College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
Boise State Broncos
Preseason · Coach Leon Rice
Preseason Power Rankings
#102▼4
Who is best right now.
+9.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +9.0 (#98)
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-14
- Conference record
- 7-9
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #98 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #58 in the country (+15.7), 20-12.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Damari Wheeler-Thomas (North Dakota State, 14.5 ppg), Dovydas Butka (Campbell, 13.9 ppg), Lamar Washington (Georgia Tech, 9.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Brady Hennig (#233).
- →Lost Andrew Meadow (12.1 ppg, now at Oregon), Dylan Andrews (12.5 ppg), Javan Buchanan (12.6 ppg, now at West Virginia).
Teams like Boise State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damari Wheeler-ThomasG · Senior · #476 ranked | 1 · 1 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 60.0 (6-10) | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Aginaldo NetoG · Sophomore · #2086 ranked | 1 · 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Bhan BuomF · Sophomore · #1807 ranked | 1 · 0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 58.3 (7-12) | 33.3 (1-3) | 16.7 (1-6) |
| Jerquarius StanbackF · Junior · #1330 ranked | 1 · 0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 85.7 (6-7) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Spencer AhrensF · Sophomore · #1350 ranked | 1 · 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Julian BowieG · Junior · #2714 ranked | 1 · 1 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (6-12) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Dovydas ButkaF · Senior · #466 ranked | 1 · 1 | 17.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 70.0 (7-10) | — (0-0) | 44.4 (4-9) |
| Pearson CarmichaelF · Junior · #1043 ranked | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) |
| Rayzhon BergersenG · Senior · #1837 ranked | 1 · 0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) |
| Ethan LathanF · Junior · #1297 ranked | 1 · 0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jikany DeangF · Junior | 1 · 0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Brady HennigG · Freshman · #3237 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damari Wheeler-ThomasG · Senior |  Transfer from North Dakota State | 20 | 14.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Dovydas ButkaF · Senior |  Transfer from Campbell | 19 | 13.9 pts · 8.5 reb · 2.6 ast |
| Lamar WashingtonG · Senior |  Transfer from Georgia Tech | 19 | 9.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 5.1 ast |
| Pearson CarmichaelF · Junior |  Returning | 19 | 7.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Aginaldo NetoG · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 4.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Jerquarius StanbackF · Junior |  Transfer from Alabama State | 15 | 8.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Spencer AhrensF · Sophomore | Returning | 15 | 4.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Brady HennigG · Freshman | Freshman · #233 recruit | 8 | — |
| Bhan BuomF · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 1.6 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Julian BowieG · Junior | Returning | 6 | 1 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Ethan LathanF · Junior | Returning | 5 | 1.8 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast |
| Rayzhon BergersenG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast |
Gone from last season: Andrew Meadow (12.1 ppg, to 
Oregon), Dylan Andrews (12.5 ppg), Javan Buchanan (12.6 ppg, to 
West Virginia), Drew Fielder (14.7 ppg, to 
Alabama), RJ Keene II (2.6 ppg, to 
NC State), Dominic Parolin (5.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dovydas Butka | Transfer from Campbell | F | Senior | 6-9 · 225 | Panevezys, Lithuania | 18.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 13.9 pts · 8.5 reb · 2.6 ast (31 G) | #466 · +0.92 |
| 10 | Damari Wheeler-Thomas | Transfer from North Dakota State | G | Senior | 6-0 · 190 | Elgin, IL | 17.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 14.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.8 ast (32 G) | #476 · +0.91 |
| 8 | Lamar Washington | Transfer from Georgia Tech | G | Senior | 6-4 · 210 | Portland, OR | — | 9.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 5.1 ast (29 G) | #726 · +0.63 |
| 6 | Pearson Carmichael | Returning | F | Junior | 6-7 · 215 | Bend, OR | 8.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 7.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast (31 G) | #1043 · +0.35 |
| 30 | Ethan Lathan | Returning | F | Junior | 6-10 · 220 | Rockford, IL | 6.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #1297 · +0.20 |
| 7 | Jerquarius Stanback | Transfer from Alabama State | F | Junior | 6-8 · 215 | Asheboro, NC | 15.0 pts · 16.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | 8.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.7 ast (32 G) | #1330 · +0.18 |
| 16 | Spencer Ahrens | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 230 | Oakville, ON | 10.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 4.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast (32 G) | #1350 · +0.17 |
| 3 | Bhan Buom | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 190 | Lincoln, NE | 16.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | 1.6 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (22 G) | #1807 · -0.04 |
| 11 | Rayzhon Bergersen | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 175 | Boise, ID | 11.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 0.3 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast (6 G) | #1837 · -0.05 |
| 1 | Aginaldo Neto | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 190 | Luanda, Angola | 10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 8.0 ast (1 G) | 4.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #2086 · -0.15 |
| 0 | Julian Bowie | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 205 | Pocatello, ID | 14.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.2 ast (8 G) | #2714 · -0.38 |
| 5 | Brady Hennig | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-7 · 195 | Snoqualmie, WA | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3237 · -0.59 |
| 17 | Kaur Tomann | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 250 | Tallin, Estonia | — | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Jikany Deang | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 245 | St. Cloud, MN | 5.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 20 | Ty Rodgers |  Transfer from Illinois | G | Senior | 6-6 · 205 | Saginaw, MI | — | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 4 | vsWest Coast Baptist(non-D1) | W132-53Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  vsButler | Projected 78-77BOIS: 53% to winBoise State: 53% to win Compare |
| Nov 11 |  vsOakland | Projected 83-69BOIS: 87% to winBoise State: 87% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vs (N)#7Nebraska | Projected 66-81BOIS: 10% to winBoise State: 10% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vsSam Houston | Projected 82-71BOIS: 81% to winBoise State: 81% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vsIdaho State | Projected 85-63BOIS: 98% to winBoise State: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)DrakeSnake River Invitational | Projected 78-72BOIS: 69% to winBoise State: 69% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vs (N)North TexasSnake River Invitational | Projected 72-71BOIS: 55% to winBoise State: 55% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 | vs (N)North Dakota StateSnake River Invitational | Projected 81-70BOIS: 83% to winBoise State: 83% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atWichita State | Projected 70-77BOIS: 28% to winBoise State: 28% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsTexas A&M-Corpus Christi | Projected 76-65BOIS: 83% to winBoise State: 83% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsUtah Valley | Projected 80-75BOIS: 67% to winBoise State: 67% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vs (N)Santa Clara | Projected 77-80BOIS: 41% to winBoise State: 41% to win Compare |
| Dec 23 |  vs (N)New Mexico | Projected 73-80BOIS: 28% to winBoise State: 28% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsLamar | Projected 82-67BOIS: 90% to winBoise State: 90% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  atUtah StateConference | Projected 69-82BOIS: 14% to winBoise State: 14% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsOregon StateConference | Projected 77-76BOIS: 50% to winBoise State: 50% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsWashington StateConference | Projected 80-70BOIS: 82% to winBoise State: 82% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  at#11GonzagaConference | Projected 68-85BOIS: 7% to winBoise State: 7% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  atFresno StateConference | Projected 76-71BOIS: 69% to winBoise State: 69% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsSan Diego StateConference | Projected 75-76BOIS: 48% to winBoise State: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | vsUtah StateConference | Projected 72-79BOIS: 30% to winBoise State: 30% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atTexas StateConference | Projected 73-72BOIS: 53% to winBoise State: 53% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | atOregon StateConference | Projected 73-79BOIS: 30% to winBoise State: 30% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | vs#11GonzagaConference | Projected 71-82BOIS: 18% to winBoise State: 18% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsFresno StateConference | Projected 80-68BOIS: 85% to winBoise State: 85% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 |  atColorado StateConference | Projected 72-76BOIS: 38% to winBoise State: 38% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsTexas StateConference | Projected 76-69BOIS: 72% to winBoise State: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | atWashington StateConference | Projected 77-73BOIS: 66% to winBoise State: 66% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | vsColorado StateConference | Projected 75-73BOIS: 59% to winBoise State: 59% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atSan Diego StateConference | Projected 71-78BOIS: 27% to winBoise State: 27% to win Compare |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Utah State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | San Diego State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Oregon State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Colorado State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Boise State | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Texas State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Fresno State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Washington State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
No games yet: Power Rankings order until the season tips off.
All conference standings →