
College Basketball · Am. East · 2026-27
UMass Lowell River Hawks
2-0 · Coach Pat Duquette
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-11.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -15.3 (#319)
Preseason: #319
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 9-7
- Conference title
- 9%
- Outright title
- 4%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #319 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #318 in the country (-15.8), 15-18.
- →11% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Jakai Newton (Georgia State, 7.2 ppg), Jayden Harris (Eastern Kentucky, 6.3 ppg), Christian Jones (Siena, 4.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Jasiah Cannady (#272), Elhadji Diallo (#277).
- →Lost Xavier Spencer (11.9 ppg, now at Lindenwood), Darrel Yepdo (10.3 ppg, now at Vermont), Angel Montas Jr. (15.8 ppg, now at Toledo).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UMass Lowell
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah WalterG · Sophomore · #2857 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 35.3 (6-17) | 22.2 (2-9) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Christian JonesG · Sophomore · #2711 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 55.6 (5-9) | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Jakai NewtonG · Senior · #2446 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 53.3 (8-15) | 0.0 (0-1) | 64.3 (9-14) |
| Jayden HarrisF · Sophomore · #1425 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 19.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 55.6 (15-27) | 50.0 (7-14) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Victor OkojieF · Sophomore · #2276 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 68.8 (11-16) | 40.0 (2-5) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Kenyon GilesG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jasiah CannadyG · Freshman · #3484 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 50.0 (6-12) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jaden FlemonsG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 28.6 (2-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Elhadji DialloF · Freshman · #3529 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 70.0 (7-10) | — (0-0) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Donovan HandF · Junior | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (4-4) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Jerrell Roberson IIF · Senior · #2868 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian JonesG · Sophomore | 20 | 4.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Victor OkojieF · Sophomore | 17 | 5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Jayden HarrisF · Sophomore | 16 | 6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Jakai NewtonG · Senior | 16 | 7.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Jasiah CannadyG · Freshman | Freshman · #272 recruit | 8 | — |
| Elhadji DialloF · Freshman | Freshman · #277 recruit | 8 | — |
| Isaiah WalterG · Sophomore | 7 | 3 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Jerrell Roberson IIF · Senior | 7 | 3.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Xavier Spencer (11.9 ppg, to
Lindenwood), Darrel Yepdo (10.3 ppg, to
Vermont), Angel Montas Jr. (15.8 ppg, to
Toledo), Austin Green (13.2 ppg), Shawn Simmons II (6.7 ppg, to
Houston Christian), JJ Massaquoi (8.5 ppg, to
SE Louisiana)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jayden Harris | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 189 | Dumfries, VA | 19.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast (29 G) | #1425 · +0.13 | |
| 23 | Victor Okojie | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Castlebar, Ireland | 14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.0 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast (29 G) | #2276 · -0.22 | |
| 0 | Jakai Newton | G | Senior | 6-3 · 205 | Covington, GA | 12.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 7.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast (21 G) | #2446 · -0.28 | |
| 3 | Christian Jones | G | Sophomore | 5-11 · 160 | Houston, TX | 6.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 6.5 ast (2 G) | 4.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G) | #2711 · -0.38 | |
| 6 | Isaiah Walter | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 200 | Central Coast, NSW | 8.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.9 ast (13 G) | #2857 · -0.43 | |
| 15 | Jerrell Roberson II | F | Senior | 6-9 · 225 | Upper Marlboro, MD | 4.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G) | #2868 · -0.44 | |
| 2 | Jasiah Cannady | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 | Prince George County, MD | 8.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3484 · -0.70 |
| 8 | Elhadji Diallo | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 | Dakar, Senegal | 10.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3529 · -0.73 |
| 10 | Jaden Flemons | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 | San Antonio, TX | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Max Ellis | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 | Long Beach, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Donovan Hand | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 | College Park, GA | 9.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Kenyon Giles | New to Division I | G | Junior | 5-11 | Cleveland, OH | 12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 5.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsRivier(non-D1) | W121-57Box score → |
| Nov 5 | W71-61Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 74-72UML: 56% to winUMass Lowell: 56% to win Compare | |
| Nov 11 | Projected 69-79UML: 20% to winUMass Lowell: 20% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 71-67UML: 62% to winUMass Lowell: 62% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 59-88UML: 1% to winUMass Lowell: 1% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 70-73UML: 38% to winUMass Lowell: 38% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 69-79UML: 19% to winUMass Lowell: 19% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 74-78UML: 39% to winUMass Lowell: 39% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 64-85UML: 4% to winUMass Lowell: 4% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 60-82UML: 3% to winUMass Lowell: 3% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 77-76UML: 51% to winUMass Lowell: 51% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 75-70UML: 67% to winUMass Lowell: 67% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | vsFisher(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 20 | Projected 76-74UML: 57% to winUMass Lowell: 57% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | vsEmerson(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | Projected 72-69UML: 60% to winUMass Lowell: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 66-76UML: 19% to winUMass Lowell: 19% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 76-68UML: 76% to winUMass Lowell: 76% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 75-69UML: 70% to winUMass Lowell: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 71-72UML: 48% to winUMass Lowell: 48% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 74-76UML: 44% to winUMass Lowell: 44% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 76-71UML: 68% to winUMass Lowell: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 74-71UML: 60% to winUMass Lowell: 60% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 74-68UML: 69% to winUMass Lowell: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 69-72UML: 39% to winUMass Lowell: 39% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 73-72UML: 50% to winUMass Lowell: 50% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 77-68UML: 78% to winUMass Lowell: 78% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 78-73UML: 66% to winUMass Lowell: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 73-71UML: 57% to winUMass Lowell: 57% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 69-73UML: 37% to winUMass Lowell: 37% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 73-74UML: 47% to winUMass Lowell: 47% to win Compare | |
Am. East standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 |