
College Basketball · Pac-12 · 2026-27
Texas State Bobcats
2-0 · Coach Terrence Johnson
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+3.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +1.7 (#138)
Preseason: #138
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 6-10
- Conference title
- 0%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #138 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #261 in the country (-8.8), 19-13.
- →54% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Paul Djobet (Omaha, 17.4 ppg), Quel'Ron House (Southern Illinois, 15.2 ppg), KJ Younger (UNC Greensboro, 15.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Kole Grandison (#277).
- →Lost Kyndall Davis (5.9 ppg), Franck Emmou (7.2 ppg, now at Tarleton State), Jalen Bolden (5.2 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Texas State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul DjobetF · Senior · #607 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 58.8 (10-17) | 33.3 (3-9) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| DJ HallF · Sophomore · #308 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 52.2 (12-23) | 42.9 (3-7) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Robert FieldsC · Sophomore · #1528 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 83.3 (10-12) | — (0-0) | 58.3 (7-12) |
| Dimp PernellG · Junior · #2020 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 (4-11) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Kaden GumbsG · Senior · #1882 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Quel'Ron HouseG · Junior · #876 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 0.0 (0-1) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Randy Livingston Jr.G · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| KJ YoungerG · Sophomore · #1183 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (6-12) | 66.7 (4-6) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| King SandersF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Kole GrandisonF · Freshman · #3452 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| David AbisogunF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Caleb StegerG · Sophomore · #2881 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 71.4 (5-7) | 60.0 (3-5) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Ky PernellG · Junior · #3389 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 100.0 (2-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Ronald JessamyF · Senior · #1278 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 87.5 (7-8) | — (0-0) | 71.4 (5-7) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| DJ HallF · Sophomore | 31 | 15.6 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.2 ast | |
| Quel'Ron HouseG · Junior | 27 | 15.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast | |
| Kaden GumbsG · Senior | 26 | 8.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast | |
| Mark DroneG · Senior | 26 | 14.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 3 ast | |
| KJ YoungerG · Sophomore | 22 | 15.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.2 ast | |
| Ronald JessamyF · Senior | 20 | 13.5 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.2 ast | |
| Paul DjobetF · Senior | 19 | 17.4 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Robert FieldsC · Sophomore | 17 | 5 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Caleb StegerG · Sophomore | 17 | 3.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Dimp PernellG · Junior | 10 | 8.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Kole GrandisonF · Freshman | Freshman · #277 recruit | 8 | — |
| Ky PernellG · Junior | 5 | 3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Kyndall Davis (5.9 ppg), Franck Emmou (7.2 ppg, to
Tarleton State), Jalen Bolden (5.2 ppg), Tay Knox (2.8 ppg), Makai Willis (6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | DJ Hall | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 220 | Plano, TX | 15.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.2 ast (32 G) | #308 · +1.18 | |
| 10 | Paul Djobet | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Lille, France | 14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 17.4 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.9 ast (20 G) | #607 · +0.76 | |
| 4 | Quel'Ron House | G | Junior | 6-0 · 180 | Louisville, KY | 7.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 15.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast (30 G) | #876 · +0.49 | |
| 23 | KJ Younger | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 220 | Charlotte, NC | 10.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 15.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.2 ast (34 G) | #1183 · +0.26 | |
| 21 | Ronald Jessamy | F | Senior | 6-8 · 220 | Philadelphia, PA | 9.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.2 ast (31 G) | #1278 · +0.21 | |
| 3 | Robert Fields | C | Sophomore | 6-9 · 220 | Baltimore, MD | 13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.0 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.4 ast (30 G) | #1528 · +0.08 | |
| 11 | Kaden Gumbs | G | Senior | 6-2 · 179 | San Marcos, TX | 3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 8.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.0 ast (32 G) | #1882 · -0.07 | |
| 2 | Dimp Pernell | G | Junior | 6-3 · 187 | Moorhead, MS | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 8.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.9 ast (11 G) | #2020 · -0.12 | |
| 9 | Mark Drone | G | Senior | 6-0 · 180 | Jackson, MS | Hasn't played | 14.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.0 ast (30 G) | #2030 · -0.13 | |
| 30 | Caleb Steger | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 180 | Dallas, TX | 8.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 3.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (31 G) | #2881 · -0.44 | |
| 1 | Ky Pernell | G | Junior | 6-3 · 192 | Moorhead, MS | 5.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #3389 · -0.66 | |
| 5 | Kole Grandison | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 195 | Toronto, ON | 2.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3452 · -0.69 |
| 14 | David Abisogun | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 225 | Lagos, Nigeria | 1.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | King Sanders | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 200 | Fayetteville, NC | 10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Randy Livingston Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Miami, FL | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W67-55Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | vsHoward Payne(non-D1) | W135-66Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 72-70TXST: 55% to winTexas State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 77-67TXST: 83% to winTexas State: 83% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 77-69TXST: 77% to winTexas State: 77% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 78-62TXST: 91% to winTexas State: 91% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 73-75TXST: 43% to winTexas State: 43% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 82-67TXST: 90% to winTexas State: 90% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 73-68TXST: 66% to winTexas State: 66% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 77-66TXST: 82% to winTexas State: 82% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 76-65TXST: 83% to winTexas State: 83% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 60-82TXST: 3% to winTexas State: 3% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 75-67TXST: 74% to winTexas State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 69-71TXST: 43% to winTexas State: 43% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | Projected 74-68TXST: 69% to winTexas State: 69% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 83-65TXST: 94% to winTexas State: 94% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 69-76TXST: 27% to winTexas State: 27% to win Compare | |
| Jan 10 | Projected 69-79TXST: 19% to winTexas State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 72-76TXST: 37% to winTexas State: 37% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 68-79TXST: 17% to winTexas State: 17% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 73-71TXST: 56% to winTexas State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 72-73TXST: 46% to winTexas State: 46% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 72-73TXST: 48% to winTexas State: 48% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 65-85TXST: 4% to winTexas State: 4% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 74-73TXST: 53% to winTexas State: 53% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 71-76TXST: 35% to winTexas State: 35% to win Compare | |
| Feb 14 | Projected 69-79TXST: 19% to winTexas State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 76-68TXST: 76% to winTexas State: 76% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 69-76TXST: 28% to winTexas State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 68-82TXST: 11% to winTexas State: 11% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 77-70TXST: 73% to winTexas State: 73% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 66-82TXST: 8% to winTexas State: 8% to win Compare | |
Pac-12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 |