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College Basketball · CUSA · 2026-27

New Mexico State Aggies

1-1 · Coach Jason Hooten

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Power Rankings

#177▼42

Who is best right now.

-2.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +2.3 (#135)

Preseason: #135

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

15-15

Conference record
9-9
Conference title
8%
Outright title
4%
Luck
+0.2

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #135 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #174 in the country (-0.8), 16-16.
  • →22% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →6 transfers in, led by DJ Dudley (Louisiana Tech, 13.8 ppg), Gabe Warren (Holy Cross, 12.5 ppg), Jermaine Washington (San José State, 11.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →2 ranked freshmen: Phoenix Woodson (#288), Jachai Cantave (#310).
  • →Lost Jemel Jones (17.8 ppg), Julius Mims (10.6 ppg), Anthony Wrzeszcz (7.3 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like New Mexico State

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Jae'Coby OsborneF · Junior · #1204 ranked2 · 233.58.03.50.077.8 (7-9)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
DJ DudleyG · Senior · #2681 ranked2 · 228.516.03.01.545.5 (10-22)50.0 (6-12)85.7 (6-7)
Mark LavrenovF · Sophomore · #777 ranked2 · 228.018.07.00.041.7 (10-24)25.0 (1-4)88.2 (15-17)
Gabe PickensG · Junior · #2199 ranked2 · 224.03.02.05.016.7 (1-6)0.0 (0-2)100.0 (4-4)
Jermaine WashingtonG · Junior · #2101 ranked2 · 017.07.00.02.062.5 (5-8)40.0 (2-5)50.0 (2-4)
KK RobinsonG · Senior2 · 014.05.52.50.527.3 (3-11)20.0 (1-5)100.0 (4-4)
Phoenix WoodsonF · Freshman · #3503 ranked2 · 013.50.02.00.50.0 (0-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Adrame DiongueC · Senior2 · 013.03.03.00.040.0 (2-5)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
Leopold LevillainF · Sophomore · #1938 ranked2 · 211.54.04.00.042.9 (3-7)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
Caden DeffebaughG · Freshman2 · 010.03.00.50.042.9 (3-7)0.0 (0-2)— (0-0)
Gabe WarrenG · Senior · #1527 ranked1 · 06.06.02.00.050.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)75.0 (3-4)
Jachai CantaveG · Freshman · #3651 ranked1 · 03.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Omarr SmithG · Freshman1 · 03.00.01.00.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-2)— (0-0)
DeLan GrantG · Freshman1 · 02.00.01.00.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Stephon PayneF · SeniorTransfer from Seton Hall245.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.6 ast
Jae'Coby OsborneF · JuniorReturning236 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.6 ast
DJ DudleyG · SeniorTransfer from Louisiana Tech2113.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Mark LavrenovF · SophomoreTransfer from Sacramento State209.9 pts · 7 reb · 0.5 ast
Jermaine WashingtonG · JuniorTransfer from San José State2011.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.9 ast
Gabe PickensG · JuniorReturning204.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.1 ast
Gabe WarrenG · SeniorTransfer from Holy Cross1912.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast
Leopold LevillainF · SophomoreTransfer from Long Beach State184.8 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast
Jachai CantaveG · FreshmanFreshman · #310 recruit8—
Phoenix WoodsonF · FreshmanFreshman · #288 recruit8—

