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College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27

Texas State Bobcats

2-0 · Coach Terrence Johnson

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Power Rankings

#134▲4

Who is best right now.

+3.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +1.7 (#138)

Preseason: #138

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

17-15

Conference record
6-10
Conference title
0%
Outright title
0%
Luck
+0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #138 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #261 in the country (-8.8), 19-13.
  • →54% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Paul Djobet (Omaha, 17.4 ppg), Quel'Ron House (Southern Illinois, 15.2 ppg), KJ Younger (UNC Greensboro, 15.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Kole Grandison (#277).
  • →Lost Kyndall Davis (5.9 ppg), Franck Emmou (7.2 ppg, now at Tarleton State), Jalen Bolden (5.2 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Texas State

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Paul DjobetF · Senior · #607 ranked2 · 224.514.55.03.558.8 (10-17)33.3 (3-9)85.7 (6-7)
DJ HallF · Sophomore · #308 ranked2 · 222.515.56.02.552.2 (12-23)42.9 (3-7)66.7 (4-6)
Robert FieldsC · Sophomore · #1528 ranked2 · 220.513.54.50.583.3 (10-12)— (0-0)58.3 (7-12)
Dimp PernellG · Junior · #2020 ranked2 · 220.54.01.00.036.4 (4-11)0.0 (0-3)— (0-0)
Kaden GumbsG · Senior · #1882 ranked2 · 220.53.54.04.033.3 (2-6)0.0 (0-2)60.0 (3-5)
Quel'Ron HouseG · Junior · #876 ranked2 · 016.07.51.52.050.0 (5-10)0.0 (0-1)71.4 (5-7)
Randy Livingston Jr.G · Freshman1 · 014.03.01.04.033.3 (1-3)0.0 (0-1)100.0 (1-1)
KJ YoungerG · Sophomore · #1183 ranked2 · 013.510.01.50.550.0 (6-12)66.7 (4-6)100.0 (4-4)
King SandersF · Freshman1 · 011.010.04.01.060.0 (3-5)0.0 (0-1)66.7 (4-6)
Kole GrandisonF · Freshman · #3452 ranked2 · 011.02.52.50.540.0 (2-5)0.0 (0-1)33.3 (1-3)
David AbisogunF · Freshman2 · 011.01.03.01.00.0 (0-2)— (0-0)50.0 (2-4)
Caleb StegerG · Sophomore · #2881 ranked2 · 09.58.01.51.571.4 (5-7)60.0 (3-5)100.0 (3-3)
Ky PernellG · Junior · #3389 ranked2 · 09.55.02.50.075.0 (3-4)100.0 (2-2)100.0 (2-2)
Ronald JessamyF · Senior · #1278 ranked2 · 08.59.54.50.087.5 (7-8)— (0-0)71.4 (5-7)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
DJ HallF · SophomoreReturning3115.6 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.2 ast
Quel'Ron HouseG · JuniorTransfer from Southern Illinois2715.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast
Kaden GumbsG · SeniorReturning268.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast
Mark DroneG · SeniorReturning2614.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 3 ast
KJ YoungerG · SophomoreTransfer from UNC Greensboro2215.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.2 ast
Ronald JessamyF · SeniorTransfer from Cal State Bakersfield2013.5 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.2 ast
Paul DjobetF · SeniorTransfer from Omaha1917.4 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Robert FieldsC · SophomoreReturning175 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.4 ast
Caleb StegerG · SophomoreTransfer from Boston College173.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast
Dimp PernellG · JuniorReturning108.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.9 ast
Kole GrandisonF · FreshmanFreshman · #277 recruit8—
Ky PernellG · JuniorReturning53 pts · 1.3 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Kyndall Davis (5.9 ppg), Franck Emmou (7.2 ppg, to Tarleton State), Jalen Bolden (5.2 ppg), Tay Knox (2.8 ppg), Makai Willis (6 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
0DJ HallReturningFSophomore6-7 · 220Plano, TX15.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)15.6 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.2 ast (32 G)#308 · +1.18
10Paul DjobetTransfer from OmahaFSenior6-7 · 215Lille, France14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)17.4 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.9 ast (20 G)#607 · +0.76
4Quel'Ron HouseTransfer from Southern IllinoisGJunior6-0 · 180Louisville, KY7.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)15.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast (30 G)#876 · +0.49
