Power Rankings
#2–
Who is best right now.
+35.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +35.1 (#2)
Preseason: #2
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
26-4
- Conference record
- 14-4
- Conference title
- 71%
- Outright title
- 54%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #2 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #6 in the country (+35.9), 27-8.
- →79% of last season's minutes are back.
- →1 transfer in, led by Denzel Aberdeen (Kentucky, 13.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Xaivian Lee (11.6 ppg, now at Gonzaga), Micah Handlogten (4.1 ppg, now at Ole Miss).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Florida
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas HaughF · Senior · #6 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 52.4 (11-21) | 50.0 (6-12) | 50.0 (5-10) |
| Boogie FlandG · Junior · #125 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 33.3 (4-12) | 66.7 (2-3) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Denzel AberdeenG · Senior · #330 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 38.9 (7-18) | 44.4 (4-9) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Rueben ChinyeluC · Senior · #7 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 13.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 66.7 (8-12) | — (0-0) | 64.7 (11-17) |
| Alex CondonF · Senior · #4 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 53.8 (7-13) | 33.3 (1-3) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Urban KlavzarG · Senior · #299 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 45.5 (5-11) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Isaiah BrownG · Junior · #412 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Domen PetrovicF · Junior · #3467 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Alex LloydG · Sophomore · #1356 ranked | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| AJ BrownG · Senior | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Alex KovatchevG · Senior · #1317 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Arturas ButajevasF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Viktor MikicC · Junior · #991 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Jones LayC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas HaughF · Senior |  Returning | 33 | 17.1 pts · 6.1 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Alex CondonF · Senior | Returning | 31 | 15.1 pts · 7.4 reb · 3.6 ast |
| Boogie FlandG · Junior | Returning | 29 | 11.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast |
| Rueben ChinyeluC · Senior | Returning | 27 | 10.9 pts · 11.2 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Urban KlavzarG · Senior | Returning | 21 | 9.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Denzel AberdeenG · Senior |  Transfer from Kentucky | 21 | 13.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast |
| Isaiah BrownG · Junior | Returning | 15 | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast |
| CJ IngramG · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 2.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Alex LloydG · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 1.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Viktor MikicC · Junior | Returning | 6 | 1.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Alex KovatchevG · Senior | Returning | 6 | 0.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Xaivian Lee (11.6 ppg, to 
Gonzaga), Micah Handlogten (4.1 ppg, to 
Ole Miss)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Alex Condon | Returning | F | Senior | 6-11 · 236 | Perth, WA | 11.5 pts · 9.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | 15.1 pts · 7.4 reb · 3.6 ast (34 G) | #4 · +3.65 |
| 10 | Thomas Haugh | Returning | F | Senior | 6-9 · 215 | New Oxford, PA | 16.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 17.1 pts · 6.1 reb · 2.1 ast (34 G) | #6 · +3.31 |
| 9 | Rueben Chinyelu | Returning | C | Senior | 6-10 · 265 | Enugwu-Agidi, Nigeria | 13.5 pts · 11.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 10.9 pts · 11.2 reb · 0.7 ast (35 G) | #7 · +3.23 |
| 0 | Boogie Fland | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 185 | Bronx, NY | 8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 11.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast (35 G) | #125 · +1.70 |
| 7 | Urban Klavzar | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Domzale, Slovenia | 10.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 9.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast (35 G) | #299 · +1.19 |
| 1 | Denzel Aberdeen | Transfer from Kentucky | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Orlando, FL | 9.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast (36 G) | #330 · +1.15 |
| 20 | Isaiah Brown | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 210 | Orlando, FL | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G) | #412 · +1.01 |
| 11 | CJ Ingram | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Hawthorne, FL | Hasn't played | 2.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast (21 G) | #928 · +0.43 |
| 12 | Viktor Mikic | Returning | C | Junior | 6-11 · 260 | Beograd, Serbia | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast (17 G) | #991 · +0.38 |
| 8 | Alex Kovatchev | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 195 | Perth, WA | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (14 G) | #1317 · +0.19 |
| 4 | Alex Lloyd | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 185 | Miami, FL | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast (17 G) | #1356 · +0.17 |
| 19 | Domen Petrovic | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 230 | Ajdovscina, Slovenia | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3467 · -0.70 |
| 25 | Arturas Butajevas | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 235 | Klaipeda, Lithuania | 0.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Jones Lay | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 240 | Tabor City, NC | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | AJ Brown | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 210 | Orlando, FL | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)#23Miami | W77-67Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsJacksonville | W88-57Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  atFlorida State | Projected 86-77FLA: 78% to winFlorida: 78% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsMerrimack | Projected 89-53FLA: 99% to winFlorida: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vs (N)Notre DamePlayers Era 8 | Projected 83-69FLA: 90% to winFlorida: 90% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 | Players Era 8Round 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 19 | Players Era 8Championship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 24 |  vsMilwaukee | Projected 96-59FLA: 99% to winFlorida: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  vs#1DukeACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 78-76FLA: 57% to winFlorida: 57% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  vsVermont | Projected 87-59FLA: 99% to winFlorida: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)Georgia TechHall of Fame Series - Orlando | Projected 90-67FLA: 98% to winFlorida: 98% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  vs (N)Grand CanyonJacksonville Hoops Showdown | Projected 87-74FLA: 87% to winFlorida: 87% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vsFlorida A&M | Projected 98-57FLA: 99% to winFlorida: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsLong Island University | Projected 92-58FLA: 99% to winFlorida: 99% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  at#14TexasConference | Projected 80-78FLA: 58% to winFlorida: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsOklahomaConference · Flex Game: 1/5 or 1/6 | Projected 86-67FLA: 95% to winFlorida: 95% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vs#8VanderbiltConference | Projected 79-72FLA: 74% to winFlorida: 74% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atMississippi StateConference · Flex Game: 1/12 or 1/13 | Projected 85-73FLA: 86% to winFlorida: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  at#22AlabamaConference | Projected 86-81FLA: 66% to winFlorida: 66% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsTexas A&MConference · Flex Game: 1/19 or 1/20 | Projected 87-73FLA: 89% to winFlorida: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atGeorgiaConference | Projected 86-75FLA: 82% to winFlorida: 82% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  at#12TennesseeConference | Projected 76-74FLA: 57% to winFlorida: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 |  vsSouth CarolinaConference · Flex Game: 2/2 or 2/3 | Projected 86-65FLA: 97% to winFlorida: 97% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vs#14TexasConference | Projected 83-75FLA: 78% to winFlorida: 78% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  atAuburnConference · Flex Game: 2/9 or 2/10 | Projected 82-75FLA: 74% to winFlorida: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  vsMissouriConference | Projected 85-71FLA: 88% to winFlorida: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 |  atLSUConference · Flex Game: 2/16 or 2/17 | Projected 82-71FLA: 83% to winFlorida: 83% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsGeorgiaConference | Projected 89-72FLA: 93% to winFlorida: 93% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsOle MissConference · Flex Game: 2/23 or 2/24 | Projected 83-70FLA: 87% to winFlorida: 87% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  at#18ArkansasConference | Projected 83-79FLA: 61% to winFlorida: 61% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atSouth CarolinaConference · Flex Game: 3/2 or 3/3 | Projected 82-68FLA: 90% to winFlorida: 90% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vsKentuckyConference | Projected 85-71FLA: 89% to winFlorida: 89% to win Compare |
SEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Texas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Arkansas | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Alabama | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Auburn | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Kentucky | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Georgia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | LSU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 15 | Missouri | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | 0-0 | 1-1 |