College Basketball · Summit · 2026-27
North Dakota State Bison
1-2 · Coach David Richman
Power Rankings
#238▼73
Who is best right now.
-6.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -0.6 (#165)
Preseason: #165
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-16
- Conference record
- 8-6
- Conference title
- 9%
- Outright title
- 4%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #165 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #116 in the country (+5.1), 27-8.
- →23% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Karl Poom (Northern Arizona, 8.9 ppg), Melvin Bell Jr. (San José State, 8.7 ppg), Rob Diaz III (Long Beach State, 8.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Trevian Carson (11.9 ppg, now at Cincinnati), Damari Wheeler-Thomas (14.5 ppg, now at Boise State), Markhi Strickland (11.6 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like North Dakota State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy StefonowiczG · Junior · #658 ranked | 3 · 3 | 26.3 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 40.0 (8-20) | 35.7 (5-14) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Rob Diaz IIIG · Senior · #1082 ranked | 3 · 3 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 48.6 (17-35) | 25.0 (4-16) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Andrew NagyF · Junior · #3719 ranked | 3 · 3 | 23.7 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 32.0 (8-25) | 33.3 (4-12) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Melvin Bell Jr.G · Sophomore · #2623 ranked | 3 · 3 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 28.6 (6-21) | 33.3 (1-3) | 56.2 (9-16) |
| Max IversenG · Freshman · #3310 ranked | 3 · 0 | 18.3 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 40.0 (4-10) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Riley MasseyG · Sophomore · #1717 ranked | 3 · 0 | 17.0 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 44.4 (8-18) | 37.5 (3-8) | 85.7 (12-14) |
| Carson SmithG · Junior · #2070 ranked | 3 · 0 | 16.7 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 12.5 (1-8) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Kaden TateF · Junior · #3281 ranked | 3 · 3 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 50.0 (6-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Karl PoomF · Junior · #2660 ranked | 3 · 0 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 47.4 (9-19) | 28.6 (2-7) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Amir DanforthG · Freshman | 3 · 0 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Jaziah HarperG · Sophomore | 3 · 0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Jack RobisonG · Junior · #1678 ranked | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Colin StackF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Oliver JunkerF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Chance SchoenfeldF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy StefonowiczG · Junior |  Returning | 31 | 9.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 4.8 ast |
| Melvin Bell Jr.G · Sophomore |  Transfer from San José State | 20 | 8.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Rob Diaz IIIG · Senior |  Transfer from Long Beach State | 18 | 8.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast |
| Karl PoomF · Junior |  Transfer from Northern Arizona | 16 | 8.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Jack RobisonG · Junior |  Transfer from Wisconsin | 12 | 1 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Riley MasseyG · Sophomore | Returning | 11 | 1.3 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Carson SmithG · Junior | Returning | 10 | 3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Trevian Carson (11.9 ppg, to 
Cincinnati), Damari Wheeler-Thomas (14.5 ppg, to 
Boise State), Markhi Strickland (11.6 ppg), Noah Feddersen (9.3 ppg, to 
Colorado), Tay Smith (7.7 ppg), Treyson Anderson (10.4 ppg, to 
Butler)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Andy Stefonowicz | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 170 | Minnetonka, MN | 8.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 5.0 ast (3 G) | 9.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 4.8 ast (35 G) | #658 · +0.70 |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | Transfer from Long Beach State | G | Senior | 6-1 · 190 | Long Beach, CA | 13.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.7 ast (3 G) | 8.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast (32 G) | #1082 · +0.32 |
| 11 | Jack Robison | Transfer from Wisconsin | G | Junior | 6-6 · 200 | Lakeville, MN | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.1 ast (17 G) | #1678 · +0.02 |
| 2 | Riley Massey | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 185 | Shiloh, IL | 10.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.7 ast (3 G) | 1.3 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #1717 · 0.00 |
| 7 | Carson Smith | Returning | G | Junior | 6-6 · 205 | Bountiful, UT | 5.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | 3.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast (24 G) | #2070 · -0.14 |
| 1 | Melvin Bell Jr. | Transfer from San José State | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 195 | Chicago, IL | 7.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 8.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #2623 · -0.34 |
| 23 | Karl Poom | Transfer from Northern Arizona | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Tartu, Estonia | 7.0 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 8.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #2660 · -0.36 |
| 3 | Kaden Tate | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 · 220 | Pearland, TX | 4.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3281 · -0.61 |
| 4 | Max Iversen | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 175 | Loretto, MN | 7.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3310 · -0.62 |
| 44 | Andrew Nagy | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 230 | Anaheim, CA | 8.0 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3719 · -0.81 |
| 13 | Amir Danforth | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 175 | Rockford, IL | 1.0 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 12 | Chance Schoenfeld | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 200 | Astoria, SD | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Colin Stack | Freshman | F | Freshman | 7-0 · 225 | St. Charles, IL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Oliver Junker | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 220 | Littleton, CO | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Jaziah Harper |  Transfer from Maryland | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 200 | Oak Park, IL | 2.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 30 | Santiago Paz Vazquez | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-7 · 200 | Santiago de Compostela, Spain | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsMinnesota Crookston(non-D1) | W90-59Box score → |
| Nov 4 |  atSaint Mary's | L64-105Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  atSan Francisco | L70-79Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  atCal State Bakersfield | Projected 79-76NDSU: 61% to winNorth Dakota State: 61% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsIllinois State | Projected 72-80NDSU: 24% to winNorth Dakota State: 24% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 | vsCal State Bakersfield | Projected 82-72NDSU: 79% to winNorth Dakota State: 79% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  atColorado State | Projected 69-83NDSU: 11% to winNorth Dakota State: 11% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 | vsWisconsin Stout(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)North TexasSnake River Invitational | Projected 68-78NDSU: 21% to winNorth Dakota State: 21% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vs (N)DrakeSnake River Invitational | Projected 74-79NDSU: 32% to winNorth Dakota State: 32% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 | vs (N)Boise StateSnake River Invitational | Projected 70-81NDSU: 18% to winNorth Dakota State: 18% to win Compare |
| Dec 3 |  vsUC Davis | Projected 78-77NDSU: 53% to winNorth Dakota State: 53% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  atWashington State | Projected 73-80NDSU: 30% to winNorth Dakota State: 30% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  atIdaho | Projected 73-77NDSU: 36% to winNorth Dakota State: 36% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 | atIllinois State | Projected 68-83NDSU: 11% to winNorth Dakota State: 11% to win Compare |
| Dec 20 |  vsIdaho State | Projected 82-70NDSU: 85% to winNorth Dakota State: 85% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atCal State Northridge | Projected 76-83NDSU: 25% to winNorth Dakota State: 25% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 | vsConcordia (NE)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 7 |  atSt. Thomas-MinnesotaConference | Projected 73-82NDSU: 21% to winNorth Dakota State: 21% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atOmahaConference | Projected 77-76NDSU: 54% to winNorth Dakota State: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsKansas CityConference | Projected 81-75NDSU: 71% to winNorth Dakota State: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsOral RobertsConference | Projected 80-71NDSU: 78% to winNorth Dakota State: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atSouth Dakota StateConference | Projected 71-78NDSU: 27% to winNorth Dakota State: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atSouth DakotaConference | Projected 80-81NDSU: 48% to winNorth Dakota State: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 |  atNorth DakotaConference | Projected 78-75NDSU: 60% to winNorth Dakota State: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsOmahaConference | Projected 80-73NDSU: 74% to winNorth Dakota State: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaConference | Projected 76-79NDSU: 39% to winNorth Dakota State: 39% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atOral RobertsConference | Projected 77-74NDSU: 60% to winNorth Dakota State: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atKansas CityConference | Projected 78-79NDSU: 50% to winNorth Dakota State: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsSouth DakotaConference | Projected 83-78NDSU: 69% to winNorth Dakota State: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsSouth Dakota StateConference | Projected 74-75NDSU: 47% to winNorth Dakota State: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsNorth DakotaConference | Projected 81-72NDSU: 79% to winNorth Dakota State: 79% to win Compare |
Summit standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Dakota State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Kansas City | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Oral Roberts | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | North Dakota | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | North Dakota State | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 7 | South Dakota | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 8 | Omaha | 0-0 | 1-2 |