
College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
Iowa State Cyclones
1-1 · Coach T.J. Otzelberger
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+27.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +30.8 (#5)
Preseason: #5
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-9
- Conference record
- 11-7
- Conference title
- 7%
- Outright title
- 3%
- Luck
- -0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #5 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #7 in the country (+34.9), 29-8.
- →53% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Jaquan Johnson (Bradley, 16.9 ppg), Ryan Prather Jr. (Robert Morris, 15.9 ppg), Leon Bond III (Northern Iowa, 11.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Dorian Rinaldo-Komlan (#101), Christian Wiggins (#129), Yusef Gray Jr. (#197).
- →Lost Joshua Jefferson (16.4 ppg), Milan Momcilovic (16.9 ppg, now at Kentucky), Nate Heise (5.7 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Iowa State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre SingletonF · Sophomore · #193 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 19.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 62.5 (15-24) | 100.0 (1-1) | 66.7 (8-12) |
| Ryan Prather Jr.G · Senior · #212 ranked | 2 · 1 | 28.5 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 53.3 (8-15) | 50.0 (5-10) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Tamin LipseyG · Senior · #30 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 41.2 (7-17) | 12.5 (1-8) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Jamarion BatemonG · Sophomore · #951 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 9.1 (1-11) | 0.0 (0-7) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Jaquan JohnsonG · Junior · #96 ranked | 2 · 1 | 20.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 28.6 (4-14) | 0.0 (0-3) | 73.3 (11-15) |
| Blake BuchananF · Senior · #43 ranked | 2 · 1 | 20.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (3-6) |
| Taj ManningF · Senior · #626 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Dominykas PletaF · Sophomore · #431 ranked | 2 · 1 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 76.9 (10-13) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Leon Bond IIIG · Senior · #602 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Xzavion MitchellF · Freshman · #1316 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dorian Rinaldo-KomlanF · Freshman · #1726 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Yusef Gray Jr.G · Freshman · #2876 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Anthony RiseG · Sophomore · #1347 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin LipseyG · Senior | 30 | 13.5 pts · 3.9 reb · 5.1 ast | |
| Blake BuchananF · Senior | 26 | 8.5 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Killyan ToureG · Sophomore | 25 | 8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Leon Bond IIIG · Senior | 18 | 11.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Tre SingletonF · Sophomore | 17 | 7.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Jaquan JohnsonG · Junior | 17 | 16.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast | |
| Jamarion BatemonG · Sophomore | 16 | 6.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Ryan Prather Jr.G · Senior | 16 | 15.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.7 ast | |
| Taj ManningF · Senior | 15 | 4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Dominykas PletaF · Sophomore | 14 | 4.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Yusef Gray Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #197 recruit | 9 | — |
| Dorian Rinaldo-KomlanF · Freshman | Freshman · #101 recruit | 9 | — |
| Christian WigginsG · Freshman | Freshman · #129 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Joshua Jefferson (16.4 ppg), Milan Momcilovic (16.9 ppg, to
Kentucky), Nate Heise (5.7 ppg), Dominick Nelson (3.7 ppg, to
Utah Valley)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tamin Lipsey | G | Senior | 6-1 · 200 | Ames, IA | 9.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 3.9 reb · 5.1 ast (34 G) | #30 · +2.46 | |
| 23 | Blake Buchanan | F | Senior | 6-10 · 230 | Coeur d'Alene, ID | 4.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 8.5 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast (37 G) | #43 · +2.23 | |
| 11 | Jaquan Johnson | G | Junior | 5-11 · 216 | Milwaukee, WI | 9.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 16.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast (34 G) | #96 · +1.86 | |
| 0 | Tre Singleton | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 220 | Jeffersonville, IN | 19.5 pts · 10.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 7.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.5 ast (34 G) | #193 · +1.46 | |
| 4 | Ryan Prather Jr. | G | Senior | 6-4 · 221 | Clarksburg, MD | 14.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 15.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.7 ast (32 G) | #212 · +1.39 | |
| 27 | Killyan Toure | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 205 | Pamiers, France | Hasn't played | 8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast (37 G) | #311 · +1.18 | |
| 21 | Dominykas Pleta | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 240 | Gotha, Germany | 11.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast (35 G) | #431 · +0.97 | |
| 7 | Leon Bond III | G | Senior | 6-5 · 196 | Wauwatosa, WI | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 11.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.5 ast (36 G) | #602 · +0.76 | |
| 15 | Taj Manning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Grandview, MO | 4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast (30 G) | #626 · +0.74 | |
| 1 | Jamarion Batemon | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 190 | Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast (37 G) | #951 · +0.41 | |
| 2 | Xzavion Mitchell | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 215 | Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #1316 · +0.19 | |
| 9 | Anthony Rise | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 174 | Milwaukee, WI | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.2 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (11 G) | #1347 · +0.17 | |
| 24 | Dorian Rinaldo-Komlan | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 214 | Montauban, France | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1726 · 0.00 |
| 22 | Christian Wiggins | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 190 | Plymouth, MN | Hasn't played | — | #2163 · -0.18 |
| 5 | Yusef Gray Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 182 | Milwaukee, WI | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2876 · -0.44 |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L76-80Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W83-57Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 91-61ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 90-53ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 80-71ISU: 79% to winIowa State: 79% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 | Projected 94-59ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 79-68ISU: 82% to winIowa State: 82% to win Compare | |
| Dec 10 | Projected 72-71ISU: 53% to winIowa State: 53% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 89-55ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 87-60ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 90-59ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 85-55ISU: 99% to winIowa State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 79-78ISU: 56% to winIowa State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 80-72ISU: 74% to winIowa State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 83-76ISU: 71% to winIowa State: 71% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 70-76ISU: 30% to winIowa State: 30% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 70-73ISU: 39% to winIowa State: 39% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 82-79ISU: 60% to winIowa State: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 83-75ISU: 74% to winIowa State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 86-69ISU: 93% to winIowa State: 93% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 82-63ISU: 95% to winIowa State: 95% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 72-73ISU: 49% to winIowa State: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 79-80ISU: 50% to winIowa State: 50% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 74-76ISU: 44% to winIowa State: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 75-71ISU: 65% to winIowa State: 65% to win Compare | |
| Feb 19 | Projected 78-73ISU: 67% to winIowa State: 67% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 79-77ISU: 58% to winIowa State: 58% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 79-72ISU: 72% to winIowa State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Mar 1 | Projected 71-79ISU: 24% to winIowa State: 24% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 75-69ISU: 70% to winIowa State: 70% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |