Power Rankings
#207▼25
Who is best right now.
-4.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -2.0 (#182)
Preseason: #182
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 9-5
- Conference title
- 31%
- Outright title
- 17%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #182 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #199 in the country (-3.0), 19-13.
- →43% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Takai Simpkins (Oregon, 12.5 ppg), Truman Byrne (Central Arkansas, 4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Sawyer Dotson (#325).
- →Lost Grant Asman (14.1 ppg), Ross Candelino (11.1 ppg, now at Fresno State), Charlie Williams (10.2 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Lipscomb
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai SimpkinsG · Senior · #810 ranked | 3 · 3 | 32.7 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 33.3 (13-39) | 20.0 (3-15) | 86.2 (25-29) |
| Mateo EsmeraldoG · Senior · #371 ranked | 3 · 3 | 32.3 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 37.5 (9-24) | 30.8 (4-13) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Titas SargiunasF · Senior · #1985 ranked | 3 · 3 | 26.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 29.6 (8-27) | 25.0 (5-20) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Devyn MartinF · Freshman · #1850 ranked | 3 · 3 | 21.0 | 13.7 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 73.7 (14-19) | — (0-0) | 65.0 (13-20) |
| Hugo TidareG · Freshman · #3618 ranked | 3 · 3 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 62.5 (5-8) | 50.0 (3-6) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Truman ByrneF · Sophomore · #1701 ranked | 3 · 0 | 16.3 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 14.3 (1-7) | 20.0 (1-5) | — (0-0) |
| Kennedy OkparaF · Sophomore · #2144 ranked | 3 · 0 | 16.0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 59.1 (13-22) | 20.0 (1-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Josh ScottF · Freshman · #3726 ranked | 3 · 0 | 12.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 16.7 (1-6) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Luke JackF · Freshman · #3952 ranked | 3 · 0 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 20.0 (1-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Vuk VisnjicG · Freshman · #3941 ranked | 3 · 0 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Sawyer DotsonF · Freshman · #3736 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Zion WellsG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Hendrix LoughridgeF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Or AshkenaziF · Sophomore · #1963 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo EsmeraldoG · Senior |  Returning | 31 | 9.9 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.7 ast |
| Takai SimpkinsG · Senior |  Transfer from Oregon | 27 | 12.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast |
| Titas SargiunasF · Senior | Returning | 23 | 9.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Or AshkenaziF · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 2.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Truman ByrneF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Central Arkansas | 18 | 4 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast |
| Kennedy OkparaF · Sophomore | Returning | 15 | 5.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Sawyer DotsonF · Freshman | Freshman · #325 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Grant Asman (14.1 ppg), Ross Candelino (11.1 ppg, to 
Fresno State), Charlie Williams (10.2 ppg), Ethan Duncan (10.5 ppg, to 
California Baptist), Kellan Boylan (3.4 ppg), Cole Middleton (4.6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateo Esmeraldo | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 176 | Monroe, CT | 9.0 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.0 ast (3 G) | 9.9 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.7 ast (32 G) | #371 · +1.08 |
| 5 | Takai Simpkins | Transfer from Oregon | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Brooklyn, NY | 18.0 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | 12.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast (31 G) | #810 · +0.54 |
| 33 | Truman Byrne | Transfer from Central Arkansas | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 230 | Melbourne, VIC | 1.0 pts · 6.3 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (34 G) | #1701 · +0.01 |
| 2 | Devyn Martin | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 217 | Knoxville, TN | 13.7 pts · 9.3 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #1850 · -0.06 |
| 6 | Or Ashkenazi | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-5 · 197 | Eilat, Israel | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast (31 G) | #1963 · -0.10 |
| 26 | Titas Sargiunas | Returning | F | Senior | 6-4 · 185 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 10.0 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.3 ast (3 G) | 9.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #1985 · -0.11 |
| 3 | Kennedy Okpara | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 206 | Lagos, Nigeria | 9.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 5.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast (30 G) | #2144 · -0.17 |
| 8 | Hugo Tidare | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 184 | Uppsala, Sweden | 6.0 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | — | #3618 · -0.77 |
| 15 | Josh Scott | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 194 | Fort Payne, AL | 1.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | — | #3726 · -0.81 |
| 21 | Sawyer Dotson | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 202 | North Richland Hills, TX | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3736 · -0.81 |
| 7 | Vuk Visnjic | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Belgrade, Serbia | 0.0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3941 · -0.91 |
| 0 | Luke Jack | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 184 | Canton, GA | 0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3952 · -0.92 |
| 25 | Hendrix Loughridge | Freshman | F | Freshman | 7-0 · 240 | Gainesville, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Kellen Quinn | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 176 | Nolensville, TN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Sam Groth | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 195 | Mount Juliet, TN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Zion Wells | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 164 | Raleigh, NC | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atSoutheast Missouri State | L79-86Box score → |
| Nov 3 |  atIowa | L54-76Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsSIU Edwardsville | W78-77Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsBelmont | Projected 74-79LIP: 32% to winLipscomb: 32% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  atWestern Carolina | Projected 74-81LIP: 27% to winLipscomb: 27% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atPurdue | Projected 66-84LIP: 7% to winLipscomb: 7% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  atAlabama A&M | Projected 77-73LIP: 62% to winLipscomb: 62% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 | vsMilligan(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 24 |  atAuburn | Projected 67-89LIP: 3% to winLipscomb: 3% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  atOhio State | Projected 68-89LIP: 4% to winLipscomb: 4% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsUNC Asheville | Projected 80-73LIP: 74% to winLipscomb: 74% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 | vsRhodes(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 13 |  atEastern Kentucky | Projected 78-76LIP: 59% to winLipscomb: 59% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  atWestern Kentucky | Projected 71-82LIP: 18% to winLipscomb: 18% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | Projected 79-74LIP: 68% to winLipscomb: 68% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  atAustin Peay | Projected 72-79LIP: 27% to winLipscomb: 27% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 |  vsWest Georgia | Projected 79-70LIP: 78% to winLipscomb: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsNorth Alabama | Projected 80-70LIP: 79% to winLipscomb: 79% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atJacksonvilleConference | Projected 73-75LIP: 44% to winLipscomb: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atNorth FloridaConference | Projected 82-76LIP: 67% to winLipscomb: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsStetsonConference | Projected 81-72LIP: 78% to winLipscomb: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsFlorida Gulf CoastConference | Projected 79-75LIP: 65% to winLipscomb: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsBellarmineConference | Projected 81-73LIP: 75% to winLipscomb: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 |  atWest FloridaConference | Projected 79-72LIP: 73% to winLipscomb: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atQueens UniversityConference | Projected 82-87LIP: 32% to winLipscomb: 32% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsNorth FloridaConference | Projected 85-73LIP: 85% to winLipscomb: 85% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsJacksonvilleConference | Projected 76-72LIP: 65% to winLipscomb: 65% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atFlorida Gulf CoastConference | Projected 76-78LIP: 43% to winLipscomb: 43% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atStetsonConference | Projected 78-75LIP: 59% to winLipscomb: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | atBellarmineConference | Projected 78-76LIP: 55% to winLipscomb: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsQueens UniversityConference | Projected 85-84LIP: 54% to winLipscomb: 54% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsWest FloridaConference | Projected 83-69LIP: 88% to winLipscomb: 88% to win Compare |
ASUN standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens University | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | North Florida | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | West Florida | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Lipscomb | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 7 | Bellarmine | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| 8 | Stetson | 0-0 | 0-3 |