Power Rankings
#14▲7
Who is best right now.
+27.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +24.8 (#21)
Preseason: #21
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-8
- Conference record
- 11-7
- Conference title
- 11%
- Outright title
- 5%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #21 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #35 in the country (+21.6), 21-15.
- →13% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Isaiah Johnson (Colorado, 16.9 ppg), David Punch (TCU, 14.1 ppg), Mikey Lewis (Saint Mary's, 13.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →4 ranked freshmen: Marcus Spears Jr. (#6), Austin Goosby (#24), Bo Ogden (#48).
- →Lost Dailyn Swain (17.3 ppg), Jordan Pope (13.1 ppg, now at Texas A&M), Tramon Mark (14 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Texas
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin GoosbyG · Freshman · #178 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 50.0 (5-10) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Isaiah JohnsonG · Sophomore · #108 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 60.0 (9-15) | 55.6 (5-9) | 90.9 (10-11) |
| David PunchF · Junior · #65 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 66.7 (8-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Matas VokietaitisC · Junior · #37 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 19.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 88.2 (15-17) | — (0-0) | 57.1 (8-14) |
| Amari EvansG · Sophomore · #564 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 54.5 (6-11) | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) |
| Marcus Spears Jr.F · Freshman · #90 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.5 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 64.3 (9-14) | 0.0 (0-1) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Elyjah FreemanG · Junior · #323 ranked | 2 · 2 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 16.7 (1-6) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Joe SterlingG · Freshman · #1410 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 66.7 (8-12) | 63.6 (7-11) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Bo OgdenG · Freshman · #778 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Lewis ObiorahC · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Coleman ElkinsF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Anthon McDermottG · Junior · #1628 ranked | 2 · 0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Mantas LaurencikasG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matas VokietaitisC · Junior |  Returning | 28 | 15.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Marcus Spears Jr.F · Freshman | Freshman · #6 recruit | 24 | — |
| David PunchF · Junior |  Transfer from TCU | 23 | 14.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 2 ast |
| Mikey LewisG · Junior |  Transfer from Saint Mary's | 22 | 13.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Isaiah JohnsonG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Colorado | 22 | 16.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast |
| Elyjah FreemanG · Junior |  Transfer from Auburn | 22 | 9.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Austin GoosbyG · Freshman | Freshman · #24 recruit | 21 | — |
| Amari EvansG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Tennessee | 18 | 4.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Bo OgdenG · Freshman | Freshman · #48 recruit | 15 | — |
| Joe SterlingG · Freshman | Freshman · #125 recruit | 9 | — |
| Anthon McDermottG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0.9 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
Gone from last season: Dailyn Swain (17.3 ppg), Jordan Pope (13.1 ppg, to 
Texas A&M), Tramon Mark (14 ppg), Camden Heide (5.9 ppg, to 
South Carolina), Chendall Weaver (5.8 ppg, to 
Houston), Simeon Wilcher (5.6 ppg, to 
Seton Hall)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matas Vokietaitis | Returning | C | Junior | 7-0 · 255 | Marijampole, Lithuania | 19.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.6 ast (36 G) | #37 · +2.30 |
| 13 | David Punch | Transfer from TCU | F | Junior | 6-7 · 245 | Harker Heights, TX | 9.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 14.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 2.0 ast (34 G) | #65 · +1.99 |
| 31 | Marcus Spears Jr. | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 206 | Frisco, TX | 12.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #90 · +1.89 |
| 2 | Isaiah Johnson | Transfer from Colorado | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 182 | Los Angeles, CA | 16.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 16.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.0 ast (32 G) | #108 · +1.79 |
| 10 | Austin Goosby | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 205 | Melissa, TX | 9.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | — | #178 · +1.49 |
| 6 | Elyjah Freeman | Transfer from Auburn | G | Junior | 6-8 · 205 | Palm Beach, FL | 7.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 9.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.2 ast (38 G) | #323 · +1.16 |
| 0 | Mikey Lewis | Transfer from Saint Mary's | G | Junior | 6-3 · 195 | Oakland, CA | Hasn't played | 13.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.1 ast (33 G) | #451 · +0.94 |
