Power Rankings
#109▼6
Who is best right now.
+7.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +7.2 (#103)
Preseason: #103
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-11
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 16%
- Outright title
- 8%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #103 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #70 in the country (+13.2), 26-6.
- →38% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Kayden Fish (Ball State, 7.2 ppg), Vincent Neugebauer (Florida Atlantic, 2.4 ppg), Matthew Zobrist (Bradley, 1.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Tyler Lundblade (15.6 ppg, now at Tennessee), Sam Orme (12.7 ppg, now at Nebraska), Nic McClain (10.4 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Belmont
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack SmileyG · Sophomore · #472 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 45.5 (15-33) | 40.0 (6-15) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Eoin DillonF · Junior · #652 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 35.7 (5-14) | 30.0 (3-10) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Vincent NeugebauerC · Junior · #2092 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 87.5 (7-8) | — (0-0) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Isaiah WestG · Senior · #1640 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 28.6 (2-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jabez JenkinsG · Junior · #728 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 41.7 (5-12) | 0.0 (0-5) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Ethan SageG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 (5-8) | 50.0 (2-4) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Aleksa RisticG · Sophomore · #2254 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 75.0 (6-8) | 66.7 (2-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Matthew ZobristG · Sophomore · #2231 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-4) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Charlie GersmehlF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Kayden FishF · Senior · #2318 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Cooper HaynesG · Junior · #1880 ranked | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Cooper KnowlesF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Eli BrownG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Graydon LemkeF · Junior · #2055 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jabez JenkinsG · Junior |  Returning | 24 | 9 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Jack SmileyG · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 8.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.6 ast |
| Eoin DillonF · Junior | Returning | 18 | 7.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Isaiah WestG · Senior | Returning | 17 | 2.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast |
| Kayden FishF · Senior |  Transfer from Ball State | 14 | 7.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Vincent NeugebauerC · Junior |  Transfer from Florida Atlantic | 13 | 2.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Matthew ZobristG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Bradley | 12 | 1.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Aleksa RisticG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Indiana | 12 | 0.5 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
| Cooper HaynesG · Junior | Returning | 6 | 1.7 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Graydon LemkeF · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0.8 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Tyler Lundblade (15.6 ppg, to 
Tennessee), Sam Orme (12.7 ppg, to 
Nebraska), Nic McClain (10.4 ppg), Drew Scharnowski (10.7 ppg, to 
Duke), Brigham Rogers (7.1 ppg, to 
Murray State), Aidan Noyes (5.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jack Smiley | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Valparaiso, IN | 20.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 8.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.6 ast (31 G) | #472 · +0.91 |
| 5 | Eoin Dillon | Returning | F | Junior | 6-9 · 220 | Peoria, IL | 7.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 7.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (32 G) | #652 · +0.71 |
| 10 | Jabez Jenkins | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 200 | Covington, GA | 7.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 9.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G) | #728 · +0.63 |
| 3 | Isaiah West | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 195 | Springfield, TN | 3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 2.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast (32 G) | #1640 · +0.04 |
| 13 | Cooper Haynes | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 200 | Memphis, TN | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.7 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast (15 G) | #1880 · -0.07 |
| 33 | Graydon Lemke | Returning | F | Junior | 6-10 · 210 | Las Vegas, NV | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.8 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (13 G) | #2055 · -0.13 |
| 9 | Vincent Neugebauer | Transfer from Florida Atlantic | C | Junior | 7-1 · 240 | Oldenburg, Germany | 8.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 2.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast (14 G) | #2092 · -0.15 |
| 1 | Matthew Zobrist | Transfer from Bradley | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 205 | Metamora, IL | 2.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 1.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (13 G) | #2231 · -0.20 |
| 4 | Aleksa Ristic | Transfer from Indiana | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 200 | Nis, Serbia | 7.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 0.5 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G) | #2254 · -0.21 |
| 11 | Kayden Fish | Transfer from Ball State | F | Senior | 6-6 · 235 | Kansas City, MO | 6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 7.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast (23 G) | #2318 · -0.23 |
| 23 | Charlie Gersmehl | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 215 | Cumming, GA | 8.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Cooper Knowles | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 210 | Niota, IL | 2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Eli Brown | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Murfreesboro, TN | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Ethan Sage | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 205 | Weatherford, OK | 7.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| Bryce Bradley | New to Division I | 5th | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsSouthern Indiana | W72-54Box score → |
| Nov 5 | vsCentre College(non-D1) | W75-45Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  atLipscomb | Projected 79-74BEL: 68% to winBelmont: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vsFurman | Projected 79-75BEL: 63% to winBelmont: 63% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 | vsUnion Commonwealth (KY)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 23 |  vs (N)YaleESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 76-73BEL: 62% to winBelmont: 62% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)AkronESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 76-80BEL: 37% to winBelmont: 37% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)St. BonaventureESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 78-72BEL: 69% to winBelmont: 69% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  atWestern Kentucky | Projected 75-77BEL: 45% to winBelmont: 45% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsMiddle Tennessee | Projected 80-67BEL: 87% to winBelmont: 87% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  atUAB | Projected 78-75BEL: 62% to winBelmont: 62% to win Compare |
| Dec 14 |  vsCharleston | Projected 78-74BEL: 63% to winBelmont: 63% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 | atBradleyConference | Projected 76-70BEL: 70% to winBelmont: 70% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  atIllinois StateConference | Projected 73-77BEL: 34% to winBelmont: 34% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsNorthern IowaConference | Projected 77-71BEL: 69% to winBelmont: 69% to win Compare |
| Jan 1 |  vsUICConference | Projected 74-75BEL: 50% to winBelmont: 50% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atDrakeConference | Projected 77-75BEL: 55% to winBelmont: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 | vsIllinois StateConference | Projected 76-74BEL: 55% to winBelmont: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atEvansvilleConference | Projected 80-68BEL: 84% to winBelmont: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 83-72BEL: 83% to winBelmont: 83% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  vsIndiana StateConference | Projected 81-69BEL: 84% to winBelmont: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atValparaisoConference | Projected 72-73BEL: 48% to winBelmont: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | atUICConference | Projected 71-77BEL: 29% to winBelmont: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | vsDrakeConference | Projected 80-72BEL: 75% to winBelmont: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 80-76BEL: 65% to winBelmont: 65% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atMurray StateConference | Projected 78-82BEL: 36% to winBelmont: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | vsBradleyConference | Projected 79-67BEL: 86% to winBelmont: 86% to win Compare |
| Feb 12 | vsEvansvilleConference | Projected 83-65BEL: 94% to winBelmont: 94% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | atIndiana StateConference | Projected 77-72BEL: 67% to winBelmont: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsMurray StateConference | Projected 81-79BEL: 59% to winBelmont: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsValparaisoConference | Projected 75-70BEL: 69% to winBelmont: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 28 | atNorthern IowaConference | Projected 74-75BEL: 49% to winBelmont: 49% to win Compare |
MVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UIC | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Murray State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Belmont | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Drake | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Evansville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Illinois State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Southern Illinois | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Indiana State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Bradley | 0-0 | 1-1 |