
College Basketball · CAA · 2026-27
Stony Brook Seawolves
1-1 · Coach Geno Ford
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-3.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -4.2 (#209)
Preseason: #209
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 3%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #209 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #238 in the country (-6.7), 17-15.
- →34% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Bryan Ndjonga (Canisius, 13.9 ppg), Jaden Daughtry (Richmond, 8.9 ppg), Kingston Price (Fordham, 1.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Erik Pratt (19.4 ppg), Rob Brown III (10.8 ppg), Andrej Shoshkikj (10.7 ppg, now at South Florida).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Stony Brook
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris UgusukG · Senior · #1604 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 41.2 (7-17) | 12.5 (1-8) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Bryan NdjongaF · Senior · #2741 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 57.1 (12-21) | 40.0 (4-10) | 75.0 (9-12) |
| Collin O'ConnorG · Junior · #1918 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Ozgur CengizG · Freshman · #3688 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 50.0 (5-10) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Jaden DaughtryF · Senior · #1512 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 29.4 (5-17) | 0.0 (0-7) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Ethan SimmonG · Senior · #2384 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 22.2 (2-9) | 22.2 (2-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Quin GormanF · Junior · #1730 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Kingston PriceG · Sophomore · #2843 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Tomas ValentinyF · Sophomore · #2125 ranked | 2 · 2 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Leonardo Van ElswykC · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 72.7 (8-11) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Jonah ButlerG · Sophomore · #2142 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 42.9 (3-7) | 25.0 (1-4) | 20.0 (1-5) |
| Efe VatanF · Sophomore · #2301 ranked | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Kasen DaegerG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (4-6) | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) |
| Liam DagostinoG · Sophomore · #2563 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas ValentinyF · Sophomore | 19 | 4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Bryan NdjongaF · Senior | 19 | 13.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Quin GormanF · Junior | 19 | 3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Jaden DaughtryF · Senior | 19 | 8.9 pts · 3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Morris UgusukG · Senior | 16 | 1.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Ethan SimmonG · Senior | 15 | 5.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Jonah ButlerG · Sophomore | 14 | 4.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Kingston PriceG · Sophomore | 14 | 1.7 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Efe VatanF · Sophomore | 12 | 1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast | |
| Collin O'ConnorG · Junior | 10 | 7.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Liam DagostinoG · Sophomore | 5 | 1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Erik Pratt (19.4 ppg), Rob Brown III (10.8 ppg), Andrej Shoshkikj (10.7 ppg, to
South Florida), Richard Goods (7.7 ppg, to
South Florida), Toby Onyekonwu (2.3 ppg), Oleg Kojenets (2.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jaden Daughtry | F | Senior | 6-7 · 230 | Richmond, VA | 7.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 8.9 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.6 ast (31 G) | #1512 · +0.09 | |
| 4 | Morris Ugusuk | G | Senior | 6-4 · 180 | Helsinki, Finland | 11.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 1.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast (25 G) | #1604 · +0.05 | |
| 15 | Quin Gorman | F | Junior | 6-8 · 210 | Falls Church, VA | 1.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast (31 G) | #1730 · 0.00 | |
| 13 | Collin O'Connor | G | Junior | 6-3 · 195 | Dayton, OH | 2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.8 ast (8 G) | #1918 · -0.08 | |
| 21 | Tomas Valentiny | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 201 | Zilina, Slovakia | 3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #2125 · -0.16 | |
| 3 | Jonah Butler | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 210 | Murray, KY | 4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 4.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast (30 G) | #2142 · -0.17 | |
| 34 | Efe Vatan | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 230 | Istanbul, Türkiye | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2301 · -0.23 | |
| 7 | Ethan Simmon | G | Senior | 6-5 · 205 | Edison, NJ | 4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast (28 G) | #2384 · -0.26 | |
| 6 | Liam Dagostino | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 180 | Saratoga Springs, NY | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #2563 · -0.32 | |
| 9 | Bryan Ndjonga | F | Senior | 6-9 · 210 | Yaounde, Cameroon | 18.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 13.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast (31 G) | #2741 · -0.40 | |
| 0 | Kingston Price | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Bowie, MD | 4.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 1.7 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.4 ast (22 G) | #2843 · -0.43 | |
| 1 | Ozgur Cengiz | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 | Bursa, Türkiye | 11.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3688 · -0.80 |
| 10 | Kasen Daeger | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 | Sellersburg, IN | 11.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 33 | Leonardo Van Elswyk | C | Sophomore | 7-1 · 245 | Milan, Italy | 8.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 5 | Kenny Fields | New to Division I | G | Junior | 5-10 | Harlem, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsOld Westbury(non-D1) | W97-47Box score → |
| Nov 6 | L65-78Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 | Projected 69-71STBK: 40% to winStony Brook: 40% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | vsSUNY Potsdam(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 21 | Projected 69-66STBK: 60% to winStony Brook: 60% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 80-70STBK: 82% to winStony Brook: 82% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 73-68STBK: 67% to winStony Brook: 67% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 75-61STBK: 89% to winStony Brook: 89% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 73-68STBK: 67% to winStony Brook: 67% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | vsSUNY Canton(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 12 | Projected 76-73STBK: 60% to winStony Brook: 60% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 66-86STBK: 5% to winStony Brook: 5% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 75-63STBK: 85% to winStony Brook: 85% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 71-69STBK: 58% to winStony Brook: 58% to win Compare | |
| Dec 31 | Projected 73-72STBK: 53% to winStony Brook: 53% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 68-73STBK: 33% to winStony Brook: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 72-68STBK: 62% to winStony Brook: 62% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 76-72STBK: 64% to winStony Brook: 64% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 72-76STBK: 37% to winStony Brook: 37% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 75-74STBK: 56% to winStony Brook: 56% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 77-76STBK: 55% to winStony Brook: 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 79-78STBK: 54% to winStony Brook: 54% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 73-68STBK: 67% to winStony Brook: 67% to win Compare | |
| Feb 1 | Projected 75-68STBK: 72% to winStony Brook: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 75-73STBK: 58% to winStony Brook: 58% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 78-70STBK: 75% to winStony Brook: 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 69-80STBK: 19% to winStony Brook: 19% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 69-77STBK: 24% to winStony Brook: 24% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 71-70STBK: 53% to winStony Brook: 53% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 72-71STBK: 52% to winStony Brook: 52% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 70-75STBK: 32% to winStony Brook: 32% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 82-74STBK: 74% to winStony Brook: 74% to win Compare | |
CAA standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 0-1 |