
College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
Texas Tech Red Raiders
2-0 · Coach Grant McCasland
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+27.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +27.8 (#15)
Preseason: #15
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-9
- Conference record
- 11-7
- Conference title
- 9%
- Outright title
- 4%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #15 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #20 in the country (+27.7), 23-11.
- →34% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (UNLV, 20.7 ppg), Cruz Davis (Hofstra, 20.1 ppg), Darrion Williams (NC State, 14 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: DaKari Spear (#30), Amari Barrett (#198).
- →Lost Christian Anderson (18.5 ppg), Jaylen Petty (9.9 ppg, now at UCLA), LeJuan Watts (11.8 ppg, now at Washington).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Texas Tech
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz DavisG · Senior · #59 ranked | 2 · 2 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 50.0 (8-16) | 28.6 (2-7) | 75.0 (12-16) |
| Donovan AtwellG · Senior · #128 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 16.7 (3-18) | 18.8 (3-16) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Dra Gibbs-LawhornG · Senior · #155 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 40.9 (9-22) | 28.6 (4-14) | 72.7 (8-11) |
| Darrion WilliamsF · Senior · #317 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 20.0 (2-10) | 14.3 (1-7) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Josiah MoseleyF · Junior · #239 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 64.3 (9-14) | 0.0 (0-1) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Damarion DennisG · Junior · #393 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.0 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 62.5 (10-16) | 50.0 (5-10) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Bassala BagayokoF · Freshman · #2957 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-5) |
| DaKari SpearG · Freshman · #622 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 (2-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Amari BarrettG · Freshman · #2873 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-3) |
| Trey HallF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Marial AkuentokF · Sophomore · #1228 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| LaTrell HooverF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan AtwellG · Senior | 33 | 13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| JT ToppinF · Senior | 28 | 21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Darrion WilliamsF · Senior | 22 | 14 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast | |
| Cruz DavisG · Senior | 21 | 20.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast | |
| Jamichael StillwellF · Senior | 20 | 11.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.2 ast | |
| Dra Gibbs-LawhornG · Senior | 20 | 20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast | |
| Damarion DennisG · Junior | 18 | 11.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| DaKari SpearG · Freshman | Freshman · #30 recruit | 15 | — |
| Josiah MoseleyF · Junior | 10 | 5.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Amari BarrettG · Freshman | Freshman · #198 recruit | 9 | — |
| Marial AkuentokF · Sophomore | 7 | 1.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Christian Anderson (18.5 ppg), Jaylen Petty (9.9 ppg, to
UCLA), LeJuan Watts (11.8 ppg, to
Washington), Tyeree Bryan (3.5 ppg), Luke Bamgboye (4.5 ppg, to
TCU), Leon Horner (2.7 ppg, to
Jacksonville State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | JT Toppin | F | Senior | 6-9 · 230 | Dallas, TX | Hasn't played | 21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast (25 G) | #3 · +3.67 | |
| 3 | Cruz Davis | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Plano, TX | 15.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 20.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast (35 G) | #59 · +2.03 | |
| 55 | Jamichael Stillwell | F | Senior | 6-8 · 245 | Atlanta, GA | Hasn't played | 11.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.2 ast (31 G) | #106 · +1.80 | |
| 12 | Donovan Atwell | G | Senior | 6-5 · 200 | Huntersville, NC | 6.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast (34 G) | #128 · +1.69 | |
| 4 | Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Lafayette, IN | 15.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast (35 G) | #155 · +1.57 | |
| 2 | Josiah Moseley | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Round Rock, TX | 12.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.5 ast (14 G) | #239 · +1.31 | |
| 5 | Darrion Williams | F | Senior | 6-6 · 225 | Sacramento, CA | 3.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 14.0 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast (33 G) | #317 · +1.17 | |
| 1 | Damarion Dennis | G | Junior | 6-1 · 170 | Dallas, TX | 13.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 11.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G) | #393 · +1.04 | |
| 0 | DaKari Spear | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 195 | The Colony, TX | 4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #622 · +0.74 |
| 13 | Marial Akuentok | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 240 | Edmonton, AB | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.2 ast (15 G) | #1228 · +0.24 | |
| 7 | Amari Barrett | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 180 | Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2873 · -0.44 |
| 33 | Bassala Bagayoko | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 210 | Bamako, Mali | 4.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2957 · -0.47 |
| 21 | LaTrell Hoover | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 240 | San Antonio, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 11 | Trey Hall | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 215 | Crowley, TX | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W76-42Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | W76-58Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 75-76TTU: 45% to winTexas Tech: 45% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 85-54TTU: 99% to winTexas Tech: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 89-58TTU: 99% to winTexas Tech: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 76-75TTU: 52% to winTexas Tech: 52% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 8 | Projected 88-57TTU: 99% to winTexas Tech: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 77-72TTU: 66% to winTexas Tech: 66% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 86-53TTU: 99% to winTexas Tech: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 69-76TTU: 27% to winTexas Tech: 27% to win Compare | |
| Dec 28 | Projected 92-48TTU: 99% to winTexas Tech: 99% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 69-71TTU: 44% to winTexas Tech: 44% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 79-70TTU: 77% to winTexas Tech: 77% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 74-73TTU: 51% to winTexas Tech: 51% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 79-68TTU: 83% to winTexas Tech: 83% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 73-70TTU: 61% to winTexas Tech: 61% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 67-73TTU: 30% to winTexas Tech: 30% to win Compare | |
| Jan 22 | Projected 76-75TTU: 56% to winTexas Tech: 56% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 77-78TTU: 50% to winTexas Tech: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 83-69TTU: 88% to winTexas Tech: 88% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 77-69TTU: 74% to winTexas Tech: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 68-76TTU: 24% to winTexas Tech: 24% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 72-66TTU: 69% to winTexas Tech: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 15 | Projected 71-70TTU: 51% to winTexas Tech: 51% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 80-72TTU: 74% to winTexas Tech: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 80-69TTU: 81% to winTexas Tech: 81% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 72-68TTU: 65% to winTexas Tech: 65% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 76-64TTU: 86% to winTexas Tech: 86% to win Compare | |
| Mar 5 | Projected 79-76TTU: 60% to winTexas Tech: 60% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |