College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
Fresno State Bulldogs
1-1 · Coach Vance Walberg
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-3.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -2.2 (#186)
Preseason: #186
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
11-20
- Conference record
- 3-13
- Conference title
- 0%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #186 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #129 in the country (+3.9), 13-19.
- →0% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Dragos Lungu (UT Martin, 13.8 ppg), Ross Candelino (Lipscomb, 11.1 ppg), Bradey Henige (California Baptist, 4.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Jake Heidbreder (17 ppg), Zaon Collins (11.6 ppg, now at Ball State), DeShawn Gory (13.7 ppg, now at Oregon State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Fresno State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Fabrega UrpinaG · Freshman · #2913 ranked | 2 · 2 | 38.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 45.5 (5-11) | 28.6 (2-7) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Ross CandelinoG · Senior · #856 ranked | 2 · 2 | 35.0 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 32.1 (9-28) | 26.3 (5-19) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Dragos LunguG · Junior · #708 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 51.4 (18-35) | 33.3 (3-9) | 60.0 (9-15) |
| Brian AmunekeG · Junior · #1862 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 50.0 (10-20) | 37.5 (3-8) | — (0-0) |
| Bradey HenigeF · Junior · #769 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 82.4 (14-17) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Baye FallC · Senior · #2112 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| KJ PerryG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Marko VuckovicF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 16.7 (1-6) | 20.0 (1-5) | — (0-0) |
| Quentin RhymesG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Rylan ParsleyF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Colin SchroederF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradey HenigeF · Junior |  Transfer from California Baptist | 20 | 4.9 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Ross CandelinoG · Senior |  Transfer from Lipscomb | 19 | 11.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Brian AmunekeG · Junior |  Transfer from Wichita State | 15 | 2.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Dragos LunguG · Junior |  Transfer from UT Martin | 13 | 13.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Baye FallC · Senior |  Transfer from Rutgers | 12 | 0.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Jake Heidbreder (17 ppg), Zaon Collins (11.6 ppg, to 
Ball State), DeShawn Gory (13.7 ppg, to 
Oregon State), Wilson Jacques (8.8 ppg, to 
DePaul), Cameron Faas (5.2 ppg), David Douglas Jr. (7.2 ppg, to 
Northern Illinois)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | Dragos Lungu | Transfer from UT Martin | G | Junior | 6-6 · 180 | Cluj-Napoca, Romania | 24.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 13.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.8 ast (6 G) | #708 · +0.65 |
| 42 | Bradey Henige | Transfer from California Baptist | F | Junior | 7-0 · 240 | Glendale, AZ | 14.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.9 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #769 · +0.58 |
| 30 | Ross Candelino | Transfer from Lipscomb | G | Senior | 6-5 · 198 | Jacksonville, FL | 15.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 11.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.5 ast (28 G) | #856 · +0.50 |
| 1 | Brian Amuneke | Transfer from Wichita State | G | Junior | 6-6 · 184 | Los Angeles, CA | 11.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 2.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast (36 G) | #1862 · -0.06 |
| 35 | Baye Fall | Transfer from Rutgers | C | Senior | 6-11 · 205 | Guediawaye, Senegal | 2.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 0.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast (9 G) | #2112 · -0.16 |
| 10 | Roger Fabrega Urpina | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 | Barcelona, Spain | 7.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2913 · -0.45 |
| 8 | Anthony Granger | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Wichita, KS | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 28 | Colin Schroeder | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Bremen, Germany | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Marko Vuckovic | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Novi Sad, Serbia | 1.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Quentin Rhymes |  Transfer from Nebraska | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 195 | Las Vegas, NV | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Rylan Parsley | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 | Glendale, AZ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Yeshua Kesse-Beda | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 | Los Angeles, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | KJ Perry |  Transfer from BYU | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 180 | Detroit, MI | 0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 80 | Nathan Zulemie |  Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 203 | Nanterre, France | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsFresno Pacific(non-D1) | W88-79Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atUC San Diego | L65-81Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsGeorgia State | Projected 76-72FRES: 62% to winFresno State: 62% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vsUC Riverside | Projected 75-69FRES: 69% to winFresno State: 69% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  atSan José State | Projected 75-78FRES: 38% to winFresno State: 38% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vsAlabama State | Projected 81-69FRES: 85% to winFresno State: 85% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)South AlabamaSecond Line Showcase | Projected 75-70FRES: 68% to winFresno State: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vs (N)South Dakota StateSecond Line Showcase | Projected 71-73FRES: 43% to winFresno State: 43% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  atSanta Clara | Projected 70-86FRES: 9% to winFresno State: 9% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsSouthern | Projected 80-72FRES: 75% to winFresno State: 75% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  vsCal State Northridge | Projected 78-77FRES: 54% to winFresno State: 54% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsSan Francisco | Projected 73-72FRES: 53% to winFresno State: 53% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsSacramento State | Projected 77-78FRES: 49% to winFresno State: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsUC Santa Barbara | Projected 71-77FRES: 31% to winFresno State: 31% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  atUC Irvine | Projected 69-80FRES: 19% to winFresno State: 19% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  vsWashington StateConference | Projected 76-74FRES: 57% to winFresno State: 57% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atSan Diego StateConference | Projected 67-83FRES: 8% to winFresno State: 8% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vs#11GonzagaConference | Projected 67-86FRES: 4% to winFresno State: 4% to win Compare |
| Jan 17 |  atColorado StateConference | Projected 68-80FRES: 14% to winFresno State: 14% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsBoise StateConference | Projected 71-76FRES: 31% to winFresno State: 31% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsTexas StateConference | Projected 71-73FRES: 44% to winFresno State: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | at#11GonzagaConference | Projected 63-90FRES: 1% to winFresno State: 1% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atWashington StateConference | Projected 73-77FRES: 36% to winFresno State: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsColorado StateConference | Projected 71-77FRES: 30% to winFresno State: 30% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsUtah StateConference | Projected 68-83FRES: 9% to winFresno State: 9% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atBoise StateConference | Projected 68-80FRES: 15% to winFresno State: 15% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | atTexas StateConference | Projected 68-76FRES: 25% to winFresno State: 25% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsOregon StateConference | Projected 71-80FRES: 22% to winFresno State: 22% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atUtah StateConference | Projected 64-86FRES: 3% to winFresno State: 3% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | vsSan Diego StateConference | Projected 70-80FRES: 20% to winFresno State: 20% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atOregon StateConference | Projected 68-83FRES: 10% to winFresno State: 10% to win Compare |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Utah State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | San Diego State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Oregon State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Colorado State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Boise State | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Texas State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Fresno State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Washington State | 0-0 | 0-2 |