Power Rankings
#36▲11
Who is best right now.
+21.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +18.0 (#47)
Preseason: #47
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
19-11
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #47 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #36 in the country (+21.4), 22-16.
- →35% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Adam Olsen (South Alabama, 16.6 ppg), Thomas Dowd (Troy, 14.4 ppg), Bukky Oboye (Santa Clara, 7.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Caleb Williams (#220).
- →Lost Keyshawn Hall (19.3 ppg, now at St. John's), Sebastian Williams-Adams (7 ppg, now at Vanderbilt), Elyjah Freeman (9.2 ppg, now at Texas).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Auburn
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas DowdF · Senior · #139 ranked | 1 · 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 66.7 (2-3) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Kevin OvertonG · Senior · #278 ranked | 1 · 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 80.0 (4-5) | — (0-0) |
| Tahaad PettifordG · Junior · #285 ranked | 1 · 1 | 22.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 31.6 (6-19) | 16.7 (1-6) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Adam OlsenF · Senior · #844 ranked | 1 · 0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Bukky OboyeC · Senior · #224 ranked | 1 · 0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Narcisse NgoyC | 1 · 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (4-6) | — (0-0) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Caleb WilliamsG · Freshman · #2517 ranked | 1 · 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| George Kimble IIIG · Senior | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Kolby KingG · Senior · #333 ranked | 1 · 0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Owen FreemanF · Senior · #513 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 100.0 (1-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Simon WalkerG · Sophomore · #1650 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Drake CardwellG · Junior · #1888 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Blake MuschalekG · Senior · #1567 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jeremiah BowmanF · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin OvertonG · Senior |  Returning | 30 | 14.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Tahaad PettifordG · Junior | Returning | 30 | 15.4 pts · 3 reb · 3.8 ast |
| Thomas DowdF · Senior |  Transfer from Troy | 21 | 14.4 pts · 10.1 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Kolby KingG · Senior |  Transfer from Utah State | 20 | 7.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Bukky OboyeC · Senior |  Transfer from Santa Clara | 19 | 7.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Adam OlsenF · Senior |  Transfer from South Alabama | 17 | 16.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Owen FreemanF · Senior |  Transfer from Creighton | 15 | 5 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Caleb WilliamsG · Freshman | Freshman · #220 recruit | 8 | — |
| Blake MuschalekG · Senior | Returning | 8 | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Simon WalkerG · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Drake CardwellG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Keyshawn Hall (19.3 ppg, to 
St. John's), Sebastian Williams-Adams (7 ppg, to 
Vanderbilt), Elyjah Freeman (9.2 ppg, to 
Texas), KeShawn Murphy (10.7 ppg), Filip Jović (6.3 ppg, to 
UCLA), Kaden Magwood (3.5 ppg, to 
Murray State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thomas Dowd | Transfer from Troy | F | Senior | 6-8 · 235 | Dothan, AL | 9.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 14.4 pts · 10.1 reb · 2.1 ast (34 G) | #139 · +1.64 |
| 12 | Bukky Oboye | Transfer from Santa Clara | C | Senior | 7-1 · 230 | Houston, TX | 4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 7.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.6 ast (34 G) | #224 · +1.35 |
| 1 | Kevin Overton | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 205 | Oklahoma City, OK | 12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 14.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast (38 G) | #278 · +1.24 |
| 0 | Tahaad Pettiford | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 180 | Jersey City, NJ | 18.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | 15.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.8 ast (38 G) | #285 · +1.21 |
| 4 | Kolby King | Transfer from Utah State | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Pompano Beach, FL | 12.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 7.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.6 ast (36 G) | #333 · +1.15 |
| 8 | Owen Freeman | Transfer from Creighton | F | Senior | 6-10 · 245 | Moline, IL | 7.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.9 ast (26 G) | #513 · +0.86 |
| 24 | Adam Olsen | Transfer from South Alabama | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Surrey, BC | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 16.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.9 ast (31 G) | #844 · +0.51 |
| 21 | Blake Muschalek | Returning | G | Senior | 6-3 · 205 | Dallas, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast (27 G) | #1567 · +0.06 |
