College Basketball · SWAC · 2026-27
Alabama State Hornets
0-1 · Coach Chris Wright (new)
Power Rankings
#327▲8
Who is best right now.
-16.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -17.0 (#335)
Preseason: #335
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
14-19
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #335 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #322 in the country (-16.3), 10-22.
- →5% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Mike James (Mississippi Valley State, 21.2 ppg), Amaree Brown (Southern Indiana, 13.8 ppg), Joseph Scott (Abilene Christian, 4.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Micah Simpson (13.9 ppg), Cameron Palesse (5.5 ppg), Asjon Anderson (14.2 ppg).
- →New head coach: Chris Wright, replacing Tony Madlock. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Alabama State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McMillan IVG · Junior · #3874 ranked | 1 · 1 | 37.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 31.2 (5-16) | 60.0 (3-5) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Mike JamesG · Senior · #3425 ranked | 1 · 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 45.5 (5-11) | 60.0 (3-5) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Damarion BondsG · Senior · #3643 ranked | 1 · 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 16.7 (2-12) | 0.0 (0-6) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Isaiah BarganierF · Senior · #2910 ranked | 1 · 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Joseph ScottF · Sophomore · #2117 ranked | 1 · 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 (2-10) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Terrance HamptonF · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Marquintez DixonF · Junior | 1 · 0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Noah BennyG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| JaSteven WalkerF · Senior · #2760 ranked | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Tre PowellG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jackson RogersG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Hasting StewartG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike JamesG · Senior |  Transfer from Mississippi Valley State | 19 | 21.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Joseph ScottF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Abilene Christian | 17 | 4.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Amaree BrownG · Senior |  Transfer from Southern Indiana | 16 | 13.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Isaiah BarganierF · Senior |  Transfer from Texas State | 12 | 1.4 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast |
| JaSteven WalkerF · Senior |  Returning | 11 | 4.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Trey MillerG · Senior | Returning | 6 | 7.3 pts · 2 reb · 4 ast |
Gone from last season: Micah Simpson (13.9 ppg), Cameron Palesse (5.5 ppg), Asjon Anderson (14.2 ppg), Jerquarius Stanback (8.8 ppg, to 
Boise State), Tyler Byrd (10.3 ppg), Tyler Mack (5.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Joseph Scott | Transfer from Abilene Christian | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 210 | Baltimore, MD | 4.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast (28 G) | #2117 · -0.16 |
| 5 | Trey Miller | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 180 | Houston, TX | Hasn't played | 7.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 4.0 ast (3 G) | #2422 · -0.27 |
| 25 | JaSteven Walker | Returning | F | Senior | 6-10 · 200 | Oakland, TN | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 4.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.4 ast (16 G) | #2760 · -0.40 |
| 23 | Isaiah Barganier | Transfer from Texas State | F | Senior | 6-7 · 250 | Fulshear, TX | 8.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.4 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2910 · -0.45 |
| 15 | Amaree Brown | Transfer from Southern Indiana | G | Senior | 6-5 · 212 | Chicago, IL | Hasn't played | 13.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.2 ast (16 G) | #3377 · -0.65 |
| 10 | Mike James | Transfer from Mississippi Valley State | G | Senior | 6-1 · 175 | Byhalia, MS | 16.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 21.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast (32 G) | #3425 · -0.68 |
| 7 | Damarion Bonds | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-6 · 185 | Pontiac, MI | 4.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3643 · -0.78 |
| 34 | Paul McMillan IV | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 · 180 | Cincinnati, OH | 17.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3874 · -0.87 |
| 0 | Hasting Stewart | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 142 | Houston, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Noah Benny |  Transfer from Sam Houston | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 170 | Richmond, TX | 8.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 33 | Terrance Hampton | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 240 | Pasadena, CA | 4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Jackson Rogers | Transfer from Sam Houston | G | Junior | 6-2 · 205 | Murphy, TX | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Marquintez Dixon | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 178 | Columbus, GA | 4.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Prince Mensah | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 · 194 | New York, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Tre Powell | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 · 167 | Rockville, MD | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 |  atTexas A&M | L66-97Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | vsGeorgia Gwinnett(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 11 | vsOklahoma Panhandle(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 15 |  atSan José State | Projected 72-85ALST: 14% to winAlabama State: 14% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atUC Davis | Projected 71-83ALST: 14% to winAlabama State: 14% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  atFresno State | Projected 69-81ALST: 15% to winAlabama State: 15% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 |  atCalifornia | Projected 65-88ALST: 2% to winAlabama State: 2% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 | vsArkansas Monticello(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 7 |  atOklahoma | Projected 64-88ALST: 2% to winAlabama State: 2% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  atTCU | Projected 61-92ALST: 1% to winAlabama State: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 |  atAuburn | Projected 63-93ALST: 1% to winAlabama State: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  atWest Florida | Projected 75-76ALST: 46% to winAlabama State: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  atAir Force | Projected 76-77ALST: 49% to winAlabama State: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atHawai'i | Projected 67-85ALST: 6% to winAlabama State: 6% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 | vsTalladega(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | vsMississippi Valley StateConference | Projected 81-67ALST: 89% to winAlabama State: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 |  vsArkansas-Pine BluffConference | Projected 82-73ALST: 77% to winAlabama State: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atJackson StateConference | Projected 74-78ALST: 36% to winAlabama State: 36% to win Compare |
| Jan 11 |  atAlcorn StateConference | Projected 77-79ALST: 44% to winAlabama State: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atAlabama A&MConference | Projected 72-77ALST: 35% to winAlabama State: 35% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsPrairie View A&MConference | Projected 75-76ALST: 49% to winAlabama State: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 25 |  vsTexas SouthernConference | Projected 80-75ALST: 64% to winAlabama State: 64% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atBethune-CookmanConference | Projected 69-84ALST: 10% to winAlabama State: 10% to win Compare |
| Feb 1 |  atFlorida A&MConference | Projected 75-78ALST: 40% to winAlabama State: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsGramblingConference | Projected 76-77ALST: 50% to winAlabama State: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 |  vsSouthernConference | Projected 77-78ALST: 47% to winAlabama State: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atArkansas-Pine BluffConference | Projected 78-77ALST: 56% to winAlabama State: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | atMississippi Valley StateConference | Projected 78-70ALST: 75% to winAlabama State: 75% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsBethune-CookmanConference | Projected 73-81ALST: 23% to winAlabama State: 23% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsFlorida A&MConference | Projected 78-75ALST: 62% to winAlabama State: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsAlabama A&MConference | Projected 76-74ALST: 56% to winAlabama State: 56% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atSouthernConference | Projected 74-81ALST: 26% to winAlabama State: 26% to win Compare |
| Mar 4 | atGramblingConference | Projected 73-80ALST: 28% to winAlabama State: 28% to win Compare |
SWAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grambling | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Prairie View A&M | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 4 | Jackson State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| 6 | Southern | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Alabama State | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 8 | Florida A&M | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Texas Southern | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Alcorn State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-0 | 0-1 |