Power Rankings
#112▲4
Who is best right now.
+7.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +5.4 (#116)
Preseason: #116
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-11
- Conference record
- 9-7
- Conference title
- 6%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #116 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #111 in the country (+5.6), 18-15.
- →9% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Jaden Winston (Manhattan, 15.3 ppg), Connor Amundsen (Dartmouth, 9.5 ppg), Gavin Ripp (San Diego, 4.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Elias Ralph (16.7 ppg), TJ Wainwright (13 ppg), Jaden Clayton (7.9 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Pacific
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel NyorhaG · Sophomore · #977 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 41.7 (10-24) | 45.5 (5-11) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Gavin RippF · Sophomore · #1580 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 80.0 (8-10) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Jaden WinstonG · Senior · #1253 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 50.0 (9-18) | 44.4 (4-9) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Jaion PittF · Sophomore · #806 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 75.0 (12-16) | 50.0 (1-2) | 42.9 (3-7) |
| CJ JonesG · Senior · #2543 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 18.2 (2-11) | 28.6 (2-7) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jaylen ThompsonF · Senior · #1841 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 61.5 (8-13) | 44.4 (4-9) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Jacob McFarlandC · Junior · #1105 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Jorge CarotF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Damarion Vann-KellyG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Dominick HarrisG · Senior · #3230 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Nishayne SharpeG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Noah BuduG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaion PittF · Sophomore |  Returning | 19 | 4.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Connor AmundsenG · Junior |  Transfer from Dartmouth | 19 | 9.5 pts · 2 reb · 3.6 ast |
| Jaden WinstonG · Senior |  Transfer from Manhattan | 18 | 15.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.8 ast |
| CJ JonesG · Senior |  Transfer from Kansas State | 18 | 3.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Adriel NyorhaG · Sophomore |  Transfer from South Florida | 16 | 3.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Gavin RippF · Sophomore |  Transfer from San Diego | 15 | 4.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Jaylen ThompsonF · Senior |  Transfer from Stanford | 15 | 2.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Dominick HarrisG · Senior |  Transfer from Loyola Chicago | 12 | 1.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Jacob McFarlandC · Junior |  Transfer from Houston | 12 | 0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast |
| Ivan MatlekovicC · Junior |  Transfer from North Carolina | 12 | 0.5 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Elias Ralph (16.7 ppg), TJ Wainwright (13 ppg), Jaden Clayton (7.9 ppg), Justin Rochelin (9.1 ppg), Isaac Jack (9.1 ppg), Kajus Kublickas (5.6 ppg, to 
South Dakota)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jaion Pitt | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 230 | Norwood, ON | 14.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 4.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #806 · +0.55 |
| 21 | Adriel Nyorha | Transfer from South Florida | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 175 | Ottawa, ON | 16.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 3.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.9 ast (27 G) | #977 · +0.39 |
| 13 | Jacob McFarland | Transfer from Houston | C | Junior | 6-11 · 225 | Moreno Valley, CA | 4.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #1105 · +0.31 |
| 2 | Jaden Winston | Transfer from Manhattan | G | Senior | 6-0 · 160 | South Laurel, MD | 13.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 15.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.8 ast (32 G) | #1253 · +0.23 |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | Transfer from Dartmouth | G | Junior | 5-11 · 165 | Fresno, CA | Hasn't played | 9.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.6 ast (26 G) | #1474 · +0.11 |
| 12 | Gavin Ripp | Transfer from San Diego | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 230 | Los Gatos, CA | 9.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 4.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (26 G) | #1580 · +0.06 |
| 40 | Ivan Matlekovic | Transfer from North Carolina | C | Junior | 7-0 · 255 | Sisak, Croatia | Hasn't played | 0.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #1776 · -0.02 |
| 24 | Jaylen Thompson | Transfer from Stanford | F | Senior | 6-7 · 210 | Oakland, CA | 12.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.3 ast (20 G) | #1841 · -0.05 |
| 3 | CJ Jones | Transfer from Kansas State | G | Senior | 6-5 · 195 | East Saint Louis, IL | 3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 3.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.3 ast (31 G) | #2543 · -0.31 |
| 8 | Dominick Harris | Transfer from Loyola Chicago | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Murrieta, CA | 4.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast (7 G) | #3230 · -0.59 |
| 11 | Andrej Mitrevski | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 | Skopje, Macedonia | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Jorge Carot | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 | Valencia, Spain | 4.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Nishayne Sharpe | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-11 | London, ON | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Vincent Osazee | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Dublin, Ireland | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Damarion Vann-Kelly | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 | Sacramento, CA | 5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 25 | Noah Budu | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 209 | American Canyon, CA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 | vsBethesda University(non-D1) | W102-47Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atBradley | W63-52Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  atLong Beach State | Projected 73-67PAC: 70% to winPacific: 70% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vsAir Force | Projected 82-60PAC: 97% to winPacific: 97% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 | vsPacific Union(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 21 | vsBradley | Projected 74-63PAC: 84% to winPacific: 84% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)Jacksonville StateResorts World Classic | Projected 72-64PAC: 76% to winPacific: 76% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 |  vs (N)OmahaResorts World Classic | Projected 78-65PAC: 88% to winPacific: 88% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)UC DavisResorts World Classic | Projected 76-68PAC: 74% to winPacific: 74% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  atNevada | Projected 64-76PAC: 17% to winPacific: 17% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 | atStanford | Projected 67-73PAC: 29% to winPacific: 29% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsUtah Valley | Projected 76-72PAC: 63% to winPacific: 63% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  atNew Mexico State | Projected 74-71PAC: 61% to winPacific: 61% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  vsSouthern | Projected 80-65PAC: 91% to winPacific: 91% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atSacramento State | Projected 74-73PAC: 54% to winPacific: 54% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  atUtah State | Projected 65-79PAC: 12% to winPacific: 12% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsSanta ClaraConference | Projected 74-75PAC: 48% to winPacific: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  atPortlandConference | Projected 76-70PAC: 68% to winPacific: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atLoyola MarymountConference | Projected 72-73PAC: 44% to winPacific: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsSeattle UConference | Projected 71-67PAC: 62% to winPacific: 62% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  atSaint Mary'sConference | Projected 67-78PAC: 17% to winPacific: 17% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 | atSanta ClaraConference | Projected 71-78PAC: 27% to winPacific: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsDenverConference | Projected 76-66PAC: 81% to winPacific: 81% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsPepperdineConference | Projected 78-67PAC: 82% to winPacific: 82% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | vsSan DiegoConference | Projected 77-69PAC: 77% to winPacific: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  atSan FranciscoConference | Projected 71-68PAC: 58% to winPacific: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | vsPortlandConference | Projected 79-67PAC: 84% to winPacific: 84% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atDenverConference | Projected 73-69PAC: 63% to winPacific: 63% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsSaint Mary'sConference | Projected 70-75PAC: 32% to winPacific: 32% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 | vsSan FranciscoConference | Projected 74-65PAC: 76% to winPacific: 76% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atSan DiegoConference | Projected 74-72PAC: 58% to winPacific: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atPepperdineConference | Projected 75-70PAC: 65% to winPacific: 65% to win Compare |
WCC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Mary's | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 3 | Pacific | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | San Diego | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | San Francisco | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Pepperdine | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 7 | Seattle U | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Loyola Marymount | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Portland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Denver | 0-0 | 0-2 |