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College Basketball · WCC · 2026-27

Saint Mary's Gaels

2-0 · Coach Mickey McConnell (new)

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Power Rankings

#44▲17

Who is best right now.

+19.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +15.3 (#61)

Preseason: #61

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

25-6

Conference record
13-3
Conference title
79%
Outright title
66%
Luck
+0.3

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #61 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #28 in the country (+23.9), 27-6.
  • →27% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Jeremy Dent-Smith (Stanford, 8.2 ppg), Thomas Ndong (California Baptist, 4.9 ppg), Vangelis Zougris (Louisville, 2.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Darius Bivins (#72).
  • →Lost Paulius Murauskas (18.4 ppg, now at Arizona State), Dillan Shaw (7.5 ppg, now at Arizona State), Mikey Lewis (13.9 ppg, now at Texas).
  • →New head coach: Mickey McConnell, replacing Randy Bennett. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Saint Mary's

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Mantas JuzenasG · Sophomore · #619 ranked2 · 233.514.511.05.047.6 (10-21)37.5 (3-8)66.7 (6-9)
Joshua DentG · Junior · #94 ranked2 · 232.012.02.54.057.1 (8-14)55.6 (5-9)100.0 (3-3)
Vangelis ZougrisF · Senior · #604 ranked2 · 222.013.54.52.0100.0 (12-12)— (0-0)42.9 (3-7)
Darius BivinsG · Freshman · #666 ranked2 · 022.011.51.54.552.9 (9-17)75.0 (3-4)100.0 (2-2)
Jeremy Dent-SmithG · Senior · #906 ranked2 · 022.08.01.53.528.6 (4-14)25.0 (1-4)100.0 (7-7)
Rory HawkeG · Sophomore · #1581 ranked2 · 220.08.02.01.075.0 (6-8)60.0 (3-5)33.3 (1-3)
Thomas NdongF · Senior · #668 ranked2 · 017.09.03.01.077.8 (7-9)100.0 (1-1)75.0 (3-4)
Jazz GardnerC · Junior · #3303 ranked2 · 213.55.51.01.555.6 (5-9)50.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-1)
Kevin GadF · Senior · #1157 ranked2 · 09.55.51.00.544.4 (4-9)42.9 (3-7)— (0-0)
Cooper LewisG · Freshman1 · 09.06.02.00.050.0 (2-4)66.7 (2-3)— (0-0)
Flynn PavelyC · Freshman1 · 09.02.01.01.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Luke FennellG · Sophomore · #1876 ranked2 · 08.54.52.01.057.1 (4-7)25.0 (1-4)— (0-0)
Trent MacLeanF · Freshman1 · 05.03.00.00.0100.0 (1-1)100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)
Sam CurvyG1 · 02.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Joshua DentG · JuniorReturning3513.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 5.6 ast
Jeremy Dent-SmithG · SeniorTransfer from Stanford178.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.5 ast
Thomas NdongF · SeniorTransfer from California Baptist164.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.4 ast
Vangelis ZougrisF · SeniorTransfer from Louisville152.6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast
Salih AltuntasC · SophomoreTransfer from Miami141.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.1 ast
Rory HawkeG · SophomoreReturning122.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.3 ast
Luke FennellG · SophomoreTransfer from Syracuse121.1 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast
Darius BivinsG · FreshmanFreshman · #72 recruit11—
Mantas JuzenasG · SophomoreReturning82.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast
Kevin GadF · SeniorReturning61.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.7 ast

