
College Basketball · Big Sky · 2026-27
Montana State Bobcats
1-1 · Coach Matt Logie
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+4.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +4.4 (#120)
Preseason: #120
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
22-10
- Conference record
- 16-4
- Conference title
- 82%
- Outright title
- 70%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #120 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #132 in the country (+3.6), 18-14.
- →67% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by London Praytor (Toledo, 2.2 ppg), Darnez Slater (Colorado State, 1.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Patrick McMahon (13.7 ppg), Davian Brown (12.7 ppg), Chris Hodges (5.5 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Montana State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed MillerG · Senior · #197 ranked | 1 · 1 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 50.0 (4-8) | — (0-0) |
| Christian KingF · Senior · #1331 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 42.9 (9-21) | 30.8 (4-13) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Howie KeeneG · Sophomore · #2151 ranked | 2 · 0 | 28.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 50.0 (7-14) | 60.0 (6-10) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jeremiah DavisG · Senior · #711 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 17.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 64.7 (11-17) | 50.0 (4-8) | 72.7 (8-11) |
| Jaden SteppeF · Junior · #1432 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 26.7 (4-15) | 0.0 (0-6) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Cavin HoldenG · Senior · #1324 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 50.0 (7-14) | 28.6 (2-7) | — (0-0) |
| Darnez SlaterG · Junior · #2183 ranked | 2 · 1 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 35.7 (5-14) | 28.6 (2-7) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Seth AmunrudG · Senior · #1403 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| London PraytorF · Sophomore · #1827 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Isaiah CraneG · Senior · #3870 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Hale HansenF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jed MillerG · Senior | 34 | 14.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.9 ast | |
| Jeremiah DavisG · Senior | 24 | 9.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Christian KingF · Senior | 23 | 12.6 pts · 4.5 reb · 1 ast | |
| Seth AmunrudG · Senior | 17 | 7.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Jaden SteppeF · Junior | 17 | 5.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Darnez SlaterG · Junior | 14 | 1.5 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| London PraytorF · Sophomore | 13 | 2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Howie KeeneG · Sophomore | 12 | 2.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Cavin HoldenG · Senior | 10 | 8.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Waka MbatchF · Senior | 8 | 4.7 pts · 3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Calum RutherfurdF · Senior | 5 | 1 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Patrick McMahon (13.7 ppg), Davian Brown (12.7 ppg), Chris Hodges (5.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jed Miller | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Agoura Hills, CA | 14.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 14.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.9 ast (32 G) | #197 · +1.45 | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Davis | G | Senior | 6-4 · 185 | Compton, CA | 17.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 9.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast (31 G) | #711 · +0.65 | |
| 35 | Waka Mbatch | F | Senior | 6-10 · 225 | Serekunda, Gambia | