Power Rankings
#86▼28
Who is best right now.
+12.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +15.6 (#58)
Preseason: #58
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
15-17
- Conference record
- 5-13
- Conference title
- 0%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.6
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #58 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #56 in the country (+15.7), 21-12.
- →31% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by Dior Johnson (Tarleton State, 24 ppg), Lewis Walker (North Carolina A&T, 18.9 ppg), Isaiah Malone (Florida Gulf Coast, 10.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Ladarius Givan (#242).
- →Lost Themus Fulks (13.9 ppg), Jamichael Stillwell (11.7 ppg, now at Texas Tech), Jordan Burks (13.3 ppg, now at Oklahoma State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UCF
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dior JohnsonG · Senior · #54 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 68.8 (22-32) | 66.7 (6-9) | 82.6 (19-23) |
| Arturo DeanG · Senior · #1430 ranked | 2 · 1 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 35.0 (7-20) | 33.3 (2-6) | 69.2 (9-13) |
| Lewis WalkerF · Sophomore · #370 ranked | 2 · 0 | 26.0 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 40.0 (2-5) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| John BolC · Junior · #473 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 66.7 (4-6) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (4-8) |
| Carmelo PachecoG · Senior · #1637 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Isaiah MaloneF · Senior · #586 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Riley KugelG · Senior · #685 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.5 (4-17) | 0.0 (0-8) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Elijah HulseweC · Senior · #1346 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (7-7) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Cayden VaskoG · Senior · #739 ranked | 2 · 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Mister DeanG · Sophomore · #620 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 100.0 (1-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Jason AsemotaF · Junior · #1933 ranked | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-4) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jahda SwannG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Churchill AbassF · Senior · #853 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley KugelG · Senior |  Returning | 26 | 14.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast |
| John BolC · Junior | Returning | 20 | 5.9 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Lewis WalkerF · Sophomore |  Transfer from North Carolina A&T | 18 | 18.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast |
| Cayden VaskoG · Senior |  Transfer from Wofford | 18 | 10.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.1 ast |
| Isaiah MaloneF · Senior |  Transfer from Florida Gulf Coast | 17 | 10.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Churchill AbassF · Senior |  Transfer from New Orleans | 17 | 8.4 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Dior JohnsonG · Senior |  Transfer from Tarleton State | 16 | 24 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Carmelo PachecoG · Senior | Returning | 16 | 4.6 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Jason AsemotaF · Junior |  Transfer from Boston College | 13 | 3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Mister DeanG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Charleston | 12 | 10.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 3 ast |
| Ladarius GivanF · Freshman | Freshman · #242 recruit | 8 | — |
| Elijah HulseweC · Senior | Returning | 7 | 1.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Themus Fulks (13.9 ppg), Jamichael Stillwell (11.7 ppg, to 
Texas Tech), Jordan Burks (13.3 ppg, to 
Oklahoma State), Devan Cambridge (5.4 ppg), Chris Johnson (6.2 ppg, to 
Oregon State), Jeremy Foumena (3.5 ppg, to 
UNLV)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dior Johnson | Transfer from Tarleton State | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Kingston, NY | 34.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 24.0 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.6 ast (20 G) | #54 · +2.07 |
| 5 | Lewis Walker | Transfer from North Carolina A&T | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 230 | Winston-Salem, NC | 12.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 18.9 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.8 ast (29 G) | #370 · +1.08 |
| 7 | John Bol | Returning | C | Junior | 7-2 · 235 | Boma, South Sudan | 6.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 5.9 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.3 ast (33 G) | #473 · +0.91 |
| 32 | Isaiah Malone | Transfer from Florida Gulf Coast | F | Senior | 6-9 · 220 | Lagrange, IN | 5.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.5 ast (34 G) | #586 · +0.78 |
| 3 | Mister Dean | Transfer from Charleston | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 200 | Miami, FL | 3.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.0 ast (3 G) | #620 · +0.74 |
| 8 | Riley Kugel | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Orlando, FL | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 14.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast (31 G) | #685 · +0.67 |
| 0 | Cayden Vasko | Transfer from Wofford | G | Senior | 6-6 · 190 | Lowell, IN | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.1 ast (32 G) | #739 · +0.62 |
| 9 | Churchill Abass | Transfer from New Orleans | F | Senior | 6-9 · 235 | Edo State, Nigeria | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 8.4 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #853 · +0.50 |
