
College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
Utah State Aggies
2-0 · Coach Ben Jacobson (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+22.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +20.3 (#33)
Preseason: #33
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
25-7
- Conference record
- 12-4
- Conference title
- 27%
- Outright title
- 15%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #33 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #25 in the country (+24.6), 29-7.
- →26% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by AJ Bates (Louisiana Tech, 12.1 ppg), Connor Turnbull (Evansville, 11.6 ppg), Will Hornseth (Northern Iowa, 11.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost MJ Collins Jr. (17.5 ppg, now at Cincinnati), Drake Allen (7.9 ppg), Adlan Elamin (6.7 ppg, now at Cincinnati).
- →New head coach: Ben Jacobson, replacing Jerrod Calhoun. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one; his teams have finished 3.9 points above expectations, which counts a little.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Utah State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin HallG · Senior · #144 ranked | 2 · 2 | 33.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 42.9 (6-14) | 37.5 (3-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Mason FalslevG · Senior · #20 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 54.2 (13-24) | 25.0 (1-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Solomon CallaghanG · Junior · #947 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 58.8 (10-17) | 54.5 (6-11) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Kingston TosiF · Sophomore · #1867 ranked | 2 · 0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 66.7 (14-21) | 25.0 (1-4) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Will HornsethF · Junior · #220 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 64.7 (11-17) | — (0-0) | 20.0 (1-5) |
| Karson TemplinF · Senior · #218 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 63.6 (7-11) | 25.0 (1-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Brayden BoeG · Sophomore · #2544 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| AJ BatesG · Junior · #1029 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Sean FeltsC · Junior | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Ace ReiserG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jordan BoydG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason FalslevG · Senior | 33 | 16 pts · 5.7 reb · 3.1 ast | |
| Dallin HallG · Senior | 24 | 5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast | |
| Karson TemplinF · Senior | 21 | 8.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Will HornsethF · Junior | 19 | 11.1 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.2 ast | |
| Solomon CallaghanG · Junior | 16 | 10.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| AJ BatesG · Junior | 16 | 12.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.9 ast | |
| Collin MulhollandF · Junior | 13 | 7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Connor TurnbullF · Senior | 13 | 11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast |
Gone from last season: MJ Collins Jr. (17.5 ppg, to
Cincinnati), Drake Allen (7.9 ppg), Adlan Elamin (6.7 ppg, to
Cincinnati), Kolby King (7.5 ppg, to
Auburn), Garry Clark (6.9 ppg), Elijah Perryman (4.4 ppg, to
Cincinnati)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mason Falslev | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Benson, UT | 15.5 pts · 9.5 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 16.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 3.1 ast (36 G) | #20 · +2.68 | |
| 30 | Dallin Hall | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Plain City, UT | 8.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 7.0 ast (2 G) | 5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast (36 G) | #144 · +1.61 | |
| 22 | Karson Templin | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Fairview, TX | 9.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 8.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.8 ast (36 G) | #218 · +1.36 | |
| 13 | Will Hornseth | F | Junior | 6-9 · 235 | De Pere, WI | 11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 11.1 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.2 ast (35 G) | #220 · +1.35 | |
| 10 | Solomon Callaghan | G | Junior | 6-2 · 195 | Wadsworth, OH | 15.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 10.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast (33 G) | #947 · +0.41 | |
| 3 | AJ Bates | G | Junior | 6-4 · 200 | Houston, TX | 6.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 12.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.9 ast (34 G) | #1029 · +0.36 | |
| 11 | Connor Turnbull | F | Senior | 6-11 · 225 | Saint Paul, MO | Hasn't played | 11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast (16 G) | #1129 · +0.29 | |
| 21 | Collin Mulholland | F | Junior | 6-11 · 240 | Kitchener, ON | Hasn't played | 7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.7 ast (23 G) | #1711 · +0.01 | |
| 24 | Kingston Tosi | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 210 | Anchorage, AK | 17.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1867 · -0.06 |
| 7 | Brayden Boe | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 200 | Beaverton, OR | 5.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2544 · -0.31 |
| 0 | Jax Allen | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 190 | Orem, UT | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Jordan Boyd | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 190 | St. Louis, MO | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Ace Reiser | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 175 | South Jordan, UT | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 48 | Bron Roberts | New to Division I | C | Sophomore | 7-0 · 215 | Lindon, UT | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Sean Felts | New to Division I | C | Junior | 7-0 · 225 | St. George, UT | 2.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W94-58Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | W90-56Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 89-64USU: 98% to winUtah State: 98% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 82-69USU: 88% to winUtah State: 88% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 96-65USU: 99% to winUtah State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 83-75USU: 74% to winUtah State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Projected 79-78USU: 55% to winUtah State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 78-79USU: 48% to winUtah State: 48% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 89-64USU: 99% to winUtah State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 78-85USU: 27% to winUtah State: 27% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 94-70USU: 98% to winUtah State: 98% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 82-75USU: 73% to winUtah State: 73% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 79-73USU: 68% to winUtah State: 68% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 79-65USU: 88% to winUtah State: 88% to win Compare | |
| Jan 1 | vsWestminster (UT)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 6 | Projected 82-69USU: 86% to winUtah State: 86% to win Compare | |
| Jan 10 | Projected 79-69USU: 81% to winUtah State: 81% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 79-76USU: 61% to winUtah State: 61% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 78-79USU: 45% to winUtah State: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 87-67USU: 96% to winUtah State: 96% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 79-72USU: 70% to winUtah State: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 83-73USU: 79% to winUtah State: 79% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 78-75USU: 59% to winUtah State: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 83-68USU: 91% to winUtah State: 91% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 82-70USU: 85% to winUtah State: 85% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 75-82USU: 25% to winUtah State: 25% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 81-72USU: 78% to winUtah State: 78% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 80-78USU: 56% to winUtah State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 79-73USU: 69% to winUtah State: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 86-64USU: 97% to winUtah State: 97% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 82-66USU: 92% to winUtah State: 92% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 84-70USU: 89% to winUtah State: 89% to win Compare | |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 |