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College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27

Arizona Wildcats

1-1 · Coach Tommy Lloyd

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Power Rankings

#10▼7

Who is best right now.

+29.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +33.9 (#3)

Preseason: #3

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

21-9

Conference record
12-6
Conference title
14%
Outright title
6%
Luck
-0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #3 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #3 in the country (+39.8), 36-3.
  • →28% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by RJ Godfrey (Clemson, 12 ppg), Ugnius Jarusevicius (Nebraska, 7 ppg), Derek Dixon (North Carolina, 6.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →2 ranked freshmen: Caleb Holt (#2), Cameron Holmes (#45).
  • →Lost Jaden Bradley (13.3 ppg), Brayden Burries (16.1 ppg), Koa Peat (14.1 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Arizona

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Derek DixonG · Sophomore · #680 ranked2 · 234.513.53.53.036.0 (9-25)29.4 (5-17)100.0 (4-4)
Ivan KharchenkovF · Sophomore · #21 ranked2 · 233.527.010.04.054.8 (17-31)37.5 (3-8)77.3 (17-22)
Motiejus KrivasC · Senior · #8 ranked2 · 227.019.08.51.070.6 (12-17)— (0-0)82.4 (14-17)
JJ MandaquitG · Sophomore · #490 ranked2 · 027.02.52.04.012.5 (1-8)16.7 (1-6)100.0 (2-2)
Caleb HoltG · Freshman · #16 ranked2 · 225.014.07.51.050.0 (10-20)0.0 (0-4)88.9 (8-9)
Cameron HolmesG · Freshman · #533 ranked2 · 016.07.02.01.045.5 (5-11)33.3 (1-3)75.0 (3-4)
Maksim BrnovicF · Freshman · #2967 ranked2 · 014.02.53.01.033.3 (2-6)0.0 (0-2)50.0 (1-2)
Bryce JamesG · Sophomore · #3386 ranked2 · 211.52.50.51.525.0 (2-8)25.0 (1-4)— (0-0)
Evan OttenF · Senior · #1555 ranked1 · 09.01.07.01.0— (0-0)— (0-0)25.0 (1-4)
Ugnius JaruseviciusF · Senior · #1936 ranked2 · 06.50.01.00.5— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Addison ArnoldG · Junior · #1064 ranked1 · 01.02.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Ivan KharchenkovF · SophomoreReturning2810.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast
Motiejus KrivasC · SeniorReturning2810.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast
Caleb HoltG · FreshmanFreshman · #2 recruit24—
RJ GodfreyF · SeniorTransfer from Clemson1912 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast
Derek DixonG · SophomoreTransfer from North Carolina176.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast
Cameron HolmesG · FreshmanFreshman · #45 recruit15—
JJ MandaquitG · SophomoreTransfer from Washington145.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast
Ugnius JaruseviciusF · SeniorTransfer from Nebraska127 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
Evan OttenF · SeniorTransfer from Idaho State124.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.3 ast
Addison ArnoldG · JuniorReturning60.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast
Jackson CookG · SeniorReturning50 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Jaden Bradley (13.3 ppg), Brayden Burries (16.1 ppg), Koa Peat (14.1 ppg), Anthony Dell'Orso (8.5 ppg), Tobe Awaka (9.3 ppg), Dwayne Aristode (3.8 ppg, to Oregon)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
13Motiejus KrivasReturningCSenior7-2 · 260Siaulia, Lithuania19.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast (39 G)#8 · +3.22
3Caleb HoltFreshmanGFreshman6-5 · 215Huntsville, AL14.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#16 · +2.78
8Ivan KharchenkovReturningFSophomore6-7 · 230Munich, Germany27.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast (39 G)#21 · +2.64
0RJ GodfreyTransfer from ClemsonFSenior6-8 · 240Suwanee, GAHasn't played12.0 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast (35 G)#74 · +1.94
23JJ MandaquitTransfer from WashingtonGSophomore6-1 · 190Hilo, HI2.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast (22 G)#490 · +0.88
