College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
Oregon State Beavers
2-0 · Coach Justin Joyner (new)
Power Rankings
#77▲28
Who is best right now.
+13.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +7.1 (#105)
Preseason: #105
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
22-10
- Conference record
- 9-7
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #105 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #178 in the country (-1.0), 17-16.
- →17% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Daniel Freitag (Buffalo, 19.8 ppg), DeShawn Gory (Fresno State, 13.7 ppg), Jackson Rasmussen (Idaho, 13.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Yabi Aklog (#133).
- →Lost Dez White (9.7 ppg, now at Temple), Isaiah Sy (10 ppg, now at San Diego State), Johan Munch (7.9 ppg, now at SMU).
- →New head coach: Justin Joyner, replacing Wayne Tinkle. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Oregon State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legend SmileyG · Sophomore · #1272 ranked | 2 · 0 | 26.5 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 61.9 (13-21) | 42.9 (6-14) | — (0-0) |
| Josiah Lake IIG · Senior · #361 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 57.1 (8-14) | 50.0 (3-6) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Xavion StatonC · Sophomore · #899 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 61.5 (8-13) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| DeShawn GoryF · Sophomore · #554 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 54.5 (12-22) | 37.5 (3-8) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Daniel FreitagG · Junior · #132 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 33.3 (7-21) | 20.0 (2-10) | 100.0 (16-16) |
| Chris JohnsonG · Senior · #744 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (9-18) | 44.4 (4-9) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jemai LakeG · Freshman · #3848 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Peteris PinnisF · Sophomore · #2156 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jackson RasmussenF · Sophomore · #1042 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 57.1 (4-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Dennis EvansC · Junior · #1186 ranked | 2 · 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Yabi AklogC · Freshman · #2173 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Kahu TreacherF · Junior | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Sean Blakely DrummondG · Sophomore · #2426 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake IIG · Senior |  Returning | 33 | 13.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.2 ast |
| DeShawn GoryF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Fresno State | 25 | 13.7 pts · 6.1 reb · 2 ast |
| Jackson RasmussenF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Idaho | 24 | 13.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Daniel FreitagG · Junior |  Transfer from Buffalo | 22 | 19.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.7 ast |
| Legend SmileyG · Sophomore |  Transfer from San Francisco | 21 | 8.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Chris JohnsonG · Senior |  Transfer from UCF | 21 | 6.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Dennis EvansC · Junior |  Transfer from Grand Canyon | 16 | 2.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0 ast |
| Peteris PinnisF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Providence | 13 | 0.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Xavion StatonC · Sophomore |  Transfer from BYU | 13 | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Sean Blakely DrummondG · Sophomore | Transfer from San Francisco | 12 | 0.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0 ast |
| Yabi AklogC · Freshman | Freshman · #133 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Dez White (9.7 ppg, to 
Temple), Isaiah Sy (10 ppg, to 
San Diego State), Johan Munch (7.9 ppg, to 
SMU), Jorge Diaz Graham (6 ppg), Olavi Suutela (5.5 ppg, to 
UC San Diego), Keziah Ekissi (4.7 ppg, to 
Cal State Northridge)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Daniel Freitag | Transfer from Buffalo | G | Junior | 6-2 · 192 | Bloomington, MN | 16.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 19.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.7 ast (23 G) | #132 · +1.67 |
| 2 | Josiah Lake II | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 190 | Tualatin, OR | 12.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 13.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.2 ast (33 G) | #361 · +1.08 |
| 35 | DeShawn Gory | Transfer from Fresno State | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 169 | Victorville, CA | 17.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 13.7 pts · 6.1 reb · 2.0 ast (32 G) | #554 · +0.81 |
| 22 | Chris Johnson | Transfer from UCF | G | Senior | 6-3 · 189 | Houston, TX | 11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 6.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #744 · +0.61 |
| 32 | Xavion Staton | Transfer from BYU | C | Sophomore | 7-1 · 224 | Las Vegas, NV | 9.0 pts · 9.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast (9 G) | #899 · +0.46 |
| 12 | Jackson Rasmussen | Transfer from Idaho | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 220 | Meridian, ID | 5.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.3 ast (35 G) | #1042 · +0.35 |