Gone from last season: Jemel Jones (17.8 ppg), Julius Mims (10.6 ppg), Anthony Wrzeszcz (7.3 ppg), Jayland Randall (8.9 ppg), Elijah Elliott (8.3 ppg), Kyrese Mullen (3.8 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
20Stephon PayneTransfer from Seton HallFSenior6-9 · 235Jacksonville, FLHasn't played5.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G)#322 · +1.16
32Mark LavrenovTransfer from Sacramento StateFSophomore6-8 · 220Rocklin, CA18.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)9.9 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.5 ast (31 G)#777 · +0.57
4Jae'Coby OsborneReturningFJunior6-6Navasota, TX8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)6.0 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.6 ast (32 G)#1204 · +0.25
21Gabe WarrenTransfer from Holy CrossGSenior6-6 · 214Plano, TX6.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)12.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (33 G)#1527 · +0.08
24Leopold LevillainTransfer from Long Beach StateFSophomore6-9Montpellier, France4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)4.8 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (30 G)#1938 · -0.09
13Jermaine WashingtonTransfer from San José StateGJunior6-1 · 180Hemet, CA7.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)11.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.9 ast (25 G)#2101 · -0.16
1Gabe PickensReturningGJunior6-0Phoenix, AZ3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G)4.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.1 ast (31 G)#2199 · -0.19
0DJ DudleyTransfer from Louisiana TechGSenior6-3 · 175Okinawa, Japan16.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)13.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.0 ast (34 G)#2681 · -0.37
30Phoenix WoodsonFreshmanFFreshman6-8Edmond, OK0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3503 · -0.72
5Jachai CantaveFreshmanGFreshman6-1Houston, TX0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—#3651 · -0.78
3Caden DeffebaughFreshmanGFreshman6-5Frisco, TX3.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
11DeLan GrantFreshmanGFreshman6-2Los Angeles, CA0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
2Omarr SmithReturningGFreshman6-4Baltimore, MD0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
15Adrame DiongueNew to Division ICSenior7-0 · 200Dakar, Senegal3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
7KK RobinsonTransfer from Little RockGSenior6-0 · 180Little Rock, AR5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 3vsWestern New Mexico(non-D1)W73-66Box score →
Nov 7at#11GonzagaL68-109Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 12atUTEPProjected 75-76NMSU: 47% to win Compare
Nov 15vs (N)San Diego StateCompete 4 Cause ClassicProjected 71-83NMSU: 15% to win Compare
Nov 19vsUTEPProjected 78-72NMSU: 68% to win Compare
Nov 22vs (N)Robert MorrisJacksonville ClassicProjected 75-72NMSU: 60% to win Compare
Nov 24vs (N)OhioJacksonville ClassicProjected 78-79NMSU: 47% to win Compare
Nov 28vsDenverProjected 78-75NMSU: 63% to win Compare
Dec 5atNew MexicoProjected 70-88NMSU: 6% to win Compare
Dec 9atSaint Mary'sProjected 69-87NMSU: 6% to win Compare
Dec 15vsPacificProjected 71-74NMSU: 39% to win Compare
Dec 17vsSouthwest(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 31vsFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 82-78NMSU: 63% to win Compare
Jan 2vsMissouri StateConferenceProjected 80-70NMSU: 81% to win Compare
Jan 7atWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 73-81NMSU: 24% to win Compare
Jan 9atMiddle TennesseeConferenceProjected 74-75NMSU: 49% to win Compare
Jan 14vsJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 76-71NMSU: 66% to win Compare
Jan 16vsKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 79-78NMSU: 51% to win Compare
Jan 23vsSam HoustonConferenceProjected 80-78NMSU: 58% to win Compare
Jan 28atDelawareConferenceProjected 74-75NMSU: 50% to win Compare
Jan 30atLibertyConferenceProjected 73-76NMSU: 40% to win Compare
Feb 4vsMiddle TennesseeConferenceProjected 77-72NMSU: 69% to win Compare
Feb 6vsWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 76-78NMSU: 43% to win Compare
Feb 11atKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 75-81NMSU: 30% to win Compare
Feb 13atJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 73-74NMSU: 46% to win Compare
Feb 20atSam HoustonConferenceProjected 77-81NMSU: 36% to win Compare
Feb 25vsLibertyConferenceProjected 76-73NMSU: 61% to win Compare
Feb 27vsDelawareConferenceProjected 77-71NMSU: 70% to win Compare
Mar 4atMissouri StateConferenceProjected 77-73NMSU: 63% to win Compare
Mar 6atFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 78-81NMSU: 41% to win Compare