| 1 | Amari Evans | Transfer from Tennessee | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 220 | Pittsburgh, PA | 7.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 4.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast (35 G) | #564 · +0.80 |
| 5 | Bo Ogden | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 215 | Austin, TX | 4.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #778 · +0.57 |
| 3 | Joe Sterling | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 205 | Los Angeles, CA | 13.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1410 · +0.14 |
| 33 | Anthon McDermott | Returning | G | Junior | 6-5 · 200 | Longview, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.9 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast (7 G) | #1628 · +0.04 |
| 4 | Coleman Elkins | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 235 | Austin, TX | 4.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 25 | Mantas Laurencikas | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 210 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | John Clark | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 245 | Houston, TX | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Lewis Obiorah | Returning | C | Sophomore | 7-1 · 255 | London, England | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsChicago State | W109-59Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsGardner-Webb | W98-50Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsGrambling | Projected 93-63TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vs (N)BaylorSan Antonio Hoops Showdown | Projected 83-78TEX: 70% to winTexas: 70% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vsSouthern Utah | Projected 94-64TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vsSouthern Indiana | Projected 90-59TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 |  vs (N)GeorgetownRady Children's Invitational | Projected 82-72TEX: 80% to winTexas: 80% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 | Rady Children's InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  at#19LouisvilleACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 79-82TEX: 42% to winTexas: 42% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsJackson State | Projected 95-61TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)#23MiamiHouston Hoopfest | Projected 79-76TEX: 59% to winTexas: 59% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsMemphis | Projected 86-74TEX: 85% to winTexas: 85% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vsPrairie View A&M | Projected 92-62TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsEast Texas A&M | Projected 89-61TEX: 99% to winTexas: 99% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vs#2FloridaConference | Projected 78-80TEX: 42% to winTexas: 42% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atGeorgiaConference · Flex Game: 1/5 or 1/6 | Projected 84-79TEX: 65% to winTexas: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atOle MissConference | Projected 78-77TEX: 52% to winTexas: 52% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 | vsAuburnConference · Flex Game: 1/12 or 1/13 | Projected 83-75TEX: 75% to winTexas: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsOklahomaConference | Projected 84-71TEX: 87% to winTexas: 87% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  atLSUConference · Flex Game: 1/19 or 1/20 | Projected 80-75TEX: 67% to winTexas: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vs#18ArkansasConference | Projected 84-80TEX: 63% to winTexas: 63% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | atSouth CarolinaConference · Flex Game: 1/26 or 1/27 | Projected 81-72TEX: 78% to winTexas: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsKentuckyConference | Projected 83-75TEX: 76% to winTexas: 76% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | at#2FloridaConference | Projected 75-83TEX: 23% to winTexas: 23% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vs#22AlabamaConference · Flex Game: 2/9 or 2/10 | Projected 88-82TEX: 68% to winTexas: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  at#8VanderbiltConference | Projected 74-79TEX: 34% to winTexas: 34% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 | vsTexas A&MConference · Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | Projected 86-77TEX: 76% to winTexas: 76% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atOklahomaConference | Projected 81-74TEX: 73% to winTexas: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  atMississippi StateConference · Flex Game: 2/23 or 2/24 | Projected 83-77TEX: 71% to winTexas: 71% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vs#12TennesseeConference | Projected 78-75TEX: 59% to winTexas: 59% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  vsMissouriConference · Flex Game: 3/2 or 3/3 | Projected 83-75TEX: 75% to winTexas: 75% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atTexas A&MConference | Projected 82-81TEX: 56% to winTexas: 56% to win Compare |
SEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Texas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Arkansas | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Alabama | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Auburn | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Kentucky | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Georgia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | LSU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 15 | Missouri | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | 0-0 | 1-1 |