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College Basketball · Summit · 2026-27

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

1-1 · Coach Paul Sather

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Power Rankings

#323▲5

Who is best right now.

-15.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -15.9 (#328)

Preseason: #328

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

11-20

Conference record
5-9
Conference title
<1%
Outright title
<1%
Luck
+0.4

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #328 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #282 in the country (-11.4), 18-17.
  • →20% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →2 transfers in, led by Samuel Hincapie (Le Moyne, 4.9 ppg), Tyler Wagner (Austin Peay, 2.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Eli King (11.9 ppg), Garrett Anderson (10.5 ppg), Greyson Uelmen (17.1 ppg, now at Northern Iowa).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like North Dakota

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Carter EvansonG · Freshman · #3097 ranked2 · 129.05.04.01.536.4 (4-11)20.0 (1-5)100.0 (1-1)
Samuel HincapieG · Senior · #2539 ranked2 · 228.514.55.50.050.0 (10-20)11.1 (1-9)80.0 (8-10)
Luke WinkelG · Junior · #3078 ranked2 · 222.010.00.54.036.4 (4-11)33.3 (1-3)84.6 (11-13)
Zack ParksG · Sophomore · #3024 ranked2 · 021.57.05.51.030.8 (4-13)16.7 (1-6)62.5 (5-8)
Zach KraftG · Senior · #2658 ranked2 · 221.53.51.00.021.4 (3-14)9.1 (1-11)— (0-0)
Jayden MooreG · Freshman · #3841 ranked2 · 018.09.01.52.040.0 (8-20)0.0 (0-3)50.0 (2-4)
Josh JonesC · Senior · #2906 ranked2 · 217.53.53.50.540.0 (2-5)0.0 (0-1)75.0 (3-4)
Andrija RadojevicF · Senior · #3409 ranked2 · 012.512.52.50.053.8 (7-13)0.0 (0-3)100.0 (11-11)
Jayden ThomasF · Junior · #3826 ranked2 · 012.03.52.50.040.0 (2-5)0.0 (0-1)75.0 (3-4)
Tyler WagnerG · Sophomore · #2455 ranked1 · 112.03.04.00.00.0 (0-6)0.0 (0-4)100.0 (3-3)
Daemon ElyF · Junior2 · 07.00.01.00.00.0 (0-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Sage HansonG · Freshman1 · 06.03.02.00.050.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-2)
DeAngelo DungeyG · Freshman1 · 03.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Zach KraftG · SeniorReturning238 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Samuel HincapieG · SeniorTransfer from Le Moyne174.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast
Josh JonesC · SeniorReturning162.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast
Tyler WagnerG · SophomoreTransfer from Austin Peay142.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast
Karson OuseF · SophomoreReturning70.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Eli King (11.9 ppg), Garrett Anderson (10.5 ppg), Greyson Uelmen (17.1 ppg, to Northern Iowa), George Natsvlishvili (8 ppg, to Winthrop), Anthony Smith III (7.5 ppg, to Winthrop), Marley Curtis (6.2 ppg, to James Madison)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
5Tyler WagnerTransfer from Austin PeayGSophomore6-6 · 200Brooklyn Park, MN3.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)2.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (23 G)#2455 · -0.28
12Samuel HincapieTransfer from Le MoyneGSenior6-6 · 200Medellin, Colombia14.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)4.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast (30 G)#2539 · -0.31
1Zach KraftReturningGSenior6-3 · 185Grand Forks, ND3.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)8.0 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G)#2658 · -0.36
22Josh JonesReturningCSenior6-9 · 245Austin, TX3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast (28 G)#2906 · -0.45
23Zack ParksNew to Division IGSophomore6-6 · 185Lake Orion, MI7.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#3024 · -0.50
14Luke WinkelNew to Division IGJunior6-0 · 195Ankeny, IA10.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)—#3078 · -0.52
0Carter EvansonFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 180Horace, ND5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—#3097 · -0.53
4Karson OuseReturningFSophomore6-7 · 195Kindred, NDHasn't played0.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.0 ast (13 G)#3335 · -0.63
15Andrija RadojevicNew to Division IFSenior6-8 · 237Krusevac, Serbia12.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#3409 · -0.67
8Jayden ThomasNew to Division IFJunior6-7 · 205Austin, TX3.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#3826 · -0.86
2Jayden MooreFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 185Hopkins, MN9.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)—#3841 · -0.87
3DeAngelo DungeyFreshmanGFreshman6-4 · 175Minneapolis, MN0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
32Sage HansonFreshmanGFreshman6-9 · 221Towner, ND3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
52Daemon ElyNew to Division IFJunior6-8 · 220Taos, NM0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2atMinnesotaL50-85Box score →
Nov 7atWinthropW93-90Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 9atClemsonProjected 64-87UND: 2% to win Compare
Nov 14vsMontanaProjected 75-77UND: 44% to win Compare
Nov 16vsSIU EdwardsvilleProjected 72-75UND: 39% to win Compare
Nov 19vsMayville State(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 24vs (N)Detroit MercyCancun Challenge - Mayan DivisionProjected 74-75UND: 48% to win Compare
Nov 25Cancun Challenge - Mayan DivisionChampionship or placement gameOpponent TBD
Nov 29atGreen BayProjected 68-81UND: 13% to win Compare
Dec 1vsWaldorf(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 5atUTEPCancun Challenge - Campus GameProjected 69-79UND: 19% to win Compare
Dec 9atSIU EdwardsvilleProjected 69-78UND: 20% to win Compare
Dec 12atCal State NorthridgeProjected 72-86UND: 11% to win Compare
Dec 17vsGreen BayProjected 71-78UND: 27% to win Compare
Dec 20atMontana StateProjected 68-85UND: 7% to win Compare
Dec 22atColoradoProjected 65-88UND: 2% to win Compare
Dec 30vsMinnesota Morris(non-D1)Upcoming
Jan 2atUNLVProjected 69-90UND: 4% to win Compare
Jan 7atOmahaConferenceProjected 74-79UND: 33% to win Compare
Jan 10atSt. Thomas-MinnesotaConferenceProjected 69-85UND: 9% to win Compare
Jan 14vsOral RobertsConferenceProjected 76-73UND: 60% to win Compare
Jan 16vsKansas CityConferenceProjected 79-78UND: 50% to win Compare
Jan 21atSouth DakotaConferenceProjected 77-84UND: 27% to win Compare
Jan 23atSouth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 67-81UND: 13% to win Compare
Jan 29vsNorth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 75-78UND: 40% to win Compare
Feb 4vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaConferenceProjected 72-82UND: 21% to win Compare
Feb 6vsOmahaConferenceProjected 77-76UND: 54% to win Compare
Feb 11atKansas CityConferenceProjected 74-81UND: 29% to win Compare
Feb 13atOral RobertsConferenceProjected 73-77UND: 39% to win Compare
Feb 18vsSouth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 70-78UND: 27% to win Compare
Feb 20vsSouth DakotaConferenceProjected 80-81UND: 49% to win Compare
Feb 27atNorth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 72-81UND: 21% to win Compare