
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+14.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +18.4 (#45)
Preseason: #46
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-14
- Conference record
- 8-10
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #46 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #38 in the country (+21.1), 24-11.
- →25% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Dylan Faulkner (Samford, 17.2 ppg), Cole Certa (Notre Dame, 12.8 ppg), David Fuchs (San Francisco, 12.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Harris Reynolds (#120), Will Stevens (#176), Amare James (#264).
- →Lost Dillon Hunter (7.5 ppg), Jestin Porter (9.6 ppg), RJ Godfrey (12 ppg, now at Arizona).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Clemson
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan FaulknerF · Senior · #35 ranked | 2 · 2 | 33.0 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 66.7 (10-15) | — (0-0) | 57.1 (8-14) |
| Liutauras LeleviciusF · Senior · #411 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 66.7 (8-12) | 70.0 (7-10) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Ace BucknerG · Junior · #388 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 53.6 (15-28) | 53.3 (8-15) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Cole CertaG · Junior · #537 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.5 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 21.1 (4-19) | 23.1 (3-13) | 85.7 (12-14) |
| Chase ThompsonF · Sophomore · #1307 ranked | 2 · 0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 33.3 (5-15) | 25.0 (2-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Dallas ThomasF · Junior · #1553 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 42.9 (3-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | 20.0 (1-5) |
| David FuchsF · Senior · #295 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 60.0 (6-10) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Harris ReynoldsG · Freshman · #1793 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Trent SteinourF · Sophomore · #1277 ranked | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carter WellingF · Senior | 21 | 10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Ace BucknerG · Junior | 21 | 8.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Liutauras LeleviciusF · Senior | 20 | 8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Cole CertaG · Junior | 19 | 12.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Dylan FaulknerF · Senior | 19 | 17.2 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| David FuchsF · Senior | 18 | 12.7 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Chase ThompsonF · Sophomore | 11 | 2.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Harris ReynoldsG · Freshman | Freshman · #120 recruit | 9 | — |
| Will StevensC · Freshman | Freshman · #176 recruit | 9 | — |
| Amare JamesG · Freshman | Freshman · #264 recruit | 8 | — |
| Dallas ThomasF · Junior | 7 | 2.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Trent SteinourF · Sophomore | 5 | 1 pts · 1.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Dillon Hunter (7.5 ppg), Jestin Porter (9.6 ppg), RJ Godfrey (12 ppg, to
Arizona), Nick Davidson (9.1 ppg), Butta Johnson (6.3 ppg, to
Virginia Tech), Jake Wahlin (5.3 ppg, to
BYU)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dylan Faulkner | F | Senior | 6-10 · 235 | Calhoun, GA | 14.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 17.2 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.8 ast (30 G) | #35 · +2.36 | |
| 22 | Carter Welling | F | Senior | 6-11 · 240 | Draper, UT | Hasn't played | 10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast (32 G) | #171 · +1.51 | |
| 8 | David Fuchs | F | Senior | 6-9 · 245 | Vienna, Austria | 7.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.7 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.4 ast (29 G) | #295 · +1.20 | |
| 21 | Ace Buckner | G | Junior | 6-3 · 180 | Dallas, TX | 23.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 8.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.8 ast (35 G) | #388 · +1.05 | |
| 45 | Liutauras Lelevicius | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 15.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 8.0 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.7 ast (34 G) | #411 · +1.01 | |
| 1 | Cole Certa | G | Junior | 6-5 · 205 | Le Roy, IL | 11.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 12.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.8 ast (31 G) | #537 · +0.82 | |
| 44 | Trent Steinour | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 218 | Huntersville, NC | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.0 ast (6 G) | #1277 · +0.21 | |
| 3 | Chase Thompson | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 228 | Glenwood, MN | 7.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast (35 G) | #1307 · +0.19 | |
| 11 | Dallas Thomas | F | Junior | 6-9 · 180 | Little Rock, AR | 4.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (22 G) | #1553 · +0.07 | |
| 2 | Harris Reynolds | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 175 | Atlanta, GA | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1793 · -0.03 |
| 25 | Will Stevens | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-10 · 225 | Huntersville, NC | Hasn't played | — | #2743 · -0.40 |
| 7 | Amare James | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 190 | Marietta, GA | Hasn't played | — | #3427 · -0.68 |
| 4 | Blake Davidson | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 213 | Mission Viejo, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 5 | Zac FosterOut for season | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Atlanta, GA | Hasn't played | 6.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.5 ast (12 G) | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W85-72Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W82-73Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 87-64CLEM: 98% to winClemson: 98% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 76-73CLEM: 63% to winClemson: 63% to win Compare | |
| Nov 16 | Projected 85-59CLEM: 99% to winClemson: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 72-78CLEM: 32% to winClemson: 32% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 25 | Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 | Projected 76-77CLEM: 45% to winClemson: 45% to win Compare | |
| Dec 6 | Projected 87-65CLEM: 98% to winClemson: 98% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 71-80CLEM: 24% to winClemson: 24% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 74-73CLEM: 51% to winClemson: 51% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 69-77CLEM: 26% to winClemson: 26% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 85-68CLEM: 93% to winClemson: 93% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 74-77CLEM: 39% to winClemson: 39% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 72-80CLEM: 25% to winClemson: 25% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 69-72CLEM: 38% to winClemson: 38% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 78-71CLEM: 75% to winClemson: 75% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 82-72CLEM: 81% to winClemson: 81% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 72-75CLEM: 38% to winClemson: 38% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 80-79CLEM: 50% to winClemson: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 70-80CLEM: 21% to winClemson: 21% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 69-81CLEM: 14% to winClemson: 14% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 72-79CLEM: 28% to winClemson: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 78-73CLEM: 66% to winClemson: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 76-74CLEM: 56% to winClemson: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-83CLEM: 29% to winClemson: 29% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 79-75CLEM: 62% to winClemson: 62% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 76-71CLEM: 65% to winClemson: 65% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 77-79CLEM: 44% to winClemson: 44% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 76-73CLEM: 60% to winClemson: 60% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 72-83CLEM: 16% to winClemson: 16% to win Compare | |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 18 | 0-0 | 1-1 |