College Basketball · Sun Belt · 2026-27
Troy Trojans
0-2 · Coach Adam Howard (new)
Power Rankings
#204▼49
Who is best right now.
-4.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +0.1 (#155)
Preseason: #155
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-14
- Conference record
- 10-8
- Conference title
- 13%
- Outright title
- 6%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #155 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #157 in the country (+0.9), 22-12.
- →9% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Donovan Oday (Northern Kentucky, 18.6 ppg), Jacoi Hutchinson (Longwood, 12.3 ppg), Caden Diggs (UMBC, 10 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Thomas Dowd (14.4 ppg, now at Auburn), Cooper Campbell (12.5 ppg, now at Liberty), Victor Valdes (14.8 ppg, now at Georgia Tech).
- →New head coach: Adam Howard, replacing Scott Cross. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Troy
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi HutchinsonG · Senior · #908 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 37.5 (6-16) | 50.0 (2-4) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Donovan OdayG · Senior · #215 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (10-20) | 33.3 (3-9) | 55.6 (5-9) |
| Robert Davis Jr.G · Senior · #2942 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 20.0 (3-15) | 21.4 (3-14) | — (0-0) |
| Caden DiggsF · Junior · #1407 ranked | 2 · 1 | 22.5 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 31.6 (6-19) | 16.7 (1-6) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Caua PachecoG · Freshman · #3560 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 27.3 (3-11) | 16.7 (1-6) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Sam WaltersF · Senior · #1655 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 33.3 (4-12) | 36.4 (4-11) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Mobi IkegwurukaF · Senior · #1915 ranked | 2 · 2 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-3) |
| Kerrington KielF · Senior · #1537 ranked | 2 · 1 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Willie Piggott Jr.G · Freshman · #3814 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Romain ValakouG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Evan GriffinF · Junior · #1779 ranked | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Tucker WadsworthG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan OdayG · Senior |  Transfer from Northern Kentucky | 24 | 18.6 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Jacoi HutchinsonG · Senior |  Transfer from Longwood | 20 | 12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.2 ast |
| Caden DiggsF · Junior |  Transfer from UMBC | 19 | 10 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Robert Davis Jr.G · Senior |  Transfer from Old Dominion | 18 | 9.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Kerrington KielF · Senior |  Returning | 18 | 3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Sam WaltersF · Senior |  Transfer from SMU | 15 | 2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Mobi IkegwurukaF · Senior |  Transfer from Kansas State | 13 | 1.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Evan GriffinF · Junior | Returning | 7 | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Hikaru AwataG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0.2 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Thomas Dowd (14.4 ppg, to 
Auburn), Cooper Campbell (12.5 ppg, to 
Liberty), Victor Valdes (14.8 ppg, to 
Georgia Tech), Theo Seng (12.7 ppg), Cobi Campbell (9 ppg, to Liberty), Jerrell Bellamy (7.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Donovan Oday | Transfer from Northern Kentucky | G | Senior | 6-2 · 195 | Arlington, TX | 14.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 18.6 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.9 ast (34 G) | #215 · +1.37 |
| 1 | Jacoi Hutchinson | Transfer from Longwood | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Laurel, MD | 9.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | 12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.2 ast (31 G) | #908 · +0.45 |
| 11 | Caden Diggs | Transfer from UMBC | F | Junior | 6-8 · 215 | Waldorf, MD | 9.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #1407 · +0.14 |
| 0 | Kerrington Kiel | Returning | F | Senior | 6-5 · 200 | Birmingham, AL | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G) | #1537 · +0.08 |
| 24 | Sam Walters | Transfer from SMU | F | Senior | 6-9 · 215 | The Villages, FL | 7.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (24 G) | #1655 · +0.03 |
| 25 | Evan Griffin | Returning | F | Junior | 6-9 · 235 | Geneva, AL | 2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.5 ast (13 G) | #1779 · -0.03 |
| 7 | Mobi Ikegwuruka | Transfer from Kansas State | F | Senior | 6-6 · 220 | Galway, Ireland | 4.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.9 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.4 ast (10 G) | #1915 · -0.08 |
| 4 | Robert Davis Jr. | Transfer from Old Dominion | G | Senior | 6-6 · 190 | Detroit, MI | 4.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 9.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast (26 G) | #2942 · -0.47 |
| 30 | Hikaru Awata | Returning | G | Junior | 5-7 · 175 | Hachioji, Japan | Hasn't played | 0.2 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #3065 · -0.52 |
| 2 | Caua Pacheco | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 190 | Rio Claro, Brazil | 5.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3560 · -0.74 |
| 5 | Willie Piggott Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 205 | Tampa, FL | 3.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3814 · -0.85 |
| 27 | Afonso Pacheco | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-8 · 230 | Rio De Janeiro, Brazil | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Tucker Wadsworth | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 205 | Enterprise, AL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Jayme Kontuniemi |  Transfer from NC State | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 210 | Helsinki, Finland | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Romain Valakou | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Bordeaux, France | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsMassachusetts | L60-71Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  atFlorida State | L68-91Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsLoyola Marymount | Projected 73-77TROY: 38% to winTroy: 38% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 | atNC State | Projected 64-85TROY: 4% to winTroy: 4% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsCal State Northridge | Projected 78-77TROY: 52% to winTroy: 52% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vs (N)ValparaisoPensacola Invitational | Projected 68-73TROY: 32% to winTroy: 32% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vs (N)NichollsPensacola Invitational | Projected 73-71TROY: 56% to winTroy: 56% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atChattanooga | Projected 75-76TROY: 46% to winTroy: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  vsFurman | Projected 73-77TROY: 35% to winTroy: 35% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsUAB | Projected 75-74TROY: 55% to winTroy: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 | vsMississippi U for Women(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 16 |  vsLouisiana TechConference | Projected 74-68TROY: 68% to winTroy: 68% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsCoastal CarolinaConference | Projected 76-71TROY: 66% to winTroy: 66% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 | vsWilliam Carey(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 |  atApp StateConference | Projected 67-70TROY: 40% to winTroy: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atJames MadisonConference | Projected 72-78TROY: 31% to winTroy: 31% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsGeorgia StateConference | Projected 75-72TROY: 60% to winTroy: 60% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsGeorgia SouthernConference | Projected 79-72TROY: 72% to winTroy: 72% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atSouthern MissConference | Projected 72-73TROY: 47% to winTroy: 47% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsUL MonroeConference | Projected 84-68TROY: 91% to winTroy: 91% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 | atLouisiana TechConference | Projected 71-72TROY: 48% to winTroy: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atLouisianaConference | Projected 70-68TROY: 54% to winTroy: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsSouth AlabamaConference | Projected 75-68TROY: 75% to winTroy: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsArkansas StateConference | Projected 77-75TROY: 55% to winTroy: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | atUL MonroeConference | Projected 81-71TROY: 79% to winTroy: 79% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | vsLouisianaConference | Projected 73-65TROY: 73% to winTroy: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atArkansas StateConference | Projected 73-79TROY: 33% to winTroy: 33% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | atSouth AlabamaConference | Projected 72-71TROY: 56% to winTroy: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsSouthern MissConference | Projected 75-70TROY: 68% to winTroy: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 |  atMarshallConference | Projected 72-79TROY: 28% to winTroy: 28% to win Compare |
Sun Belt standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Dominion | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | App State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Marshall | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Arkansas State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Southern Miss | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Georgia Southern | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | South Alabama | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | UL Monroe | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Georgia State | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 11 | James Madison | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Troy | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Coastal Carolina | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 14 | Louisiana | 0-0 | 0-2 |