College Basketball · CAA · 2026-27
William & Mary Tribe
Preseason · Coach Brian Earl
Preseason Power Rankings
#169▲1
Who is best right now.
-1.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -1.3 (#170)
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 10-8
- Conference title
- 8%
- Outright title
- 3%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #170 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #142 in the country (+1.9), 20-12.
- →0% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by Jesse McIntosh (South Dakota, 7.5 ppg), Josh Baldwin (Cornell, 7.4 ppg), Tre Blassingame (Idaho, 3.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi (11.8 ppg, now at New Mexico), Reese Miller (12.2 ppg, now at UTEP), Kyle Pulliam (10.4 ppg).
Teams like William & Mary
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Carter Jr.F · Junior | 1 · 0 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 80.0 (8-10) | 100.0 (1-1) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| ZZ ClarkG · Sophomore · #2414 ranked | 1 · 0 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 75.0 (3-4) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Josh BaldwinG · Senior · #669 ranked | 1 · 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 16.7 (1-6) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Gavin WardG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Ethan ConneryG · Senior | 1 · 1 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (6-6) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Will FeaglesG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 50.0 (4-8) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| John Roland Jr.F · Junior | 1 · 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Jesse McIntoshG · Sophomore · #1858 ranked | 1 · 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Stas SivkaF · Junior · #2131 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Nilavan DanielsG · Junior · #1708 ranked | 1 · 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 20.0 (1-5) | — (0-0) |
| Tre BlassingameG · Senior · #2060 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BaldwinG · Senior |  Transfer from Cornell | 19 | 7.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast |
| Tre BlassingameG · Senior |  Transfer from Idaho | 17 | 3.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Stas SivkaF · Junior |  Transfer from George Mason | 16 | 2.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Jesse McIntoshG · Sophomore |  Transfer from South Dakota | 15 | 7.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Nilavan DanielsG · Junior |  Transfer from Providence | 15 | 1.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast |
| ZZ ClarkG · Sophomore |  Transfer from UC Santa Barbara | 13 | 3.1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Jayden ForsytheG · Sophomore |  Transfer from West Virginia | 12 | 1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast |
| Colin Lamine NdawG · Junior |  Returning | 5 | 2 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast |
Gone from last season: Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi (11.8 ppg, to 
New Mexico), Reese Miller (12.2 ppg, to 
UTEP), Kyle Pulliam (10.4 ppg), Chase Lowe (9.2 ppg), Jo'el Emanuel (8.5 ppg), Kilian Brockhoff (10.7 ppg, to 
Eastern Michigan)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Josh Baldwin | Transfer from Cornell | G | Senior | 6-5 · 235 | Everett, MA | 4.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 7.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast (26 G) | #669 · +0.68 |
| 12 | Nilavan Daniels | Transfer from Providence | G | Junior | 6-3 · 180 | St. Louis, MO | 3.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast (20 G) | #1708 · +0.01 |
| 10 | Jesse McIntosh | Transfer from South Dakota | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 200 | Melbourne, VIC | 2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 7.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast (20 G) | #1858 · -0.06 |
| 4 | Jayden Forsythe | Transfer from West Virginia | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 195 | Brooklyn, NY | — | 1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #1886 · -0.07 |
| 6 | Colin Lamine Ndaw | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 180 | Dakar, Senegal | — | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.6 ast (5 G) | #2016 · -0.12 |
| 2 | Tre Blassingame | Transfer from Idaho | G | Senior | 6-4 · 180 | Auburn, WA | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 3.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.5 ast (35 G) | #2060 · -0.14 |
| 9 | Stas Sivka | Transfer from George Mason | F | Junior | 6-10 · 220 | Celje, Slovenia | 9.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast (29 G) | #2131 · -0.16 |
| 33 | ZZ Clark | Transfer from UC Santa Barbara | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 205 | Los Angeles, CA | 11.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 3.1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast (15 G) | #2414 · -0.27 |
| 31 | Chris Richards | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 185 | Gaithersburg, MD | — | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Nick Byrd | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 160 | Hopewell, VA | — | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Gavin Ward | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | James Island, SC | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Will Feagles | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 200 | Scottsdale, AZ | 13.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Brian Carter Jr. | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 · 195 | Memphis, TN | 19.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | John Roland Jr. | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 205 | Coral Springs, FL | 0.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Ethan Connery | Returning | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Akron, OH | 14.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsBridgewater College (VA)(non-D1) | W80-66Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  vsNorfolk State | Projected 84-71W&M: 87% to winWilliam & Mary: 87% to win Compare |
| Nov 11 |  atFlorida Atlantic | Projected 76-80W&M: 37% to winWilliam & Mary: 37% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  at#13Michigan | Projected 68-93W&M: 2% to winWilliam & Mary: 2% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsBowling Green | Projected 78-77W&M: 55% to winWilliam & Mary: 55% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 | vsAverett(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 22 |  atYoungstown State | Projected 76-78W&M: 45% to winWilliam & Mary: 45% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 |  vs (N)IU Indianapolis | Projected 86-76W&M: 82% to winWilliam & Mary: 82% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  atJames Madison | Projected 78-81W&M: 38% to winWilliam & Mary: 38% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 | vsWinston-Salem State(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 7 |  atOle Miss | Projected 67-88W&M: 4% to winWilliam & Mary: 4% to win Compare |
| Dec 10 |  atDelaware | Projected 75-74W&M: 52% to winWilliam & Mary: 52% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  atRichmond | Projected 76-85W&M: 22% to winWilliam & Mary: 22% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsCoastal Carolina | Projected 81-74W&M: 73% to winWilliam & Mary: 73% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 |  vsDrexelConference | Projected 80-71W&M: 77% to winWilliam & Mary: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsElonConference | Projected 80-76W&M: 64% to winWilliam & Mary: 64% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atNortheasternConference | Projected 84-81W&M: 60% to winWilliam & Mary: 60% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atHofstraConference | Projected 72-76W&M: 38% to winWilliam & Mary: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsHamptonConference | Projected 78-70W&M: 73% to winWilliam & Mary: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsCampbellConference | Projected 83-73W&M: 81% to winWilliam & Mary: 81% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 73-80W&M: 27% to winWilliam & Mary: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atStony BrookConference | Projected 76-77W&M: 45% to winWilliam & Mary: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atTowsonConference | Projected 73-74W&M: 47% to winWilliam & Mary: 47% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | vsNortheasternConference | Projected 87-77W&M: 80% to winWilliam & Mary: 80% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 77-78W&M: 49% to winWilliam & Mary: 49% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsCharlestonConference | Projected 77-80W&M: 42% to winWilliam & Mary: 42% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atCampbellConference | Projected 80-76W&M: 62% to winWilliam & Mary: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 |  vsMonmouthConference | Projected 78-75W&M: 59% to winWilliam & Mary: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  atNorth Carolina A&TConference | Projected 81-75W&M: 71% to winWilliam & Mary: 71% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsTowsonConference | Projected 77-71W&M: 68% to winWilliam & Mary: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atElonConference | Projected 76-79W&M: 42% to winWilliam & Mary: 42% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atHamptonConference | Projected 75-74W&M: 52% to winWilliam & Mary: 52% to win Compare |
CAA standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | UNC Wilmington | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | William & Mary | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Elon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Drexel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Monmouth | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Towson | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Hampton | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Campbell | 0-0 | 0-1 |
No games yet: Power Rankings order until the season tips off.
All conference standings →