College Basketball · SEC · 2026-27
Mississippi State Bulldogs
2-0 · Coach Chris Jans
Power Rankings
#75▲19
Who is best right now.
+14.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +9.9 (#94)
Preseason: #94
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
15-16
- Conference record
- 6-12
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #94 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #103 in the country (+7.8), 13-19.
- →21% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by RJ Johnson (Kennesaw State, 14.4 ppg), ND Okafor (Washington State, 11 ppg), Tajuan Simpkins (Seton Hall, 9.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Tristan Reed (#71), Willie Burnett III (#96), Jalyn Collingwood (#128).
- →Lost Jayden Epps (13.7 ppg), Shawn Jones Jr. (5.3 ppg), Ja'Borri McGhee (8.4 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Mississippi State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh HubbardG · Senior · #246 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 52.4 (11-21) | 60.0 (6-10) | 85.7 (12-14) |
| Tajuan SimpkinsG · Senior · #654 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.0 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 46.7 (7-15) | 33.3 (2-6) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Kimani HamiltonF · Senior · #318 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 0.0 (0-3) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Thomas BassongF · Sophomore · #770 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 53.8 (7-13) | 0.0 (0-3) | 72.7 (8-11) |
| RJ JohnsonG · Senior · #657 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 30.8 (4-13) | 37.5 (3-8) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| King GraceG · Sophomore · #1325 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 65.0 (13-20) | 60.0 (6-10) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jalyn CollingwoodG · Freshman · #2033 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 25.0 (1-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Kendyl SandersF · Sophomore · #1727 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 50.0 (2-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Willie Burnett IIIG · Freshman · #1823 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-3) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| ND OkaforC · Senior · #752 ranked | 2 · 2 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Tristan ReedC · Freshman · #1015 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 37.5 (3-8) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Tee BartlettC · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Ashton MageeG · Sophomore · #2949 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Gai CholC · Senior | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh HubbardG · Senior |  Returning | 32 | 22.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.6 ast |
| Tajuan SimpkinsG · Senior |  Transfer from Seton Hall | 24 | 9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.2 ast |
| RJ JohnsonG · Senior |  Transfer from Kennesaw State | 21 | 14.4 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast |
| ND OkaforC · Senior |  Transfer from Washington State | 20 | 11 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Thomas BassongF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Florida State | 20 | 5.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Kendyl SandersF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Utah | 18 | 5.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Ashton MageeG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Southern | 14 | 3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast |
| King GraceG · Sophomore | Returning | 12 | 5.1 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Willie Burnett IIIG · Freshman | Freshman · #96 recruit | 11 | — |
| Tristan ReedC · Freshman | Freshman · #71 recruit | 11 | — |
| Jalyn CollingwoodG · Freshman | Freshman · #128 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Jayden Epps (13.7 ppg), Shawn Jones Jr. (5.3 ppg), Ja'Borri McGhee (8.4 ppg), Quincy Ballard (6.5 ppg), Jamarion Davis-Fleming (3.7 ppg, to 
Alabama), Sergej Macura (5 ppg, to 
UCLA)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Josh Hubbard | Returning | G | Senior | 6-0 · 190 | Madison, MS | 20.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G) | 22.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.6 ast (32 G) | #246 · +1.29 |
| 5 | Kimani Hamilton |  Transfer from UNLV | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Jackson, MS | 7.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 12.8 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.3 ast (35 G) | #318 · +1.17 |
| 2 | Tajuan Simpkins | Transfer from Seton Hall | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Brooklyn, NY | 10.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.2 ast (33 G) | #654 · +0.71 |
| 11 | RJ Johnson | Transfer from Kennesaw State | G | Senior | 6-4 · 225 | Huntsville, AL | 7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 14.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.9 ast (34 G) | #657 · +0.70 |
| 22 | ND Okafor | Transfer from Washington State | C | Senior | 6-10 · 255 | Dundalk, Ireland | 2.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 11.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #752 · +0.60 |
| 21 | Thomas Bassong | Transfer from Florida State | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Paris, France | 11.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.4 ast (33 G) | #770 · +0.58 |
| 33 | Tristan Reed | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-10 · 250 | St. Louis, MO | 4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1015 · +0.37 |
| 1 | King Grace | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 205 | Dallas, TX | 17.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast (24 G) | #1325 · +0.19 |
