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College Basketball · Mountain West · 2026-27

UC Davis Aggies

1-1 · Coach Jim Les

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Power Rankings

#195▼39

Who is best right now.

-3.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +0.1 (#156)

Preseason: #156

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

14-18

Conference record
6-12
Conference title
0%
Outright title
0%
Luck
-0.3

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #156 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #171 in the country (-0.6), 19-14.
  • →53% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →4 transfers in, led by Veniamin Abosi (San Francisco, 5 ppg), Julian Margrave (Omaha, 3.9 ppg), Aleks Szymczyk (Cal State Northridge, 2.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Carl Daughtery Jr. (10 ppg, now at Kansas City), Marcus Wilson (12.4 ppg, now at Sacramento State), Nils Cooper (12.3 ppg, now at UC Irvine).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like UC Davis

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Brayden FagbemiG · Senior · #767 ranked2 · 232.59.03.06.035.7 (5-14)33.3 (1-3)70.0 (7-10)
Isaiah ChappellF · Junior · #1728 ranked2 · 229.58.04.00.550.0 (6-12)40.0 (4-10)— (0-0)
Connor SevillaG · Senior · #1309 ranked2 · 226.510.02.01.028.6 (6-21)16.7 (2-12)66.7 (6-9)
Jalen StokesG · Sophomore · #1381 ranked2 · 224.013.05.00.543.8 (7-16)33.3 (1-3)73.3 (11-15)
Veniamin AbosiF · Junior · #1137 ranked2 · 021.014.08.01.050.0 (8-16)40.0 (2-5)66.7 (10-15)
Omer SuljanovicF · Sophomore · #2338 ranked2 · 221.05.56.51.030.8 (4-13)33.3 (1-3)50.0 (2-4)
Clarence MassambaG · Sophomore · #1497 ranked1 · 017.04.04.02.025.0 (1-4)0.0 (0-2)66.7 (2-3)
Chase RawlinsG · Sophomore · #2679 ranked2 · 015.05.01.51.057.1 (4-7)0.0 (0-2)66.7 (2-3)
Ylan Esso-EssisG · Sophomore2 · 013.51.02.50.016.7 (1-6)0.0 (0-4)— (0-0)
Aleks SzymczykC · Senior · #1829 ranked2 · 08.52.51.50.040.0 (2-5)50.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-2)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Connor SevillaG · SeniorReturning2713.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast
Brayden FagbemiG · SeniorReturning247 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.3 ast
Isaiah ChappellF · JuniorReturning238.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 1 ast
Veniamin AbosiF · JuniorTransfer from San Francisco175 pts · 4 reb · 1.2 ast
Omer SuljanovicF · SophomoreReturning155.7 pts · 3 reb · 0.4 ast
Aleks SzymczykC · SeniorTransfer from Cal State Northridge142.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.2 ast
Jalen StokesG · SophomoreReturning144.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast
Julian MargraveF · SeniorTransfer from Omaha133.9 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.3 ast
Clarence MassambaG · SophomoreTransfer from Tennessee120.3 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast
Chase RawlinsG · SophomoreReturning71.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.7 ast

