Power Rankings
#209▲1
Who is best right now.
-5.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -4.2 (#210)
Preseason: #210
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
12-20
- Conference record
- 5-11
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #210 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #215 in the country (-4.8), 15-19.
- →26% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Jaxon Olvera (Louisiana, 13.7 ppg), Kaia Isaac (Tarleton State, 5.7 ppg), Hunter Adam (Davidson, 5.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Joel Foxwell (15.6 ppg, now at Arizona State), Garrett Nuckolls (6.7 ppg), Cameron Williams (10.6 ppg, now at Kent State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Portland
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter AdamG · Senior · #1306 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (7-14) | 53.8 (7-13) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| James O'DonnellF · Junior · #976 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 70.6 (12-17) | — (0-0) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Jaxon OlveraG · Junior · #3394 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 33.3 (4-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| RJ Nance Jr.G · Junior · #3091 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 65.2 (15-23) | 50.0 (4-8) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Riley ParkerG · Senior · #1574 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 64.3 (9-14) | 60.0 (6-10) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Timo GeorgeF · Sophomore · #381 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 75.0 (9-12) | — (0-0) | 88.9 (8-9) |
| Dante Censori-HerculesG · Sophomore · #1679 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Kaia IsaacG · Senior · #3090 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 33.3 (1-3) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Henry SewellF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (4-4) | — (0-0) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Carlin BriggsG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Vito PerkovicF · Sophomore · #2870 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Dylan MoranG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Austin FoxwellG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Marchelo MoreiraG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| James O'DonnellF · Junior |  Returning | 23 | 10 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Dante Censori-HerculesG · Sophomore | Returning | 20 | 3.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Kaia IsaacG · Senior |  Transfer from Tarleton State | 20 | 5.7 pts · 2 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Hunter AdamG · Senior |  Transfer from Davidson | 19 | 5.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Jaxon OlveraG · Junior |  Transfer from Louisiana | 19 | 13.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Vito PerkovicF · Sophomore |  Transfer from East Carolina | 13 | 2.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Timo GeorgeF · Sophomore | Returning | 13 | 12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Riley ParkerG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 4 pts · 1 reb · 2 ast |
Gone from last season: Joel Foxwell (15.6 ppg, to 
Arizona State), Garrett Nuckolls (6.7 ppg), Cameron Williams (10.6 ppg, to 
Kent State), Mikah Ballew (8.7 ppg, to 
Cal State Northridge), Jermaine Ballisager Webb (8.9 ppg), Matus Hronsky (5.6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timo George | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 245 | Amsterdam, Netherlands | 13.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.4 ast (15 G) | #381 · +1.07 |
| 14 | James O'Donnell | Returning | F | Junior | 6-10 · 230 | Sydney, NSW | 15.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G) | #976 · +0.39 |
| 12 | Hunter Adam | Transfer from Davidson | G | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Christchurch, New Zealand | 14.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 5.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast (33 G) | #1306 · +0.19 |
| 11 | Riley Parker | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 195 | Mandurah, WA | 15.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | #1574 · +0.06 |
| 5 | Dante Censori-Hercules | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 190 | Bolton, ON | 3.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast (33 G) | #1679 · +0.02 |
| 2 | Vito Perkovic | Transfer from East Carolina | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 250 | Zadar, Croatia | 4.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast (19 G) | #2870 · -0.44 |
| 6 | Kaia Isaac | Transfer from Tarleton State | G | Senior | 6-4 · 215 | Christchurch, New Zealand | 2.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 5.7 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (32 G) | #3090 · -0.53 |
| 1 | RJ Nance Jr. | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-2 · 180 | Las Vegas, NV | 20.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3091 · -0.53 |
| 10 | Jaxon Olvera | Transfer from Louisiana | G | Junior | 6-5 · 190 | Houston, TX | 5.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 13.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.9 ast (33 G) | #3394 · -0.66 |
| 15 | Austin Foxwell | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 175 | Melbourne, VIC | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Carlin Briggs | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-7 · 190 | Melbourne, VIC | 9.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Dylan Moran | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 170 | Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Henry Sewell | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 200 | Melbourne, VIC | 13.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Marchelo Moreira | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 190 | Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Omer Sukur | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-8 · 250 | Mountain View, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsWillamette(non-D1) | W133-89Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vs (N)UT ArlingtonRainbow Classic | L85-89Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | vs (N)Bethesda(non-D1)Rainbow Classic | Upcoming |
| Nov 9 |  atHawai'iRainbow Classic | Projected 72-82PORT: 19% to winPortland: 19% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsEast Texas A&M | Projected 78-72PORT: 69% to winPortland: 69% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  atColorado | Projected 70-86PORT: 9% to winPortland: 9% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vs (N)FordhamAcrisure Series | Projected 72-80PORT: 24% to winPortland: 24% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vs (N)California BaptistAcrisure Series | Projected 77-73PORT: 64% to winPortland: 64% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  atStanford | Projected 68-84PORT: 9% to winPortland: 9% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  atUC Davis | Projected 76-80PORT: 36% to winPortland: 36% to win Compare |
| Dec 10 |  vsLamar | Projected 80-74PORT: 68% to winPortland: 68% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 |  vsEastern Washington | Projected 81-76PORT: 65% to winPortland: 65% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  atUtah | Projected 70-80PORT: 20% to winPortland: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsWyoming | Projected 74-81PORT: 28% to winPortland: 28% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atLong Beach State | Projected 75-77PORT: 43% to winPortland: 43% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 | vsEvergreen State(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 |  vsPepperdineConference | Projected 80-78PORT: 58% to winPortland: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsPacificConference | Projected 70-76PORT: 32% to winPortland: 32% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atSan DiegoConference | Projected 76-82PORT: 29% to winPortland: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atSaint Mary'sConference | Projected 68-89PORT: 4% to winPortland: 4% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsSan FranciscoConference | Projected 76-75PORT: 51% to winPortland: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  atDenverConference | Projected 75-79PORT: 35% to winPortland: 35% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atSeattle UConference | Projected 69-81PORT: 16% to winPortland: 16% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsSanta ClaraConference | Projected 76-86PORT: 20% to winPortland: 20% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | vsSaint Mary'sConference | Projected 71-86PORT: 11% to winPortland: 11% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsLoyola MarymountConference | Projected 77-81PORT: 36% to winPortland: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | atPacificConference | Projected 67-79PORT: 16% to winPortland: 16% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atSan FranciscoConference | Projected 72-79PORT: 30% to winPortland: 30% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 | vsDenverConference | Projected 78-76PORT: 57% to winPortland: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsSan DiegoConference | Projected 80-79PORT: 50% to winPortland: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atPepperdineConference | Projected 77-81PORT: 36% to winPortland: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atLoyola MarymountConference | Projected 73-84PORT: 18% to winPortland: 18% to win Compare |
WCC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Mary's | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 3 | Pacific | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | San Diego | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | San Francisco | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Pepperdine | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 7 | Seattle U | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Loyola Marymount | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Portland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Denver | 0-0 | 0-2 |