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College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27

Texas Tech Red Raiders

2-0 · Coach Grant McCasland

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Power Rankings

#17▼2

Who is best right now.

+27.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +27.8 (#15)

Preseason: #15

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

20-9

Conference record
11-7
Conference title
9%
Outright title
4%
Luck
+0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #15 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #20 in the country (+27.7), 23-11.
  • →34% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (UNLV, 20.7 ppg), Cruz Davis (Hofstra, 20.1 ppg), Darrion Williams (NC State, 14 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →2 ranked freshmen: DaKari Spear (#30), Amari Barrett (#198).
  • →Lost Christian Anderson (18.5 ppg), Jaylen Petty (9.9 ppg, now at UCLA), LeJuan Watts (11.8 ppg, now at Washington).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Texas Tech

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Cruz DavisG · Senior · #59 ranked2 · 235.015.06.54.050.0 (8-16)28.6 (2-7)75.0 (12-16)
Donovan AtwellG · Senior · #128 ranked2 · 230.06.53.51.516.7 (3-18)18.8 (3-16)80.0 (4-5)
Dra Gibbs-LawhornG · Senior · #155 ranked2 · 228.015.02.53.040.9 (9-22)28.6 (4-14)72.7 (8-11)
Darrion WilliamsF · Senior · #317 ranked2 · 226.53.55.02.520.0 (2-10)14.3 (1-7)50.0 (2-4)
Josiah MoseleyF · Junior · #239 ranked2 · 022.512.58.50.564.3 (9-14)0.0 (0-1)70.0 (7-10)
Damarion DennisG · Junior · #393 ranked2 · 021.013.51.50.562.5 (10-16)50.0 (5-10)50.0 (2-4)
Bassala BagayokoF · Freshman · #2957 ranked2 · 217.54.05.50.080.0 (4-5)— (0-0)0.0 (0-5)
DaKari SpearG · Freshman · #622 ranked2 · 012.54.01.50.025.0 (2-8)25.0 (1-4)75.0 (3-4)
Amari BarrettG · Freshman · #2873 ranked1 · 05.02.02.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)0.0 (0-3)
Trey HallF · Freshman1 · 04.02.00.00.050.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Marial AkuentokF · Sophomore · #1228 ranked1 · 04.00.02.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
LaTrell HooverF · Freshman1 · 01.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Donovan AtwellG · SeniorReturning3313.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast
JT ToppinF · SeniorReturning2821.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast
Darrion WilliamsF · SeniorTransfer from NC State2214 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast
Cruz DavisG · SeniorTransfer from Hofstra2120.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast
Jamichael StillwellF · SeniorTransfer from UCF2011.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.2 ast
Dra Gibbs-LawhornG · SeniorTransfer from UNLV2020.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast
Damarion DennisG · JuniorTransfer from Wyoming1811.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast
DaKari SpearG · FreshmanFreshman · #30 recruit15—
Josiah MoseleyF · JuniorReturning105.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.5 ast
Amari BarrettG · FreshmanFreshman · #198 recruit9—
Marial AkuentokF · SophomoreReturning71.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast

Gone from last season: Christian Anderson (18.5 ppg), Jaylen Petty (9.9 ppg, to UCLA), LeJuan Watts (11.8 ppg, to Washington), Tyeree Bryan (3.5 ppg), Luke Bamgboye (4.5 ppg, to TCU), Leon Horner (2.7 ppg, to Jacksonville State)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
15JT ToppinReturningFSenior6-9 · 230Dallas, TXHasn't played21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast (25 G)#3 · +3.67
3Cruz DavisTransfer from HofstraGSenior6-3 · 185Plano, TX15.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)20.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast (35 G)#59 · +2.03
55Jamichael StillwellTransfer from UCFFSenior6-8 · 245Atlanta, GAHasn't played11.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.2 ast (31 G)#106 · +1.80
12Donovan AtwellReturningGSenior6-5 · 200Huntersville, NC6.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast (34 G)#128 · +1.69
4Dra Gibbs-LawhornTransfer from UNLVGSenior6-1 · 185Lafayette, IN15.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast (35 G)#155 · +1.57
2Josiah MoseleyReturningFJunior6-8 · 230Round Rock, TX12.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)5.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.5 ast (14 G)#239 · +1.31
5Darrion WilliamsTransfer from NC StateFSenior6-6 · 225Sacramento, CA3.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)14.0 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast (33 G)#317 · +1.17
1Damarion DennisTransfer from WyomingGJunior6-1 · 170Dallas, TX13.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)11.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G)#393 · +1.04
0DaKari SpearFreshmanGFreshman6-5 · 195The Colony, TX4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#622 · +0.74
13Marial AkuentokReturningFSophomore6-11 · 240Edmonton, AB0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)1.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast (15 G)#1228 · +0.24
7Amari BarrettFreshmanGFreshman6-4 · 180Oklahoma City, OK2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—#2873 · -0.44
33Bassala BagayokoFreshmanFFreshman6-10 · 210Bamako, Mali4.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#2957 · -0.47
21LaTrell HooverReturningFFreshman6-11 · 240San Antonio, TX0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
11Trey HallFreshmanFFreshman6-6 · 215Crowley, TX2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsJackson StateW76-42Box score →
Nov 5vsBethune-CookmanW76-58Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vs#4IllinoisProjected 75-76TTU: 45% to win Compare
Nov 14vsStonehillProjected 85-54TTU: 99% to win Compare
Nov 18vsNew OrleansProjected 89-58TTU: 99% to win Compare
Nov 24vs (N)#19LouisvillePlayers Era 16Projected 76-75TTU: 52% to win Compare
Nov 26Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by resultsOpponent TBD
Dec 8vsOmahaProjected 88-57TTU: 99% to win Compare
Dec 13vs (N)USCCoast to Coast ChallengeProjected 77-72TTU: 66% to win Compare
Dec 15vsIncarnate WordProjected 86-53TTU: 99% to win Compare
Dec 21vs (N)#1DukeProjected 69-76TTU: 27% to win Compare
Dec 28vsMississippi Valley StateProjected 92-48TTU: 99% to win Compare
Jan 2at#21CincinnatiConferenceProjected 69-71TTU: 44% to win Compare
Jan 6vsBaylorConferenceProjected 79-70TTU: 77% to win Compare
Jan 9atTCUConferenceProjected 74-73TTU: 51% to win Compare
Jan 12vsArizona StateConferenceProjected 79-68TTU: 83% to win Compare
Jan 16vs#16Iowa StateConferenceProjected 73-70TTU: 61% to win Compare
Jan 19at#5HoustonConferenceProjected 67-73TTU: 30% to win Compare
Jan 22vs#10ArizonaConferenceProjected 76-75TTU: 56% to win Compare
Jan 27atOklahoma StateConferenceProjected 77-78TTU: 50% to win Compare
Jan 30vsUCFConferenceProjected 83-69TTU: 88% to win Compare
Feb 2atColoradoConferenceProjected 77-69TTU: 74% to win Compare
Feb 6at#3KansasConferenceProjected 68-76TTU: 24% to win Compare
Feb 13vs#25West VirginiaConferenceProjected 72-66TTU: 69% to win Compare
Feb 15vs#5HoustonConferenceProjected 71-70TTU: 51% to win Compare
Feb 20atUCFConferenceProjected 80-72TTU: 74% to win Compare
Feb 24atKansas StateConferenceProjected 80-69TTU: 81% to win Compare
Feb 27vs#21CincinnatiConferenceProjected 72-68TTU: 65% to win Compare
Mar 2atUtahConferenceProjected 76-64TTU: 86% to win Compare
Mar 5vs#15BYUConferenceProjected 79-76TTU: 60% to win Compare

Big 12 standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Kansas0-02-0
2Houston0-01-0
3BYU0-02-0
4Texas Tech0-02-0
5Cincinnati0-02-0
6West Virginia0-02-0
7Oklahoma State0-02-0
8TCU0-02-0
9Baylor0-02-0
10Arizona State0-02-0
11UCF0-02-0
12Utah0-02-0
13Arizona0-01-1
14Iowa State0-01-1
15Colorado0-01-1
16Kansas State0-01-1
All conference standings →