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College Basketball · CAA · 2026-27

Stony Brook Seawolves

1-1 · Coach Geno Ford

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Power Rankings

#193▲16

Who is best right now.

-3.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -4.2 (#209)

Preseason: #209

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

18-14

Conference record
9-9
Conference title
3%
Outright title
1%
Luck
-0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #209 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #238 in the country (-6.7), 17-15.
  • →34% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Bryan Ndjonga (Canisius, 13.9 ppg), Jaden Daughtry (Richmond, 8.9 ppg), Kingston Price (Fordham, 1.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Erik Pratt (19.4 ppg), Rob Brown III (10.8 ppg), Andrej Shoshkikj (10.7 ppg, now at South Florida).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Stony Brook

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Morris UgusukG · Senior · #1604 ranked2 · 228.011.54.52.541.2 (7-17)12.5 (1-8)80.0 (8-10)
Bryan NdjongaF · Senior · #2741 ranked2 · 227.518.54.51.057.1 (12-21)40.0 (4-10)75.0 (9-12)
Collin O'ConnorG · Junior · #1918 ranked2 · 024.02.04.02.066.7 (2-3)0.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)
Ozgur CengizG · Freshman · #3688 ranked2 · 223.511.53.03.046.7 (7-15)50.0 (5-10)66.7 (4-6)
Jaden DaughtryF · Senior · #1512 ranked2 · 222.07.05.52.029.4 (5-17)0.0 (0-7)66.7 (4-6)
Ethan SimmonG · Senior · #2384 ranked2 · 017.04.01.50.522.2 (2-9)22.2 (2-9)100.0 (2-2)
Quin GormanF · Junior · #1730 ranked2 · 013.51.53.51.550.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-1)33.3 (1-3)
Kingston PriceG · Sophomore · #2843 ranked1 · 012.04.00.02.050.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)
Tomas ValentinyF · Sophomore · #2125 ranked2 · 212.03.03.50.040.0 (2-5)33.3 (1-3)50.0 (1-2)
Leonardo Van ElswykC · Sophomore2 · 09.08.51.50.572.7 (8-11)25.0 (1-4)— (0-0)
Jonah ButlerG · Sophomore · #2142 ranked2 · 08.54.04.51.542.9 (3-7)25.0 (1-4)20.0 (1-5)
Efe VatanF · Sophomore · #2301 ranked1 · 08.04.01.00.066.7 (2-3)0.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-2)
Kasen DaegerG · Freshman1 · 07.011.02.00.066.7 (4-6)75.0 (3-4)— (0-0)
Liam DagostinoG · Sophomore · #2563 ranked1 · 03.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Tomas ValentinyF · SophomoreReturning194.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast
Bryan NdjongaF · SeniorTransfer from Canisius1913.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast
Quin GormanF · JuniorReturning193.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast
Jaden DaughtryF · SeniorTransfer from Richmond198.9 pts · 3 reb · 0.6 ast
Morris UgusukG · SeniorTransfer from West Virginia161.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast
Ethan SimmonG · SeniorReturning155.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast
Jonah ButlerG · SophomoreReturning144.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast
Kingston PriceG · SophomoreTransfer from Fordham141.7 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.4 ast
Efe VatanF · SophomoreTransfer from Oregon121.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast
Collin O'ConnorG · JuniorReturning107.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.8 ast
Liam DagostinoG · SophomoreReturning51 pts · 2.3 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Erik Pratt (19.4 ppg), Rob Brown III (10.8 ppg), Andrej Shoshkikj (10.7 ppg, to South Florida), Richard Goods (7.7 ppg, to South Florida), Toby Onyekonwu (2.3 ppg), Oleg Kojenets (2.9 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
2Jaden DaughtryTransfer from RichmondFSenior6-7 · 230Richmond, VA7.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)8.9 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.6 ast (31 G)#1512 · +0.09
4Morris UgusukTransfer from West VirginiaGSenior6-4 · 180Helsinki, Finland11.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)1.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast (25 G)#1604 · +0.05
15Quin GormanReturningFJunior6-8 · 210Falls Church, VA1.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast (31 G)#1730 · 0.00