| 13 | Kendyl Sanders | Transfer from Utah | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Los Angeles, CA | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 5.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.7 ast (32 G) | #1727 · 0.00 |
| 99 | Willie Burnett III | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 190 | Melbourne, FL | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1823 · -0.05 |
| 0 | Jalyn Collingwood | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-7 · 215 | Riverdale, MD | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2033 · -0.13 |
| 24 | Ashton Magee | Transfer from Southern | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 210 | Laurel, MS | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 3.0 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast (31 G) | #2949 · -0.47 |
| 8 | Cameren Paul | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 210 | Grand Prairie, TX | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Tee Bartlett | Returning | C | Sophomore | 6-11 · 270 | Los Angeles, CA | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 34 | Gai Chol | Returning | C | Senior | 7-0 · 245 | Juba, South Sudan | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Trevor Reed | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-8 · 230 | St. Louis, MO | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsTennessee Tech | W106-88Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsNorthwestern State | W82-44Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsJackson State | Projected 90-65MSST: 98% to winMississippi State: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vs (N)XavierGreenbrier Tip-Off | Projected 76-81MSST: 33% to winMississippi State: 33% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atUCF | Projected 80-82MSST: 44% to winMississippi State: 44% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vs (N)Tulsa | Projected 81-79MSST: 54% to winMississippi State: 54% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)Wake ForestBattle 4 Atlantis - Championship Bracket | Projected 79-75MSST: 65% to winMississippi State: 65% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 | Battle 4 Atlantis - Championship BracketChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 2 |  vsGeorgia TechACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 84-74MSST: 80% to winMississippi State: 80% to win Compare |
| Dec 7 |  vsAlabama A&M | Projected 87-64MSST: 98% to winMississippi State: 98% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atMarquette | Projected 70-80MSST: 21% to winMississippi State: 21% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 93-58MSST: 99% to winMississippi State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)VCU | Projected 79-81MSST: 44% to winMississippi State: 44% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 |  vsCampbell | Projected 88-67MSST: 96% to winMississippi State: 96% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 | vs#22AlabamaConference | Projected 82-87MSST: 34% to winMississippi State: 34% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  at#8VanderbiltConference · Flex Game: 1/5 or 1/6 | Projected 69-84MSST: 11% to winMississippi State: 11% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atOklahomaConference | Projected 76-78MSST: 42% to winMississippi State: 42% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vs#2FloridaConference · Flex Game: 1/12 or 1/13 | Projected 73-85MSST: 14% to winMississippi State: 14% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atGeorgiaConference | Projected 79-84MSST: 32% to winMississippi State: 32% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsKentuckyConference · Flex Game: 1/19 or 1/20 | Projected 78-79MSST: 46% to winMississippi State: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsSouth CarolinaConference | Projected 79-73MSST: 70% to winMississippi State: 70% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  atAuburnConference · Flex Game: 1/26 or 1/27 | Projected 75-83MSST: 24% to winMississippi State: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  at#18ArkansasConference | Projected 76-88MSST: 14% to winMississippi State: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  vsMissouriConference · Flex Game: 2/2 or 2/3 | Projected 78-80MSST: 45% to winMississippi State: 45% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsTexas A&MConference | Projected 80-82MSST: 44% to winMississippi State: 44% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atOle MissConference | Projected 73-82MSST: 22% to winMississippi State: 22% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 | at#22AlabamaConference · Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | Projected 79-90MSST: 16% to winMississippi State: 16% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vsLSUConference | Projected 78-77MSST: 56% to winMississippi State: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  vs#14TexasConference · Flex Game: 2/23 or 2/24 | Projected 77-83MSST: 29% to winMississippi State: 29% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atSouth CarolinaConference | Projected 76-77MSST: 50% to winMississippi State: 50% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  at#12TennesseeConference · Flex Game: 3/2 or 3/3 | Projected 70-83MSST: 13% to winMississippi State: 13% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vsOle MissConference | Projected 76-79MSST: 41% to winMississippi State: 41% to win Compare |
SEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Texas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Arkansas | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Alabama | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Auburn | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Kentucky | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Georgia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | LSU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 15 | Missouri | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | 0-0 | 1-1 |