| 19 | Elijah Hulsewe | Returning | C | Senior | 7-0 · 260 | Orlando, FL | 7.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast (17 G) | #1346 · +0.17 |
| 2 | Arturo Dean | New to Division I | G | Senior | 5-11 · 165 | Miami, FL | 12.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1430 · +0.13 |
| 24 | Carmelo Pacheco | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 215 | Harrisonburg, VA | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.6 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G) | #1637 · +0.04 |
| 55 | Jason Asemota | Transfer from Boston College | F | Junior | 6-8 · 205 | Lynn, MA | 1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.1 ast (21 G) | #1933 · -0.09 |
| 4 | Ladarius Givan | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 235 | Montgomery, AL | Hasn't played | — | #3307 · -0.62 |
| 11 | Dylan Mann | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 210 | Pittsboro, NC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 12 | Jahda Swann | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 190 | Brooklyn, NY | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 30 | Tanner Jones | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Memphis, TN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsFlorida Gulf Coast | W96-95Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsYale | W87-75Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsSouth Alabama | Projected 87-67UCF: 95% to winUCF: 95% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsGeorgia Southern | Projected 90-71UCF: 95% to winUCF: 95% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsMississippi State | Projected 82-80UCF: 56% to winUCF: 56% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  at#8Vanderbilt | Projected 70-86UCF: 9% to winUCF: 9% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | vs (N)Boston CollegeESPN Events Invitational - Magic Bracket | Projected 74-76UCF: 42% to winUCF: 42% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)GeorgiaESPN Events Invitational - Magic Bracket | Projected 81-85UCF: 38% to winUCF: 38% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  vsJacksonville | Projected 84-69UCF: 91% to winUCF: 91% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  vsAmerican University | Projected 85-72UCF: 87% to winUCF: 87% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atIndianaBad Boy Mowers Series | Projected 75-85UCF: 20% to winUCF: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsFlorida International | Projected 89-75UCF: 90% to winUCF: 90% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)Virginia Tech | Projected 77-82UCF: 32% to winUCF: 32% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsTowson | Projected 82-68UCF: 90% to winUCF: 90% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsUtahConference | Projected 81-72UCF: 77% to winUCF: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  at#10ArizonaConference | Projected 75-91UCF: 9% to winUCF: 9% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atArizona StateConference | Projected 77-83UCF: 32% to winUCF: 32% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsBaylorConference | Projected 81-83UCF: 43% to winUCF: 43% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  at#3KansasConference | Projected 70-89UCF: 5% to winUCF: 5% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsColoradoConference | Projected 82-78UCF: 61% to winUCF: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vs#16Iowa StateConference | Projected 75-83UCF: 26% to winUCF: 26% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | at#17Texas TechConference | Projected 69-83UCF: 12% to winUCF: 12% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  vs#25West VirginiaConference | Projected 74-78UCF: 35% to winUCF: 35% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atBaylorConference | Projected 78-86UCF: 23% to winUCF: 23% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 |  vs#5HoustonConference | Projected 72-82UCF: 19% to winUCF: 19% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  at#21CincinnatiConference | Projected 71-83UCF: 14% to winUCF: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 | at#25West VirginiaConference | Projected 71-81UCF: 18% to winUCF: 18% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vs#17Texas TechConference | Projected 72-80UCF: 27% to winUCF: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atOklahoma StateConference | Projected 78-89UCF: 17% to winUCF: 17% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  vs#15BYUConference | Projected 81-88UCF: 25% to winUCF: 25% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 |  vsKansas StateConference | Projected 85-79UCF: 70% to winUCF: 70% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 |  atTCUConference | Projected 74-85UCF: 19% to winUCF: 19% to win Compare |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Houston | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | BYU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | West Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oklahoma State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | TCU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Baylor | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Arizona State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | UCF | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Utah | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Arizona | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 14 | Iowa State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 15 | Colorado | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Kansas State | 0-0 | 1-1 |