College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
San Diego State Aztecs
2-0 · Coach Brian Dutcher
Power Rankings
#74▲13
Who is best right now.
+14.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +10.5 (#87)
Preseason: #87
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-10
- Conference record
- 9-7
- Conference title
- 3%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #87 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #48 in the country (+18.1), 22-11.
- →15% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Nick Anderson (Rice, 15.5 ppg), Bear Cherry (Sacramento State, 15.5 ppg), Chance Gladden (Boston University, 14.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Zach White (#237).
- →Lost Reese Dixon-Waters (13.1 ppg), Miles Byrd (10.4 ppg, now at Providence), BJ Davis (10.8 ppg, now at Creighton).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like San Diego State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell DavisG · Junior · #2001 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 21.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 56.0 (14-25) | 64.3 (9-14) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Chance GladdenG · Sophomore · #430 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 54.5 (6-11) | 0.0 (0-2) | 92.3 (12-13) |
| Elzie HarringtonG · Sophomore · #1057 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 43.8 (7-16) | 33.3 (1-3) | 100.0 (8-8) |
| Tae SimmonsF · Sophomore · #449 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 47.4 (9-19) | 50.0 (1-2) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Bear CherryF · Senior · #772 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 63.6 (7-11) | — (0-0) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Isaiah SyG · Senior · #1051 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 35.7 (5-14) | 33.3 (4-12) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Luca VinciniF · Freshman · #2867 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 62.5 (5-8) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Luka SkoricF · Freshman · #3391 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| David TorresaniG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Thokbor MajakF · Sophomore · #1643 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Raymar GonzalesG · Sophomore · #2186 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick AndersonG · Senior |  Transfer from Rice | 18 | 15.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Isaiah SyG · Senior |  Transfer from Oregon State | 17 | 10 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Chance GladdenG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Boston University | 17 | 14.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.5 ast |
| Tae SimmonsF · Sophomore |  Returning | 17 | 5.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Elzie HarringtonG · Sophomore | Returning | 16 | 8 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.3 ast |
| Bear CherryF · Senior |  Transfer from Sacramento State | 13 | 15.5 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Zach WhiteG · Freshman | Freshman · #237 recruit | 8 | — |
| Thokbor MajakF · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast |
| Raymar GonzalesG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Reese Dixon-Waters (13.1 ppg), Miles Byrd (10.4 ppg, to 
Providence), BJ Davis (10.8 ppg, to 
Creighton), Taj DeGourville (5.5 ppg, to 
Nebraska), Miles Heide (5.6 ppg, to 
Virginia Tech), Magoon Gwath (8.9 ppg, to 
DePaul)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chance Gladden | Transfer from Boston University | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 192 | Raleigh, NC | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | 14.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.5 ast (33 G) | #430 · +0.98 |
| 8 | Tae Simmons | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 235 | Simi Valley, CA | 11.5 pts · 8.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast (32 G) | #449 · +0.94 |
| 23 | Nick Anderson | Transfer from Rice | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Houston, TX | Hasn't played | 15.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.1 ast (31 G) | #595 · +0.77 |
| 45 | Bear Cherry | Transfer from Sacramento State | F | Senior | 6-10 · 270 | San Diego, CA | 11.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 15.5 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.7 ast (6 G) | #772 · +0.58 |
| 13 | Isaiah Sy | Transfer from Oregon State | G | Senior | 6-6 · 200 | Marseille, France | 10.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.7 ast (33 G) | #1051 · +0.34 |
| 3 | Elzie Harrington | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 197 | Long Beach, CA | 11.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 8.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.3 ast (23 G) | #1057 · +0.34 |
| 33 | Thokbor Majak | Returning | F | Sophomore | 7-1 · 220 | Bor, South Sudan | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.0 ast (8 G) | #1643 · +0.04 |
| 5 | Latrell Davis | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 · 215 | Leeds, England | 21.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2001 · -0.12 |
| 9 | Raymar Gonzales | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 170 | San Diego, CA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #2186 · -0.19 |
| 18 | Luca Vincini | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 242 | Turin, Italy | 5.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2867 · -0.44 |
| 4 | Zach White | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 208 | Sherman Oaks, CA | Hasn't played | — | #3271 · -0.61 |
| 7 | Luka Skoric | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 215 | Zagreb, Croatia | 5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3391 · -0.66 |
| 0 | David Torresani | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 168 | Milan, Italy | 0.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Samson Mashebinu | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 220 | Lagos, Nigeria | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Cooper Cornelius | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-1 · 180 | Roseville, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 24 | Jel Malek | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 · 192 | Newport Beach, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 |  vsCal State Fullerton | W102-78Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vs (N)ColoradoBill Walton Classic | W77-66Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsBethune-Cookman | Projected 83-70SDSU: 88% to winSan Diego State: 88% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vs (N)New Mexico StateCompete 4 Cause Classic | Projected 83-71SDSU: 85% to winSan Diego State: 85% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsTexas Southern | Projected 90-64SDSU: 99% to winSan Diego State: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)#16Iowa StatePlayers Era 16 | Projected 71-80SDSU: 22% to winSan Diego State: 22% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 5 |  vsUNLV | Projected 83-75SDSU: 75% to winSan Diego State: 75% to win Compare |
| Dec 11 |  vsMontana State | Projected 81-71SDSU: 81% to winSan Diego State: 81% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)#15BYUAcrisure Series | Projected 76-86SDSU: 20% to winSan Diego State: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsLong Island University | Projected 84-65SDSU: 95% to winSan Diego State: 95% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  at#20UCLA | Projected 71-83SDSU: 16% to winSan Diego State: 16% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 | vsLife Pacific(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 6 | atOregon StateConference | Projected 76-79SDSU: 41% to winSan Diego State: 41% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsFresno StateConference | Projected 83-67SDSU: 92% to winSan Diego State: 92% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsColorado StateConference | Projected 79-72SDSU: 71% to winSan Diego State: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 17 |  atWashington StateConference | Projected 80-72SDSU: 77% to winSan Diego State: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsTexas StateConference | Projected 79-68SDSU: 83% to winSan Diego State: 83% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atBoise StateConference | Projected 76-75SDSU: 52% to winSan Diego State: 52% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atColorado StateConference | Projected 76-75SDSU: 51% to winSan Diego State: 51% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 |  vsUtah StateConference | Projected 75-78SDSU: 41% to winSan Diego State: 41% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vs#11GonzagaConference | Projected 74-82SDSU: 27% to winSan Diego State: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atTexas StateConference | Projected 76-71SDSU: 65% to winSan Diego State: 65% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 | atUtah StateConference | Projected 72-81SDSU: 22% to winSan Diego State: 22% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsWashington StateConference | Projected 84-69SDSU: 90% to winSan Diego State: 90% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsOregon StateConference | Projected 79-75SDSU: 63% to winSan Diego State: 63% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | at#11GonzagaConference | Projected 71-85SDSU: 12% to winSan Diego State: 12% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | atFresno StateConference | Projected 80-70SDSU: 80% to winSan Diego State: 80% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vsBoise StateConference | Projected 78-71SDSU: 73% to winSan Diego State: 73% to win Compare |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Utah State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | San Diego State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Oregon State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Colorado State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Boise State | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Texas State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Fresno State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Washington State | 0-0 | 0-2 |