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College Basketball · CUSA · 2026-27

Missouri State Bears

Preseason · Coach Cuonzo Martin

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Preseason Power Rankings

#286▲8

Who is best right now.

-12.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -12.4 (#294)

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

11-19

Conference record
5-13
Conference title
<1%
Outright title
<1%
Luck
+0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #293 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #201 in the country (-3.0), 16-18.
  • →22% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →Lost Kobi Williams (14.4 ppg, now at Tulsa), Keith Palek III (17.3 ppg), Michael Osei-Bonsu (15.3 ppg).

Teams like Missouri State

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Trey Williams Jr.G · Sophomore · #1339 ranked2 · 231.012.53.08.047.4 (9-19)55.6 (5-9)100.0 (2-2)
Andrej AcimovicC · Sophomore2 · 230.027.57.01.065.6 (21-32)42.9 (3-7)62.5 (10-16)
Jordan BlairG · Junior2 · 225.53.05.51.528.6 (2-7)0.0 (0-3)33.3 (2-6)
Melakih CunninghamG · Sophomore · #2149 ranked2 · 024.59.54.52.550.0 (7-14)45.5 (5-11)0.0 (0-2)
Dylan RoweG · Sophomore2 · 220.59.53.02.550.0 (6-12)0.0 (0-3)87.5 (7-8)
Matt GrayF · Senior2 · 020.55.53.01.040.0 (4-10)60.0 (3-5)— (0-0)
Christian ThompsonF · Senior2 · 219.51.56.01.516.7 (1-6)0.0 (0-1)50.0 (1-2)
Ngundeng RueyF · Junior2 · 010.56.52.50.545.5 (5-11)42.9 (3-7)— (0-0)
Leano RolleF · Junior2 · 07.03.01.50.075.0 (3-4)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Cameron BooneF · Senior · #2460 ranked2 · 06.02.01.50.066.7 (2-3)— (0-0)0.0 (0-1)
Dimitar ZetovF · Freshman2 · 03.53.00.01.066.7 (2-3)100.0 (2-2)— (0-0)
Kuol KuolF · Freshman1 · 03.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Trey Williams Jr.G · SophomoreReturning289.4 pts · 2 reb · 3.2 ast
Melakih CunninghamG · SophomoreReturning103.1 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast
Cameron BooneF · SeniorReturning101.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast

Gone from last season: Kobi Williams (14.4 ppg, to Tulsa), Keith Palek III (17.3 ppg), Michael Osei-Bonsu (15.3 ppg), Zaxton King (7.2 ppg, to Illinois State), Antwan Burnett (4.7 ppg), Darrion Sutton (4.6 ppg, to Southeast Missouri State)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
1Trey Williams Jr.ReturningGSophomore6-3 · 180Centralia, IL12.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 8.0 ast (2 G)9.4 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.2 ast (34 G)#1339 · +0.18
5Melakih CunninghamReturningGSophomore6-7 · 196Gary, IN9.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)3.1 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.6 ast (21 G)#2149 · -0.17
20Cameron BooneReturningFSenior6-10 · 240East St. Louis, IL2.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)1.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast (29 G)#2460 · -0.28
4Amare ObaFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 205Henderson, NV——Not ranked yet
25Dimitar ZetovFreshmanFFreshman6-2 · 195Strumica, Macedonia3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
2Kuol KuolFreshmanFFreshman6-11 · 204Abyei, South Sudan0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
15Andrej AcimovicTransfer from IndianaCSophomore6-11 · 255Bijeljina, Bosnia & Herzegovina27.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
6Dylan RoweNew to Division IGSophomore6-4 · 190Madison, MS9.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
7Isaiah MedinaTransfer from DePaulFSophomore7-0 · 245St. Petersburg, FL——Not ranked yet
35Jordan BlairNew to Division IGJunior6-6 · 215Keller, TX3.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
3Kevin Stubblefield Jr.New to Division IGJunior6-5 · 193Omaha, NE——Not ranked yet
21Leano RolleNew to Division IFJunior6-7 · 180Bimini, Bahamas3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
11Ngundeng RueyNew to Division IFJunior6-9 · 205Ottawa, ON6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
23Christian ThompsonNew to Division IFSenior6-9 · 220Homewood, AL1.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
8Matt GrayNew to Division IFSenior6-8 · 215Ashburn, VA5.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 3vsLincoln (MO)(non-D1)W88-60Box score →
Nov 6vsTruman State(non-D1)W79-62Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vsNewman(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 16vsAbilene ChristianProjected 75-72MOST: 62% to win Compare
Nov 21vsDrakeProjected 71-77MOST: 30% to win Compare
Nov 27atOral RobertsProjected 72-73MOST: 46% to win Compare
Nov 30vsLindenwoodProjected 77-73MOST: 64% to win Compare
Dec 3atArkansas StateProjected 71-82MOST: 17% to win Compare
Dec 6vsTulsaProjected 69-83MOST: 11% to win Compare
Dec 12atTarleton StateProjected 69-81MOST: 16% to win Compare
Dec 18vs (N)#16Iowa StateNABC Hall of Fame ClassicProjected 60-87MOST: 1% to win Compare
Dec 21vsUICProjected 66-79MOST: 12% to win Compare
Dec 31atSam HoustonConferenceProjected 70-81MOST: 16% to win Compare
Jan 2atNew Mexico StateConferenceProjected 70-80MOST: 19% to win Compare
Jan 7vsDelawareConferenceProjected 70-71MOST: 47% to win Compare
Jan 9vsLibertyConferenceProjected 70-73MOST: 38% to win Compare
Jan 16atFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 72-81MOST: 20% to win Compare
Jan 21atWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 66-82MOST: 9% to win Compare
Jan 23atMiddle TennesseeConferenceProjected 68-75MOST: 27% to win Compare
Jan 28vsKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 71-78MOST: 28% to win Compare
Jan 30vsJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 70-72MOST: 43% to win Compare
Feb 4atLibertyConferenceProjected 67-76MOST: 20% to win Compare
Feb 6atDelawareConferenceProjected 67-74MOST: 28% to win Compare
Feb 13vsFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 75-78MOST: 39% to win Compare
Feb 18vsMiddle TennesseeConferenceProjected 71-72MOST: 46% to win Compare
Feb 20vsWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 70-79MOST: 22% to win Compare
Feb 25atKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 68-81MOST: 13% to win Compare
Feb 27atJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 67-75MOST: 24% to win Compare
Mar 4vsNew Mexico StateConferenceProjected 73-77MOST: 37% to win Compare
Mar 6vsSam HoustonConferenceProjected 73-78MOST: 34% to win Compare

CUSA standings

No games yet: Power Rankings order until the season tips off.

All conference standings →