13Collin O'ConnorReturningGJunior6-3 · 195Dayton, OH2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)7.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.8 ast (8 G)#1918 · -0.08
21Tomas ValentinyReturningFSophomore6-6 · 201Zilina, Slovakia3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G)#2125 · -0.16
3Jonah ButlerReturningGSophomore6-6 · 210Murray, KY4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)4.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast (30 G)#2142 · -0.17
34Efe VatanTransfer from OregonFSophomore6-10 · 230Istanbul, Türkiye4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G)#2301 · -0.23
7Ethan SimmonReturningGSenior6-5 · 205Edison, NJ4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)5.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast (28 G)#2384 · -0.26
6Liam DagostinoReturningGSophomore6-5 · 180Saratoga Springs, NY0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)1.0 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G)#2563 · -0.32
9Bryan NdjongaTransfer from CanisiusFSenior6-9 · 210Yaounde, Cameroon18.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)13.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast (31 G)#2741 · -0.40
0Kingston PriceTransfer from FordhamGSophomore6-2 · 180Bowie, MD4.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)1.7 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.4 ast (22 G)#2843 · -0.43
1Ozgur CengizFreshmanGFreshman6-1Bursa, Türkiye11.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)—#3688 · -0.80
10Kasen DaegerFreshmanGFreshman6-3Sellersburg, IN11.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
33Leonardo Van ElswykTransfer from ColoradoCSophomore7-1 · 245Milan, Italy8.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
5Kenny FieldsNew to Division IGJunior5-10Harlem, NYHasn't played—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsOld Westbury(non-D1)W97-47Box score →
Nov 6atNorthwesternL65-78Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 11atPrincetonProjected 69-71STBK: 40% to win Compare
Nov 17vsSUNY Potsdam(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 21atSaint Peter'sProjected 69-66STBK: 60% to win Compare
Nov 25vsLindenwoodProjected 80-70STBK: 82% to win Compare
Nov 28vsDelawareProjected 73-68STBK: 67% to win Compare
Dec 2vsMaryland Eastern ShoreProjected 75-61STBK: 89% to win Compare
Dec 5atMaineProjected 73-68STBK: 67% to win Compare
Dec 8vsSUNY Canton(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 12vsLa SalleProjected 76-73STBK: 60% to win Compare
Dec 15atOhio StateProjected 66-86STBK: 5% to win Compare
Dec 18vsNew HavenProjected 75-63STBK: 85% to win Compare
Dec 22atBrownProjected 71-69STBK: 58% to win Compare
Dec 31vsMonmouthConferenceProjected 73-72STBK: 53% to win Compare
Jan 2atHofstraConferenceProjected 68-73STBK: 33% to win Compare
Jan 9vsTowsonConferenceProjected 72-68STBK: 62% to win Compare
Jan 14atNorth Carolina A&TConferenceProjected 76-72STBK: 64% to win Compare
Jan 16atElonConferenceProjected 72-76STBK: 37% to win Compare
Jan 18atCampbellConferenceProjected 75-74STBK: 56% to win Compare
Jan 21vsWilliam & MaryConferenceProjected 77-76STBK: 55% to win Compare
Jan 23atNortheasternConferenceProjected 79-78STBK: 54% to win Compare
Jan 28vsHamptonConferenceProjected 73-68STBK: 67% to win Compare
Feb 1vsDrexelConferenceProjected 75-68STBK: 72% to win Compare
Feb 4vsElonConferenceProjected 75-73STBK: 58% to win Compare
Feb 6vsCampbellConferenceProjected 78-70STBK: 75% to win Compare
Feb 11atCharlestonConferenceProjected 69-80STBK: 19% to win Compare
Feb 13atUNC WilmingtonConferenceProjected 69-77STBK: 24% to win Compare
Feb 22vsHofstraConferenceProjected 71-70STBK: 53% to win Compare
Feb 25atDrexelConferenceProjected 72-71STBK: 52% to win Compare
Feb 27atMonmouthConferenceProjected 70-75STBK: 32% to win Compare
Mar 2vsNortheasternConferenceProjected 82-74STBK: 74% to win Compare

CAA standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Charleston0-02-0
2UNC Wilmington0-02-0
3William & Mary0-01-0
4Elon0-02-0
5Hofstra0-01-1
6Stony Brook0-01-1
7Drexel0-01-1
8North Carolina A&T0-01-1
9Monmouth0-00-2
10Towson0-00-2
11Hampton0-00-2
12Northeastern0-00-2
13Campbell0-00-1
All conference standings →