| 10 | Simon Walker | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 210 | Huntsville, AL | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (13 G) | #1650 · +0.03 |
| 7 | Drake Cardwell | Returning | G | Junior | 6-5 · 210 | Augusta, GA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #1888 · -0.07 |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 210 | Tampa, FL | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2517 · -0.30 |
| 20 | Jeremiah Bowman | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 225 | Glassboro, NJ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Bradley Pearson | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 160 | Auburn, AL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Joah Shay | Returning | G | Junior | 5-6 · 145 | Winston-Salem, NC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | George Kimble III | Transfer from Vanderbilt | G | Senior | 6-1 · 200 | Tampa, FL | 10.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 94 | Narcisse Ngoy | New to Division I | C | 7-0 · 280 | Champigny-sur-Marne, France | 10.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 4 |  vsSE Louisiana | W92-59Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsApp State | Projected 82-62AUB: 96% to winAuburn: 96% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vs#10Arizona | Projected 79-82AUB: 41% to winAuburn: 41% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vs (N)#25West VirginiaPlayers Era 8 | Projected 73-74AUB: 46% to winAuburn: 46% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 | Players Era 8Round 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 19 | Players Era 8Championship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 24 |  vsLipscomb | Projected 89-67AUB: 97% to winAuburn: 97% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  atClemsonACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 77-76AUB: 55% to winAuburn: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  vsEastern Kentucky | Projected 91-64AUB: 99% to winAuburn: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 |  vsAlabama State | Projected 93-63AUB: 99% to winAuburn: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vs (N)Middle TennesseeRocket City Classic | Projected 84-65AUB: 95% to winAuburn: 95% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)WisconsinBad Boy Mowers Series | Projected 79-75AUB: 64% to winAuburn: 64% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsLehigh | Projected 86-63AUB: 98% to winAuburn: 98% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsMorgan State | Projected 94-62AUB: 99% to winAuburn: 99% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atTexas A&MConference | Projected 79-82AUB: 39% to winAuburn: 39% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vs#12TennesseeConference · Flex Game: 1/5 or 1/6 | Projected 75-77AUB: 43% to winAuburn: 43% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsGeorgiaConference | Projected 84-78AUB: 71% to winAuburn: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 | at#14TexasConference · Flex Game: 1/12 or 1/13 | Projected 75-83AUB: 25% to winAuburn: 25% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsOle MissConference | Projected 78-76AUB: 58% to winAuburn: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 | at#8VanderbiltConference · Flex Game: 1/19 or 1/20 | Projected 71-81AUB: 21% to winAuburn: 21% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atLSUConference | Projected 78-77AUB: 51% to winAuburn: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  vsMississippi StateConference · Flex Game: 1/26 or 1/27 | Projected 83-75AUB: 76% to winAuburn: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  at#22AlabamaConference | Projected 81-87AUB: 29% to winAuburn: 29% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsOklahomaConference | Projected 81-72AUB: 77% to winAuburn: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vs#2FloridaConference · Flex Game: 2/9 or 2/10 | Projected 75-82AUB: 27% to winAuburn: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atSouth CarolinaConference | Projected 78-73AUB: 66% to winAuburn: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  at#18ArkansasConference · Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | Projected 78-85AUB: 26% to winAuburn: 26% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vsMissouriConference | Projected 80-77AUB: 62% to winAuburn: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsLSUConference · Flex Game: 2/23 or 2/24 | Projected 80-74AUB: 72% to winAuburn: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  atKentuckyConference | Projected 77-80AUB: 41% to winAuburn: 41% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atOle MissConference · Flex Game: 3/2 or 3/3 | Projected 75-79AUB: 36% to winAuburn: 36% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vs#22AlabamaConference | Projected 85-84AUB: 52% to winAuburn: 52% to win Compare |
SEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Texas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Arkansas | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Alabama | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Auburn | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Kentucky | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Georgia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | LSU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 15 | Missouri | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | 0-0 | 1-1 |