Gone from last season: Paulius Murauskas (18.4 ppg, to Arizona State), Dillan Shaw (7.5 ppg, to Arizona State), Mikey Lewis (13.9 ppg, to Texas), Andrew McKeever (8.2 ppg, to Iowa), Harry Wessels (4.8 ppg), Liam Campbell (4.9 ppg, to High Point)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
7Joshua DentReturningGJunior6-3 · 190Wollongong, NSW12.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)13.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 5.6 ast (33 G)#94 · +1.86
35Vangelis ZougrisTransfer from LouisvilleFSenior6-8 · 245Athens, Greece13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)2.6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast (27 G)#604 · +0.76
0Mantas JuzenasReturningGSophomore6-6 · 205Kaunas, Lithuania14.5 pts · 11.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G)2.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast (26 G)#619 · +0.75
1Darius BivinsFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 175Washington, DC11.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G)—#666 · +0.69
18Thomas NdongTransfer from California BaptistFSenior6-10 · 245Montreal, PQ9.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)4.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.4 ast (32 G)#668 · +0.69
2Jeremy Dent-SmithTransfer from StanfordGSenior6-1 · 200Hawthorne, CA8.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)8.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.5 ast (33 G)#906 · +0.45
24Kevin GadReturningFSenior6-6 · 205Livermore, CA5.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)1.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.7 ast (7 G)#1157 · +0.28
11Salih AltuntasTransfer from MiamiCSophomore6-11 · 275Istanbul, TürkiyeHasn't played1.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.1 ast (32 G)#1220 · +0.25
8Rory HawkeReturningGSophomore6-5 · 200Townsville, QLD8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)2.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.3 ast (32 G)#1581 · +0.05
9Luke FennellTransfer from SyracuseGSophomore6-6 · 190Melbourne, VIC4.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)1.1 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast (10 G)#1876 · -0.07
32Jazz GardnerNew to Division ICJunior7-0 · 250Pasadena, CA5.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—#3303 · -0.62
20Cooper LewisFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 195Lehi, UT6.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
5Flynn PavelyFreshmanCFreshman7-0 · 250Frenchs Forest, NSW2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
3Sam CurvyFreshmanFreshmanHasn't played—Not ranked yet
42Trent MacLeanReturningFFreshman6-10 · 205Thousand Oaks, CA3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
25Jalen LewisNew to Division IFJunior6-9 · 245Oakland, CAHasn't played—Not ranked yet
Sam Curvy—G0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsIllinois StateW90-85Box score →
Nov 4vsNorth Dakota StateW105-64Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8vs (N)NevadaLake Tahoe ClassicProjected 76-75SMC: 51% to win Compare
Nov 13vsUICProjected 79-71SMC: 76% to win Compare
Nov 16vsPortland StateProjected 85-64SMC: 96% to win Compare
Nov 20vsSaint LouisProjected 81-80SMC: 53% to win Compare
Nov 22vsMenlo(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 26vs (N)#20UCLARady Children's InvitationalProjected 75-80SMC: 36% to win Compare
Nov 27Rady Children's InvitationalChampionship or placement gameOpponent TBD
Dec 1vsHofstraProjected 81-65SMC: 92% to win Compare
Dec 5atOklahoma StateProjected 78-84SMC: 32% to win Compare
Dec 9vsNew Mexico StateProjected 87-69SMC: 94% to win Compare
Dec 12atNew MexicoProjected 77-80SMC: 42% to win Compare
Dec 18vsIonaProjected 82-63SMC: 94% to win Compare
Dec 22vsHarvardProjected 81-66SMC: 90% to win Compare
Dec 29vsPrincetonProjected 82-63SMC: 94% to win Compare
Jan 2vsSan DiegoConferenceProjected 87-70SMC: 93% to win Compare
Jan 6atDenverConferenceProjected 82-70SMC: 86% to win Compare
Jan 13vsPortlandConferenceProjected 89-68SMC: 96% to win Compare
Jan 16atPepperdineConferenceProjected 84-71SMC: 87% to win Compare
Jan 20vsPacificConferenceProjected 78-67SMC: 84% to win Compare
Jan 23vsLoyola MarymountConferenceProjected 84-71SMC: 87% to win Compare
Jan 27atSan FranciscoConferenceProjected 80-69SMC: 82% to win Compare
Jan 30vsSanta ClaraConferenceProjected 84-76SMC: 76% to win Compare
Feb 3atPortlandConferenceProjected 86-71SMC: 89% to win Compare
Feb 6atSeattle UConferenceProjected 77-71SMC: 70% to win Compare
Feb 9vsSan FranciscoConferenceProjected 83-66SMC: 92% to win Compare
Feb 13atLoyola MarymountConferenceProjected 81-74SMC: 72% to win Compare
Feb 18atPacificConferenceProjected 75-70SMC: 68% to win Compare
Feb 21vsPepperdineConferenceProjected 88-68SMC: 95% to win Compare
Feb 24vsSeattle UConferenceProjected 80-68SMC: 85% to win Compare
Feb 27atSanta ClaraConferenceProjected 81-79SMC: 56% to win Compare

WCC standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Saint Mary's0-02-0
2Santa Clara0-03-0
3Pacific0-02-0
4San Diego0-02-0
5San Francisco0-02-0
6Pepperdine0-02-1
7Seattle U0-01-1
8Loyola Marymount0-01-1
9Portland0-01-1
10Denver0-00-2
All conference standings →