23KJ YoungerTransfer from UNC GreensboroGSophomore6-4 · 220Charlotte, NC10.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)15.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.2 ast (34 G)#1183 · +0.26
21Ronald JessamyTransfer from Cal State BakersfieldFSenior6-8 · 220Philadelphia, PA9.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)13.5 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.2 ast (31 G)#1278 · +0.21
3Robert FieldsReturningCSophomore6-9 · 220Baltimore, MD13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)5.0 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.4 ast (30 G)#1528 · +0.08
11Kaden GumbsReturningGSenior6-2 · 179San Marcos, TX3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)8.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.0 ast (32 G)#1882 · -0.07
2Dimp PernellReturningGJunior6-3 · 187Moorhead, MS4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)8.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.9 ast (11 G)#2020 · -0.12
9Mark DroneReturningGSenior6-0 · 180Jackson, MSHasn't played14.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.0 ast (30 G)#2030 · -0.13
30Caleb StegerTransfer from Boston CollegeGSophomore6-5 · 180Dallas, TX8.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)3.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (31 G)#2881 · -0.44
1Ky PernellReturningGJunior6-3 · 192Moorhead, MS5.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)3.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G)#3389 · -0.66
5Kole GrandisonFreshmanFFreshman6-6 · 195Toronto, ON2.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3452 · -0.69
14David AbisogunFreshmanFFreshman6-9 · 225Lagos, Nigeria1.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
22King SandersFreshmanFFreshman6-8 · 200Fayetteville, NC10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
8Randy Livingston Jr.FreshmanGFreshman6-1 · 170Miami, FL3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiW67-55Box score →
Nov 5vsHoward Payne(non-D1)W135-66Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10atUT Rio Grande ValleyProjected 72-70TXST: 55% to win Compare
Nov 13vsSouthern MissProjected 77-67TXST: 83% to win Compare
Nov 15atUTSAProjected 77-69TXST: 77% to win Compare
Nov 18vsIncarnate WordProjected 78-62TXST: 91% to win Compare
Nov 22vsMcNeeseProjected 73-75TXST: 43% to win Compare
Nov 25vs (N)Alcorn StateProjected 82-67TXST: 90% to win Compare
Nov 27atLouisiana TechProjected 73-68TXST: 66% to win Compare
Nov 29vsNichollsProjected 77-66TXST: 82% to win Compare
Dec 2vsLouisiana TechProjected 76-65TXST: 83% to win Compare
Dec 5at#5HoustonProjected 60-82TXST: 3% to win Compare
Dec 8vsUT Rio Grande ValleyProjected 75-67TXST: 74% to win Compare
Dec 13vs (N)North TexasCoast to Coast ChallengeProjected 69-71TXST: 43% to win Compare
Dec 16vsSan FranciscoProjected 74-68TXST: 69% to win Compare
Dec 19vsTexas SouthernProjected 83-65TXST: 94% to win Compare
Jan 6atColorado StateConferenceProjected 69-76TXST: 27% to win Compare
Jan 10vsUtah StateConferenceProjected 69-79TXST: 19% to win Compare
Jan 14vsOregon StateConferenceProjected 72-76TXST: 37% to win Compare
Jan 20atSan Diego StateConferenceProjected 68-79TXST: 17% to win Compare
Jan 23atFresno StateConferenceProjected 73-71TXST: 56% to win Compare
Jan 27vsColorado StateConferenceProjected 72-73TXST: 46% to win Compare
Jan 30vsBoise StateConferenceProjected 72-73TXST: 48% to win Compare
Feb 4at#11GonzagaConferenceProjected 65-85TXST: 4% to win Compare
Feb 6atWashington StateConferenceProjected 74-73TXST: 53% to win Compare
Feb 11vsSan Diego StateConferenceProjected 71-76TXST: 35% to win Compare
Feb 14atOregon StateConferenceProjected 69-79TXST: 19% to win Compare
Feb 18vsFresno StateConferenceProjected 76-68TXST: 76% to win Compare
Feb 20atBoise StateConferenceProjected 69-76TXST: 28% to win Compare
Feb 25vs#11GonzagaConferenceProjected 68-82TXST: 11% to win Compare
Feb 27vsWashington StateConferenceProjected 77-70TXST: 73% to win Compare
Mar 3atUtah StateConferenceProjected 66-82TXST: 8% to win Compare

Pac-12 standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Gonzaga0-02-0
2Utah State0-02-0
3San Diego State0-02-0
4Oregon State0-02-0
5Colorado State0-02-0
6Boise State0-01-0
7Texas State0-02-0
8Fresno State0-01-1
9Washington State0-00-2
All conference standings →