2Cameron HolmesFreshmanGFreshman6-6 · 215Goodyear, AZ7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#533 · +0.83
7Derek DixonTransfer from North CarolinaGSophomore6-5 · 205Vienna, VA13.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast (33 G)#680 · +0.67
22Addison ArnoldReturningGJunior6-3 · 185Simi Valley, CA2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (20 G)#1064 · +0.33
11Jackson CookReturningGSenior6-3 · 185Oxford, EnglandHasn't played0.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (10 G)#1180 · +0.26
30Evan OttenTransfer from Idaho StateFSenior6-11 · 240Redmond, OR1.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)4.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.3 ast (33 G)#1555 · +0.07
12Ugnius JaruseviciusTransfer from NebraskaFSenior6-11 · 255Alytus, Lithuania0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)#1936 · -0.09
35Maksim BrnovicFreshmanFFreshman6-10 · 210Podgorica, Montenegro2.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#2967 · -0.48
6Bryce JamesNew to Division IGSophomore6-5 · 195Akron, OH2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—#3386 · -0.65
14Endurance AiyamenkhueFreshmanFFreshman6-11 · 235Amsterdam, NetherlandsHasn't played—Not ranked yet
21Joaquin RigdonFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 185Costa Mesa, CAHasn't played—Not ranked yet
20Mabil MawutReturningFSophomore6-11 · 200Bor, South SudanHasn't played—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vs (N)#20UCLAHall of Fame Series - Las VegasL75-84Box score →
Nov 5vsCal PolyW104-84Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vsNorthern ArizonaProjected 95-62ARIZ: 99% to win Compare
Nov 13atAuburnProjected 82-79ARIZ: 59% to win Compare
Nov 18vs#9UConnProjected 79-76ARIZ: 61% to win Compare
Nov 23vs (N)Colorado StateSouthwest Maui InvitationalProjected 85-71ARIZ: 89% to win Compare
Nov 24Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2Opponent TBD
Nov 25Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement gameOpponent TBD
Dec 1vsNew OrleansProjected 97-63ARIZ: 99% to win Compare
Dec 5atSt. John'sHall of Fame Series - New York CityProjected 80-78ARIZ: 57% to win Compare
Dec 12vsTennessee TechProjected 97-66ARIZ: 99% to win Compare
Dec 19vs (N)#18ArkansasHall of Fame Series - PhoenixProjected 84-82ARIZ: 56% to win Compare
Dec 21vsNorthern IllinoisProjected 95-65ARIZ: 99% to win Compare
Dec 28vsIncarnate WordProjected 94-58ARIZ: 99% to win Compare
Jan 2at#16Iowa StateConferenceProjected 78-79ARIZ: 44% to win Compare
Jan 6vsUCFConferenceProjected 91-75ARIZ: 91% to win Compare
Jan 9atKansas StateConferenceProjected 87-75ARIZ: 86% to win Compare
Jan 12vs#15BYUConferenceProjected 87-82ARIZ: 65% to win Compare
Jan 16vsArizona StateConferenceProjected 86-73ARIZ: 87% to win Compare
Jan 22at#17Texas TechConferenceProjected 75-76ARIZ: 44% to win Compare
Jan 26vsUtahConferenceProjected 87-66ARIZ: 97% to win Compare
Jan 30at#25West VirginiaConferenceProjected 76-75ARIZ: 54% to win Compare
Feb 2at#21CincinnatiConferenceProjected 76-77ARIZ: 49% to win Compare
Feb 6vs#5HoustonConferenceProjected 77-76ARIZ: 56% to win Compare
Feb 8vsTCUConferenceProjected 83-75ARIZ: 77% to win Compare
Feb 13atArizona StateConferenceProjected 83-76ARIZ: 72% to win Compare
Feb 16atOklahoma StateConferenceProjected 84-83ARIZ: 55% to win Compare
Feb 20vs#3KansasConferenceProjected 79-80ARIZ: 49% to win Compare
Feb 22at#15BYUConferenceProjected 83-85ARIZ: 43% to win Compare
Feb 27vsBaylorConferenceProjected 87-76ARIZ: 82% to win Compare
Mar 3vsColoradoConferenceProjected 88-72ARIZ: 91% to win Compare
Mar 6at#5HoustonConferenceProjected 74-79ARIZ: 34% to win Compare

Big 12 standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Kansas0-02-0
2Houston0-01-0
3BYU0-02-0
4Texas Tech0-02-0
5Cincinnati0-02-0
6West Virginia0-02-0
7Oklahoma State0-02-0
8TCU0-02-0
9Baylor0-02-0
10Arizona State0-02-0
11UCF0-02-0
12Utah0-02-0
13Arizona0-01-1
14Iowa State0-01-1
15Colorado0-01-1
16Kansas State0-01-1
All conference standings →