Gone from last season: Carl Daughtery Jr. (10 ppg, to Kansas City), Marcus Wilson (12.4 ppg, to Sacramento State), Nils Cooper (12.3 ppg, to UC Irvine), Niko Rocak (9.3 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
0Brayden FagbemiReturningGSenior6-0 · 185Naperville, IL9.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G)7.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.3 ast (31 G)#767 · +0.58
14Veniamin AbosiTransfer from San FranciscoFJunior6-6 · 225Heraklion, Greece14.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.2 ast (24 G)#1137 · +0.28
4Connor SevillaReturningGSenior6-1 · 190San Ramon, CA10.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)13.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast (31 G)#1309 · +0.19
2Jalen StokesReturningGSophomore6-5 · 225Oakland, CA13.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast (27 G)#1381 · +0.15
1Clarence MassambaTransfer from TennesseeGSophomore6-5 · 195Paris, France4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)0.3 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast (12 G)#1497 · +0.10
20Isaiah ChappellReturningFJunior6-9 · 225Los Angeles, CA8.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)8.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.0 ast (33 G)#1728 · 0.00
13Aleks SzymczykTransfer from Cal State NorthridgeCSenior6-10 · 250Frankfurt, Germany2.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)2.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.2 ast (26 G)#1829 · -0.05
21Omer SuljanovicReturningFSophomore6-9 · 205Vienna, Austria5.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)5.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.4 ast (32 G)#2338 · -0.24
8Chase RawlinsReturningGSophomore6-5 · 175Folsom, CA5.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)1.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.7 ast (19 G)#2679 · -0.37
12Julian MargraveTransfer from OmahaFSenior6-10 · 225Louisburg, KSHasn't played3.9 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.3 ast (20 G)#3049 · -0.51
7Caspian JonesFreshmanFreshmanHasn't played—Not ranked yet
35Julian DabrowskiFreshmanFFreshman6-10 · 220Warsaw, PolandHasn't played—Not ranked yet
30Koby MoirFreshmanGFreshman6-2 · 189Adelaide, SAHasn't played—Not ranked yet
3Nnadalu NobleFreshmanFFreshman6-9 · 220Vienna, AustriaHasn't played—Not ranked yet
11Ylan Esso-EssisReturningGSophomore6-8 · 225Le Mans, France1.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsNorth AlabamaL75-79Box score →
Nov 5vsMenlo(non-D1)W65-52Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 11vsIncarnate WordProjected 79-68UCD: 84% to win Compare
Nov 14atSacramento StateProjected 75-82UCD: 27% to win Compare
Nov 17vsAlabama StateProjected 83-71UCD: 86% to win Compare
Nov 25vs (N)OmahaResorts World ClassicProjected 80-73UCD: 72% to win Compare
Nov 26vs (N)Jacksonville StateResorts World ClassicProjected 74-73UCD: 53% to win Compare
Nov 27vs (N)PacificResorts World ClassicProjected 68-76UCD: 26% to win Compare
Dec 1vsPortlandProjected 80-76UCD: 64% to win Compare
Dec 3atNorth Dakota StateProjected 77-78UCD: 47% to win Compare
Dec 14vsCalifornia BaptistProjected 78-70UCD: 76% to win Compare
Dec 17vsIdaho StateProjected 83-68UCD: 90% to win Compare
Dec 22atSeattle UProjected 69-79UCD: 18% to win Compare
Dec 28vsPacific Union(non-D1)Upcoming
Jan 2vsGrand CanyonConferenceProjected 74-86UCD: 14% to win Compare
Jan 5vsHawai'iConferenceProjected 75-77UCD: 41% to win Compare
Jan 9atNew MexicoConferenceProjected 69-88UCD: 5% to win Compare
Jan 12atWyomingConferenceProjected 70-83UCD: 14% to win Compare
Jan 16vsSan José StateConferenceProjected 80-77UCD: 60% to win Compare
Jan 19vsUNLVConferenceProjected 77-83UCD: 32% to win Compare
Jan 23atUTEPConferenceProjected 73-75UCD: 43% to win Compare
Jan 30atHawai'iConferenceProjected 72-81UCD: 22% to win Compare
Feb 3vsNevadaConferenceProjected 68-82UCD: 13% to win Compare
Feb 6vsAir ForceConferenceProjected 84-69UCD: 91% to win Compare
Feb 9atSan José StateConferenceProjected 77-80UCD: 38% to win Compare
Feb 13vsUTEPConferenceProjected 77-72UCD: 65% to win Compare
Feb 16atNevadaConferenceProjected 65-85UCD: 5% to win Compare
Feb 20atAir ForceConferenceProjected 81-72UCD: 78% to win Compare
Feb 23vsWyomingConferenceProjected 74-79UCD: 31% to win Compare
Feb 27vsNew MexicoConferenceProjected 72-85UCD: 13% to win Compare
Mar 2atUNLVConferenceProjected 74-86UCD: 15% to win Compare
Mar 6atGrand CanyonConferenceProjected 70-89UCD: 5% to win Compare

Mountain West standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Nevada0-01-0
2New Mexico0-02-0
3Grand Canyon0-02-0
4Wyoming0-02-0
5UNLV0-02-0
6Hawai'i0-02-0
7San José State0-01-1
8UC Davis0-01-1
9Air Force0-01-1
10UTEP0-00-1
All conference standings →