Power Rankings
#80▼3
Who is best right now.
+12.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +12.1 (#77)
Preseason: #76
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
26-5
- Conference record
- 18-4
- Conference title
- 70%
- Outright title
- 56%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #76 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #67 in the country (+13.2), 29-6.
- →26% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Kamrin Oriol (North Florida, 20.9 ppg), Tahj Staveskie (Incarnate Word, 17.3 ppg), Ty Pence (Illinois State, 9.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Tavari Johnson (19.7 ppg, now at Charleston), Shammah Scott (12.9 ppg), Amani Lyles (14.9 ppg, now at Cincinnati).
- →New head coach: Dustin Ford, replacing John Groce. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Akron
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj StaveskieG · Senior · #1209 ranked | 1 · 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 31.2 (5-16) | 33.3 (5-15) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Ty PenceG · Senior · #435 ranked | 1 · 1 | 34.0 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (6-12) | 28.6 (2-7) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Evan MahaffeyF · Senior · #63 ranked | 1 · 1 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 75.0 (6-8) | — (0-0) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Zach HalliganF · Junior · #1203 ranked | 1 · 0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Buddy Hammer Jr.F · Senior · #1283 ranked | 1 · 0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Colin WhiteF · Junior · #1418 ranked | 1 · 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 66.7 (2-3) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Kamrin OriolG · Senior · #735 ranked | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Chabi BarreF · Senior · #1195 ranked | 1 · 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Marvin Musiime-KamaliF · Junior · #1153 ranked | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Tai PerkinsG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan MahaffeyF · Senior |  Returning | 30 | 10.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.4 ast |
| Ty PenceG · Senior |  Transfer from Illinois State | 21 | 9.4 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Tahj StaveskieG · Senior |  Transfer from Incarnate Word | 19 | 17.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 4.1 ast |
| Kamrin OriolG · Senior |  Transfer from North Florida | 17 | 20.9 pts · 3 reb · 4.2 ast |
| Max BurtonF · Senior |  Transfer from Western Michigan | 16 | 5.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Buddy Hammer Jr.F · Senior |  Transfer from North Texas | 16 | 4.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Colin WhiteF · Junior |  Transfer from Ohio State | 15 | 0.9 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Zach HalliganF · Junior | Returning | 14 | 2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Marvin Musiime-KamaliF · Junior | Returning | 12 | 2 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Chabi BarreF · Senior | Returning | 7 | 3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Tavari Johnson (19.7 ppg, to 
Charleston), Shammah Scott (12.9 ppg), Amani Lyles (14.9 ppg, to 
Cincinnati), Eric Mahaffey (7.8 ppg, to Cincinnati), Sharron Young (7.2 ppg, to 
Western Kentucky), Bowen Hardman (7.6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evan Mahaffey | Returning | F | Senior | 6-6 · 215 | Cincinnati, OH | 16.0 pts · 11.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 10.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.4 ast (35 G) | #63 · +2.01 |
| 8 | Ty Pence | Transfer from Illinois State | G | Senior | 6-6 · 205 | Saint Joseph, IL | 19.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 9.4 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.6 ast (36 G) | #435 · +0.97 |
| 11 | Kamrin Oriol | Transfer from North Florida | G | Senior | 6-3 · 187 | St. Petersburg, FL | 5.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 20.9 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.2 ast (32 G) | #735 · +0.62 |
| 23 | Marvin Musiime-Kamali | Returning | F | Junior | 6-6 · 195 | Brockton, MA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (35 G) | #1153 · +0.28 |
| 5 | Chabi Barre | Returning | F | Senior | 6-10 · 225 | Cotonou, Benin | 4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.1 ast (17 G) | #1195 · +0.26 |
| 21 | Zach Halligan | Returning | F | Junior | 6-5 · 210 | Uniontown, OH | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast (33 G) | #1203 · +0.25 |
| 2 | Tahj Staveskie | Transfer from Incarnate Word | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Sandusky, OH | 16.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 17.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 4.1 ast (31 G) | #1209 · +0.25 |
| 4 | Buddy Hammer Jr. | Transfer from North Texas | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Westville, OK | 4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 4.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast (29 G) | #1283 · +0.21 |
| 22 | Colin White | Transfer from Ohio State | F | Junior | 6-6 · 220 | Ottawa, OH | 9.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 0.9 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (29 G) | #1418 · +0.14 |
| 10 | Max Burton | Transfer from Western Michigan | F | Senior | 6-10 · 240 | Williamston, MI | Hasn't played | 5.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast (30 G) | #2045 · -0.13 |
| 19 | Devan Christion | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 | Las Vegas, NV | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Exavier Wilson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Columbia, MO | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Josh Henderson | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 170 | Westerville, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | RJ Jones | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 | Cleveland, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Tai Perkins | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 150 | Westerville, OH | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Cody Head | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 195 | Cleveland, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atLouisiana | W75-61Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | vsMuskingum(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 14 |  vsTulane | Projected 88-71AKR: 93% to winAkron: 93% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atBucknell | Projected 87-66AKR: 97% to winAkron: 97% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 | vsWVU Tech(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 23 |  vs (N)Wright StateESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 82-78AKR: 63% to winAkron: 63% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)BelmontESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 80-76AKR: 63% to winAkron: 63% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)App StateESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 78-66AKR: 84% to winAkron: 84% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsBall StateConference | Projected 80-64AKR: 92% to winAkron: 92% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 | vsFrostburg State(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 16 |  atBuffaloConference | Projected 83-72AKR: 82% to winAkron: 82% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsBowling GreenConference | Projected 83-71AKR: 84% to winAkron: 84% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  atMassachusettsConference | Projected 80-72AKR: 74% to winAkron: 74% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 | vsWestern MichiganConference | Projected 82-68AKR: 89% to winAkron: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atOhioConference | Projected 83-76AKR: 72% to winAkron: 72% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 |  vsMiami (OH)Conference | Projected 83-77AKR: 67% to winAkron: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atEastern MichiganConference | Projected 79-69AKR: 81% to winAkron: 81% to win Compare |
| Jan 15 |  atToledoConference | Projected 80-75AKR: 67% to winAkron: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsCentral MichiganConference | Projected 88-67AKR: 97% to winAkron: 97% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 | atMiami (OH)Conference | Projected 79-81AKR: 45% to winAkron: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 | vsOhioConference | Projected 86-73AKR: 87% to winAkron: 87% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | vsMassachusettsConference | Projected 83-69AKR: 88% to winAkron: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 | atWestern MichiganConference | Projected 79-71AKR: 74% to winAkron: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | vsBuffaloConference | Projected 86-69AKR: 93% to winAkron: 93% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atKent StateConference | Projected 84-77AKR: 73% to winAkron: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 | atBowling GreenConference | Projected 79-75AKR: 66% to winAkron: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsEastern MichiganConference | Projected 82-65AKR: 92% to winAkron: 92% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 | vsToledoConference | Projected 83-72AKR: 84% to winAkron: 84% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atBall StateConference | Projected 77-67AKR: 80% to winAkron: 80% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atCentral MichiganConference | Projected 85-70AKR: 91% to winAkron: 91% to win Compare |
| Mar 5 | vsKent StateConference | Projected 87-73AKR: 88% to winAkron: 88% to win Compare |
MAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akron | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Bowling Green | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Ohio | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Central Michigan | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Massachusetts | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Western Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Toledo | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 11 | Ball State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Buffalo | 0-0 | 0-2 |