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College Basketball · CUSA · 2026-27

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

1-1 · Coach Nick McDevitt

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Power Rankings

#222▼24

Who is best right now.

-6.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -3.3 (#198)

Preseason: #198

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

14-16

Conference record
8-10
Conference title
2%
Outright title
1%
Luck
0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #198 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #156 in the country (+0.9), 17-15.
  • →25% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →3 transfers in, led by Kevin de Kovachich (North Alabama, 11.8 ppg), Ofri Naveh (Oral Roberts, 11.2 ppg), Eli Rice (Penn State, 6.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Landyn Colyer (#210).
  • →Lost Torey Alston (13.1 ppg, now at VCU), Kamari Lands (13.3 ppg), Chris Loofe (7.3 ppg, now at Tulsa).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Middle Tennessee

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Jahvin CarterG · Junior · #938 ranked2 · 231.511.54.55.528.6 (8-28)20.0 (2-10)100.0 (5-5)
Quintero BarnettG · Junior · #3650 ranked2 · 227.014.03.03.547.8 (11-23)22.2 (2-9)100.0 (4-4)
Marcus Whitlock Jr.G · Senior · #2141 ranked2 · 227.012.02.02.038.1 (8-21)40.0 (6-15)40.0 (2-5)
Landyn ColyerG · Freshman · #2930 ranked2 · 019.56.05.51.036.4 (4-11)50.0 (2-4)66.7 (2-3)
Eli RiceG · Senior · #2150 ranked2 · 019.09.52.51.031.2 (5-16)41.7 (5-12)80.0 (4-5)
Kaleb SilerC · Senior2 · 217.06.52.51.042.9 (6-14)— (0-0)33.3 (1-3)
Ofri NavehF · Senior · #1695 ranked2 · 215.03.54.00.575.0 (3-4)— (0-0)50.0 (1-2)
Jarred HallF · Senior · #2372 ranked2 · 013.59.54.00.561.5 (8-13)50.0 (3-6)— (0-0)
Luka JovanovicC · Sophomore · #1873 ranked2 · 09.51.52.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)50.0 (1-2)
Jax HowardG · Sophomore2 · 09.03.02.01.540.0 (2-5)40.0 (2-5)— (0-0)
Aiden BoldenF · Freshman2 · 08.53.02.01.050.0 (2-4)100.0 (1-1)50.0 (1-2)
Braylin DavisG · Freshman2 · 02.00.00.00.00.0 (0-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Garrison WhiteG · Freshman2 · 01.51.00.00.050.0 (1-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Jahvin CarterG · JuniorReturning2610.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Ofri NavehF · SeniorTransfer from Oral Roberts1911.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.8 ast
Eli RiceG · SeniorTransfer from Penn State186.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast
Kevin de KovachichG · JuniorTransfer from North Alabama1711.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.2 ast
Luka JovanovicC · SophomoreReturning152.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.4 ast
Marcus Whitlock Jr.G · SeniorReturning113.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast
Landyn ColyerG · FreshmanFreshman · #210 recruit8—
Jarred HallF · SeniorReturning72.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast

Gone from last season: Torey Alston (13.1 ppg, to VCU), Kamari Lands (13.3 ppg), Chris Loofe (7.3 ppg, to Tulsa), Alec Oglesby (8.3 ppg), Sean Smith (9.3 ppg), Tre Green (7.1 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
2Jahvin CarterReturningGJunior6-3 · 190Alcoa, TN11.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G)10.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.5 ast (32 G)#938 · +0.42
9Ofri NavehTransfer from Oral RobertsFSenior6-7 · 205Neot Golan, Israel3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)11.2 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.8 ast (32 G)#1695 · +0.02
3Luka JovanovicReturningCSophomore6-11 · 250Belgrade, Serbia1.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)2.2 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G)#1873 · -0.07
22Marcus Whitlock Jr.ReturningGSenior6-3 · 185Monticello, GA12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)3.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast (21 G)#2141 · -0.17
11Eli RiceTransfer from Penn StateGSenior6-7 · 225Gallatin, TN9.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)6.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast (29 G)#2150 · -0.17
5Jarred HallReturningFSenior6-9 · 225Lebanon, TN9.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast (12 G)#2372 · -0.25
7Landyn ColyerFreshmanGFreshman6-6 · 200Tampa, FL6.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#2930 · -0.46
13Kevin de KovachichTransfer from North AlabamaGJunior6-4 · 190Montreal, PQHasn't played11.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.2 ast (30 G)#2981 · -0.48
1Quintero BarnettNew to Division IGJunior6-4 · 200Brunswick, OH14.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)—#3650 · -0.78
4Aiden BoldenFreshmanFFreshman6-6 · 225Bolivar, TN3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
10Braylin DavisFreshmanGFreshman6-2 · 170Nashville, TN0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
6Garrison WhiteFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 170Chattanooga, TN1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
8Jax HowardReturningGSophomore6-0 · 170Shelbyville, TN3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
0Kaleb SilerNew to Division ICSenior6-10 · 250Fayetteville, NC6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsFisk(non-D1)W117-73Box score →
Nov 6at#3KansasL45-89Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vsEvansvilleProjected 75-67MTSU: 75% to win Compare
Nov 13vsSoutheast Missouri StateProjected 76-71MTSU: 64% to win Compare
Nov 17atGeorgia SouthernProjected 74-75MTSU: 47% to win Compare
Nov 20vs (N)TempleU.S. Virgin Islands Paradise JamProjected 68-74MTSU: 30% to win Compare
Nov 21U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise JamMore games Nov 21–23, opponents and days set by resultsOpponent TBD
Nov 28vsToccoa Falls(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 1vsTennessee TechProjected 78-73MTSU: 66% to win Compare
Dec 5atBelmontProjected 67-80MTSU: 14% to win Compare
Dec 15vs (N)AuburnRocket City ClassicProjected 65-84MTSU: 5% to win Compare
Dec 17atUABProjected 71-77MTSU: 30% to win Compare
Dec 20vsUT Southern(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 31atJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 68-72MTSU: 37% to win Compare
Jan 2atKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 69-78MTSU: 22% to win Compare
Jan 7vsSam HoustonConferenceProjected 74-75MTSU: 48% to win Compare
Jan 9vsNew Mexico StateConferenceProjected 75-74MTSU: 51% to win Compare
Jan 14atLibertyConferenceProjected 68-73MTSU: 32% to win Compare
Jan 16atDelawareConferenceProjected 68-71MTSU: 41% to win Compare
Jan 21vsFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 76-75MTSU: 54% to win Compare
Jan 23vsMissouri StateConferenceProjected 75-68MTSU: 73% to win Compare
Jan 30atWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 68-79MTSU: 17% to win Compare
Feb 4atNew Mexico StateConferenceProjected 72-77MTSU: 31% to win Compare
Feb 6atSam HoustonConferenceProjected 71-78MTSU: 27% to win Compare
Feb 11vsDelawareConferenceProjected 71-68MTSU: 61% to win Compare
Feb 13vsLibertyConferenceProjected 71-70MTSU: 52% to win Compare
Feb 18atMissouri StateConferenceProjected 72-71MTSU: 54% to win Compare
Feb 20atFlorida InternationalConferenceProjected 73-78MTSU: 32% to win Compare
Feb 27vsWestern KentuckyConferenceProjected 71-76MTSU: 34% to win Compare
Mar 4vsKennesaw StateConferenceProjected 73-75MTSU: 41% to win Compare
Mar 6vsJacksonville StateConferenceProjected 71-69MTSU: 57% to win Compare