| 11 | Dennis Evans | Transfer from Grand Canyon | C | Junior | 7-0 · 231 | Riverside, CA | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.0 ast (25 G) | #1186 · +0.26 |
| 13 | Legend Smiley | Transfer from San Francisco | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 188 | Seattle, WA | 16.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 8.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G) | #1272 · +0.22 |
| 6 | Peteris Pinnis | Transfer from Providence | F | Sophomore | 7-2 · 297 | Salaspils, Latvia | 0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 0.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (18 G) | #2156 · -0.17 |
| 15 | Yabi Aklog | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 256 | Seattle, WA | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2173 · -0.18 |
| 28 | Sean Blakely Drummond | Transfer from San Francisco | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 202 | Palo Alto, CA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 0.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2426 · -0.27 |
| 1 | Jemai Lake | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 160 | Tualatin, OR | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3848 · -0.87 |
| 7 | Kahu Treacher | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 221 | Hastings, New Zealand | 0.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsWeber State | W102-61Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsCalifornia Baptist | W96-68Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsEastern Washington | Projected 86-69ORST: 93% to winOregon State: 93% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 92-57ORST: 99% to winOregon State: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 16 |  vsEast Texas A&M | Projected 84-65ORST: 94% to winOregon State: 94% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vs (N)Oregon | Projected 78-79ORST: 45% to winOregon State: 45% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 |  vs (N)TulsaAcrisure Series | Projected 80-79ORST: 53% to winOregon State: 53% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 | vs (N)San FranciscoAcrisure Series | Projected 80-70ORST: 80% to winOregon State: 80% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vsMilwaukee | Projected 88-67ORST: 96% to winOregon State: 96% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsSouthern Miss | Projected 85-67ORST: 94% to winOregon State: 94% to win Compare |
| Dec 11 |  vsLamar | Projected 86-67ORST: 94% to winOregon State: 94% to win Compare |
| Dec 14 |  vsArizona State | Projected 79-77ORST: 56% to winOregon State: 56% to win Compare |
| Dec 17 |  vsCleveland State | Projected 92-67ORST: 99% to winOregon State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vs (N)New Mexico | Projected 77-81ORST: 38% to winOregon State: 38% to win Compare |
| Dec 23 |  vs (N)Santa Clara | Projected 81-80ORST: 52% to winOregon State: 52% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 | vsWestern Oregon(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 6 | vsSan Diego StateConference | Projected 79-76ORST: 59% to winOregon State: 59% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atBoise StateConference | Projected 76-77ORST: 50% to winOregon State: 50% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  atTexas StateConference | Projected 76-72ORST: 63% to winOregon State: 63% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsUtah StateConference | Projected 76-79ORST: 40% to winOregon State: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 |  vs#11GonzagaConference | Projected 75-83ORST: 25% to winOregon State: 25% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  atWashington StateConference | Projected 81-73ORST: 75% to winOregon State: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atUtah StateConference | Projected 73-83ORST: 21% to winOregon State: 21% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsBoise StateConference | Projected 79-73ORST: 70% to winOregon State: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  atColorado StateConference | Projected 76-77ORST: 48% to winOregon State: 48% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | vsWashington StateConference | Projected 84-70ORST: 89% to winOregon State: 89% to win Compare |
| Feb 14 | vsTexas StateConference | Projected 79-69ORST: 81% to winOregon State: 81% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atFresno StateConference | Projected 80-71ORST: 78% to winOregon State: 78% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | atSan Diego StateConference | Projected 75-79ORST: 37% to winOregon State: 37% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsColorado StateConference | Projected 79-74ORST: 69% to winOregon State: 69% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | at#11GonzagaConference | Projected 72-86ORST: 11% to winOregon State: 11% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vsFresno StateConference | Projected 83-68ORST: 91% to winOregon State: 91% to win Compare |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Utah State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | San Diego State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Oregon State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Colorado State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Boise State | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Texas State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Fresno State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Washington State | 0-0 | 0-2 |