
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-2.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +1.2 (#144)
Preseason: #144
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
14-18
- Conference record
- 7-11
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #144 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #121 in the country (+4.6), 20-12.
- →10% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Justyn Fernandez (Delaware, 16.6 ppg), Deuce Jones (Saint Joseph's, 15.8 ppg), Elijah Duval (Southern Utah, 15.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Korie Corbett (#250).
- →Lost Chance Westry (15.5 ppg, now at Xavier), Daniel Rivera (12 ppg), Evan Chatman (8.8 ppg, now at Baylor).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UAB
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce JonesG · Junior · #477 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 28.6 (6-21) | 14.3 (1-7) | 81.2 (13-16) |
| Jeremy ElyzeeG · Junior · #1250 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| Justyn FernandezG · Senior · #2089 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 39.1 (9-23) | 25.0 (3-12) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Salim LondonG · Sophomore · #1696 ranked | 2 · 1 | 25.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 25.0 (2-8) | 0.0 (0-4) | 100.0 (8-8) |
| T.J. CaldwellG · Senior · #1568 ranked | 2 · 0 | 23.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 42.1 (8-19) | 44.4 (4-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Elijah DuvalG · Sophomore · #1286 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 54.5 (6-11) | 100.0 (2-2) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Aleks AlstonF · Sophomore · #2160 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (2-4) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Matt MboleC · Junior · #3633 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Antallah Sandlin-ElF · Junior | 2 · 1 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 40.0 (2-5) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Korie CorbettG · Freshman · #3351 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (2-4) | 50.0 (1-2) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Kaleb DavisC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Tim HollidayG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salim LondonG · Sophomore | 20 | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Justyn FernandezG · Senior | 19 | 16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Jeremy ElyzeeG · Junior | 19 | 11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| T.J. CaldwellG · Senior | 19 | 9.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast | |
| Elijah DuvalG · Sophomore | 18 | 15.3 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast | |
| Deuce JonesG · Junior | 15 | 15.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.3 ast | |
| Aleks AlstonF · Sophomore | 14 | 1.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Korie CorbettG · Freshman | Freshman · #250 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Chance Westry (15.5 ppg, to
Xavier), Daniel Rivera (12 ppg), Evan Chatman (8.8 ppg, to
Baylor), Jacob Meyer (12.4 ppg, to
Georgia State), Ahmad Robinson (9.5 ppg), KyeRon Lindsay-Martin (10.8 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deuce Jones | G | Junior | 6-2 · 185 | Trenton, NJ | 13.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 15.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.3 ast (10 G) | #477 · +0.91 | |
| 0 | Jeremy Elyzee | G | Junior | 6-7 · 200 | Hialeah, FL | 7.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast (31 G) | #1250 · +0.23 | |
| 7 | Elijah Duval | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 195 | Wilmington, DE | 10.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 15.3 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.6 ast (31 G) | #1286 · +0.21 | |
| 55 | T.J. Caldwell | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Dallas, TX | 11.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 9.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.0 ast (32 G) | #1568 · +0.06 | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 205 | Hoover, AL | 6.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G) | #1696 · +0.02 | |
| 4 | Justyn Fernandez | G | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Richmond, VA | 12.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast (28 G) | #2089 · -0.15 | |
| 24 | Aleks Alston | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 220 | Chicago, IL | 2.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast (25 G) | #2160 · -0.18 | |
| 10 | Korie Corbett | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 195 | Columbia, SC | 4.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3351 · -0.64 |
| 3 | Matt Mbole | New to Division I | C | Junior | 6-11 · 275 | Yaounde, Cameroon | 3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3633 · -0.77 |
| 21 | Kaleb Davis | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 215 | Collierville, TN | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Tim Holliday | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 190 | Fulton, MS | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Antallah Sandlin-El | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 220 | Lincoln, NE | 4.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L78-99Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W70-63Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 84-70UAB: 88% to winUAB: 88% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 73-74UAB: 46% to winUAB: 46% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 81-77UAB: 64% to winUAB: 64% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 70-82UAB: 14% to winUAB: 14% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 72-79UAB: 27% to winUAB: 27% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | vsAuburn Montgomery(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 2 | Projected 79-76UAB: 59% to winUAB: 59% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 74-75UAB: 45% to winUAB: 45% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 75-78UAB: 38% to winUAB: 38% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 72-81UAB: 23% to winUAB: 23% to win Compare | |
| Dec 17 | Projected 77-71UAB: 70% to winUAB: 70% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 81-72UAB: 79% to winUAB: 79% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 82-76UAB: 70% to winUAB: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 80-74UAB: 70% to winUAB: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 71-77UAB: 29% to winUAB: 29% to win Compare | |
| Jan 8 | Projected 68-83UAB: 10% to winUAB: 10% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 78-76UAB: 57% to winUAB: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 17 | Projected 74-84UAB: 21% to winUAB: 21% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 77-78UAB: 49% to winUAB: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 71-79UAB: 26% to winUAB: 26% to win Compare | |
| Jan 31 | Projected 74-75UAB: 49% to winUAB: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 72-86UAB: 12% to winUAB: 12% to win Compare | |
| Feb 7 | Projected 71-87UAB: 9% to winUAB: 9% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 72-75UAB: 40% to winUAB: 40% to win Compare | |
| Feb 14 | Projected 74-76UAB: 46% to winUAB: 46% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 72-90UAB: 6% to winUAB: 6% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 76-75UAB: 54% to winUAB: 54% to win Compare | |
| Feb 28 | Projected 76-83UAB: 27% to winUAB: 27% to win Compare | |
| Mar 4 | Projected 82-71UAB: 83% to winUAB: 83% to win Compare | |
| Mar 7 | Projected 75-79UAB: 35% to winUAB: 35% to win Compare | |
American standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 |