion Hill (14 ppg, now at San Diego), Elmore James IV (7.8 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Ball State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason JonesF · Senior · #2352 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 4.5 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 27.3 (3-11) | 12.5 (1-8) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Sean BlakeG · Junior · #1345 ranked | 2 · 1 | 27.5 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 40.9 (9-22) | 0.0 (0-3) | 63.6 (7-11) |
| K'Jei ParkerG · Senior · #1428 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 29.2 (7-24) | 18.8 (3-16) | — (0-0) |
| Javion Guy-KingG · Senior · #959 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.5 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (8-16) | 33.3 (3-9) | 66.7 (8-12) |
| Trey LewisG · Senior · #2782 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 (3-15) | 0.0 (0-7) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Kai McGrewF · Freshman · #3211 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-2) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Jaden SmithC · Junior · #1905 ranked | 1 · 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Joey HartG · Senior · #1861 ranked | 1 · 0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Aaron FineG · Junior · #1530 ranked | 2 · 1 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Babatunde DurodolaF · Junior · #1231 ranked | 1 · 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Jazz Henderson Jr.G · Junior · #1707 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Kamden McGilvearyG · Freshman · #3565 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason JonesF · Senior |  Returning | 28 | 4.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Zaon CollinsG · Senior |  Transfer from Fresno State | 26 | 11.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.6 ast |
| Sean BlakeG · Junior |  Transfer from Vermont | 24 | 9.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.9 ast |
| Javion Guy-KingG · Senior |  Transfer from Central Arkansas | 23 | 9.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.8 ast |
| K'Jei ParkerG · Senior |  Transfer from Massachusetts | 22 | 10.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2 ast |
| Babatunde DurodolaF · Junior |  Transfer from Temple | 22 | 4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Trey LewisG · Senior |  Transfer from Western Michigan | 19 | 7.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Jaden SmithC · Junior |  Transfer from Saint Joseph's | 17 | 2.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Jazz Henderson Jr.G · Junior |  Transfer from Texas Tech | 13 | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Aaron FineG · Junior |  Transfer from Purdue | 12 | 1.2 pts · 0 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Kamden McGilvearyG · Freshman | Freshman · #294 recruit | 8 | — |
| Kai McGrewF · Freshman | Freshman · #282 recruit | 8 | — |
| Joey HartG · Senior | Returning | 7 | 9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast |
Gone from last season: Armoni Zeigler (12.5 ppg, to 
Boston College), Davion Hill (14 ppg, to 
San Diego), Elmore James IV (7.8 ppg), Devon Barnes (9.1 ppg), Preston Copeland (4.6 ppg, to 
Miami (OH)), Kayden Fish (7.2 ppg, to 
Belmont)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | Zaon Collins | Transfer from Fresno State | G | Senior | 6-1 · 165 | Las Vegas, NV | Hasn't played | 11.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.6 ast (26 G) | #690 · +0.66 |
| 2 | Javion Guy-King | Transfer from Central Arkansas | G | Senior | 6-6 · 225 | Little Rock, AR | 13.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 9.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.8 ast (32 G) | #959 · +0.40 |
| 11 | Babatunde Durodola | Transfer from Temple | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Toronto, CA | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G) | #1231 · +0.24 |
| 0 | Sean Blake | Transfer from Vermont | G | Junior | 6-2 · 190 | Mississauga, AB | 12.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.9 ast (34 G) | #1345 · +0.17 |
| 5 | K'Jei Parker | Transfer from Massachusetts | G | Senior | 6-2 · 190 | Lakeland, FL | 8.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.0 ast (33 G) | #1428 · +0.13 |
| 3 | Aaron Fine | Transfer from Purdue | G | Junior | 6-2 · 200 | Noblesville, IN | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.2 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.3 ast (9 G) | #1530 · +0.08 |
| 4 | Jazz Henderson Jr. | Transfer from Texas Tech | G | Junior | 5-11 · 185 | Dallas, TX | 2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (13 G) | #1707 · +0.01 |
| 20 | Joey Hart | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Linton, IN | 6.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 9.0 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.0 ast (4 G) | #1861 · -0.06 |
| 7 | Jaden Smith | Transfer from Saint Joseph's | C | Junior | 6-11 · 220 | Chicago, IL | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast (36 G) | #1905 · -0.08 |
| 24 | Mason Jones | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Valparaiso, IN | 4.5 pts · 10.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.7 ast (31 G) | #2352 · -0.25 |
| 1 | Trey Lewis | Transfer from Western Michigan | G | Senior | 6-6 · 195 | Ferndale, MI | 4.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast (31 G) | #2782 · -0.41 |
| 25 | Kai McGrew | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 220 | Indianapolis, IN | 6.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3211 · -0.58 |
| 6 | Kamden McGilveary | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3565 · -0.74 |
| 33 | Kijani Wright | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Los Angeles, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atGeorgia Southern | L55-67Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsIndiana State | L66-69Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | vsBrescia(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 13 |  atSMU | Projected 65-81BALL: 8% to winBall State: 8% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atFlorida State | Projected 64-85BALL: 4% to winBall State: 4% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 | vsSpalding(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 28 |  atSouthern Indiana | Projected 67-66BALL: 55% to winBall State: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  atAkronConference | Projected 64-80BALL: 8% to winBall State: 8% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsEastern MichiganConference | Projected 68-65BALL: 61% to winBall State: 61% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsEvansville | Projected 72-64BALL: 76% to winBall State: 76% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsOhioConference | Projected 72-73BALL: 49% to winBall State: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 | atMiami (OH)Conference | Projected 65-79BALL: 11% to winBall State: 11% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 | vsEast West(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | atMassachusettsConference | Projected 66-71BALL: 32% to winBall State: 32% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  vsKent StateConference | Projected 73-72BALL: 51% to winBall State: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsCentral MichiganConference | Projected 74-66BALL: 76% to winBall State: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atBowling GreenConference | Projected 65-74BALL: 24% to winBall State: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 | atWestern MichiganConference | Projected 65-70BALL: 33% to winBall State: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsToledoConference | Projected 69-71BALL: 44% to winBall State: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 | atEastern MichiganConference | Projected 65-68BALL: 41% to winBall State: 41% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 | atKent StateConference | Projected 70-76BALL: 30% to winBall State: 30% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsBuffaloConference | Projected 72-68BALL: 62% to winBall State: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 | vsBowling GreenConference | Projected 69-70BALL: 44% to winBall State: 44% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | atToledoConference | Projected 66-74BALL: 24% to winBall State: 24% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsMiami (OH)Conference | Projected 68-76BALL: 25% to winBall State: 25% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 | vsMassachusettsConference | Projected 69-68BALL: 52% to winBall State: 52% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atOhioConference | Projected 69-75BALL: 29% to winBall State: 29% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 | vsWestern MichiganConference | Projected 68-67BALL: 53% to winBall State: 53% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsAkronConference | Projected 67-77BALL: 20% to winBall State: 20% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atBuffaloConference | Projected 69-71BALL: 41% to winBall State: 41% to win Compare |
| Mar 5 | atCentral MichiganConference | Projected 71-69BALL: 57% to winBall State: 57% to win Compare |
MAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akron | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Bowling Green | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Ohio | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Central Michigan | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Massachusetts | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Western Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Toledo | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 11 | Ball State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Buffalo | 0-0 | 0-2 |