
College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
Arizona Wildcats
1-1 · Coach Tommy Lloyd
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+29.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +33.9 (#3)
Preseason: #3
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-9
- Conference record
- 12-6
- Conference title
- 14%
- Outright title
- 6%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #3 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #3 in the country (+39.8), 36-3.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by RJ Godfrey (Clemson, 12 ppg), Ugnius Jarusevicius (Nebraska, 7 ppg), Derek Dixon (North Carolina, 6.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Caleb Holt (#2), Cameron Holmes (#45).
- →Lost Jaden Bradley (13.3 ppg), Brayden Burries (16.1 ppg), Koa Peat (14.1 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Arizona
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek DixonG · Sophomore · #680 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 36.0 (9-25) | 29.4 (5-17) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Ivan KharchenkovF · Sophomore · #21 ranked | 2 · 2 | 33.5 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 54.8 (17-31) | 37.5 (3-8) | 77.3 (17-22) |
| Motiejus KrivasC · Senior · #8 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 70.6 (12-17) | — (0-0) | 82.4 (14-17) |
| JJ MandaquitG · Sophomore · #490 ranked | 2 · 0 | 27.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.5 (1-8) | 16.7 (1-6) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Caleb HoltG · Freshman · #16 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (10-20) | 0.0 (0-4) | 88.9 (8-9) |
| Cameron HolmesG · Freshman · #533 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 45.5 (5-11) | 33.3 (1-3) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Maksim BrnovicF · Freshman · #2967 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Bryce JamesG · Sophomore · #3386 ranked | 2 · 2 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 25.0 (2-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Evan OttenF · Senior · #1555 ranked | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Ugnius JaruseviciusF · Senior · #1936 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Addison ArnoldG · Junior · #1064 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan KharchenkovF · Sophomore | 28 | 10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Motiejus KrivasC · Senior | 28 | 10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Caleb HoltG · Freshman | Freshman · #2 recruit | 24 | — |
| RJ GodfreyF · Senior | 19 | 12 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Derek DixonG · Sophomore | 17 | 6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast | |
| Cameron HolmesG · Freshman | Freshman · #45 recruit | 15 | — |
| JJ MandaquitG · Sophomore | 14 | 5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast | |
| Ugnius JaruseviciusF · Senior | 12 | 7 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast | |
| Evan OttenF · Senior | 12 | 4.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Addison ArnoldG · Junior | 6 | 0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Jackson CookG · Senior | 5 | 0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Jaden Bradley (13.3 ppg), Brayden Burries (16.1 ppg), Koa Peat (14.1 ppg), Anthony Dell'Orso (8.5 ppg), Tobe Awaka (9.3 ppg), Dwayne Aristode (3.8 ppg, to
Oregon)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Motiejus Krivas | C | Senior | 7-2 · 260 | Siaulia, Lithuania | 19.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast (39 G) | #8 · +3.22 | |
| 3 | Caleb Holt | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 215 | Huntsville, AL | 14.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #16 · +2.78 |
| 8 | Ivan Kharchenkov | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 230 | Munich, Germany | 27.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast (39 G) | #21 · +2.64 | |
| 0 | RJ Godfrey | F | Senior | 6-8 · 240 | Suwanee, GA | Hasn't played | 12.0 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast (35 G) | #74 · +1.94 | |
| 23 | JJ Mandaquit | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 190 | Hilo, HI | 2.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast (22 G) | #490 · +0.88 | |
| 2 | Cameron Holmes | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 215 | Goodyear, AZ | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #533 · +0.83 |
| 7 | Derek Dixon | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 205 | Vienna, VA | 13.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast (33 G) | #680 · +0.67 | |
| 22 | Addison Arnold | G | Junior | 6-3 · 185 | Simi Valley, CA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (20 G) | #1064 · +0.33 | |
| 11 | Jackson Cook | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Oxford, England | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (10 G) | #1180 · +0.26 | |
| 30 | Evan Otten | F | Senior | 6-11 · 240 | Redmond, OR | 1.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 4.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.3 ast (33 G) | #1555 · +0.07 | |
| 12 | Ugnius Jarusevicius | F | Senior | 6-11 · 255 | Alytus, Lithuania | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | #1936 · -0.09 | |
| 35 | Maksim Brnovic | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 210 | Podgorica, Montenegro | 2.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2967 · -0.48 |
| 6 | Bryce James | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 195 | Akron, OH | 2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3386 · -0.65 |
| 14 | Endurance Aiyamenkhue | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 235 | Amsterdam, Netherlands | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 21 | Joaquin Rigdon | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 185 | Costa Mesa, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 20 | Mabil Mawut | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 200 | Bor, South Sudan | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L75-84Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | W104-84Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 95-62ARIZ: 99% to winArizona: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 82-79ARIZ: 59% to winArizona: 59% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 79-76ARIZ: 61% to winArizona: 61% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 85-71ARIZ: 89% to winArizona: 89% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 25 | Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 | Projected 97-63ARIZ: 99% to winArizona: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 80-78ARIZ: 57% to winArizona: 57% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 97-66ARIZ: 99% to winArizona: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 84-82ARIZ: 56% to winArizona: 56% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 95-65ARIZ: 99% to winArizona: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 28 | Projected 94-58ARIZ: 99% to winArizona: 99% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 78-79ARIZ: 44% to winArizona: 44% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 91-75ARIZ: 91% to winArizona: 91% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 87-75ARIZ: 86% to winArizona: 86% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 87-82ARIZ: 65% to winArizona: 65% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 86-73ARIZ: 87% to winArizona: 87% to win Compare | |
| Jan 22 | Projected 75-76ARIZ: 44% to winArizona: 44% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 87-66ARIZ: 97% to winArizona: 97% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 76-75ARIZ: 54% to winArizona: 54% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 76-77ARIZ: 49% to winArizona: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 77-76ARIZ: 56% to winArizona: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 8 | Projected 83-75ARIZ: 77% to winArizona: 77% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 83-76ARIZ: 72% to winArizona: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 84-83ARIZ: 55% to winArizona: 55% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 79-80ARIZ: 49% to winArizona: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 83-85ARIZ: 43% to winArizona: 43% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 87-76ARIZ: 82% to winArizona: 82% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 88-72ARIZ: 91% to winArizona: 91% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 74-79ARIZ: 34% to winArizona: 34% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |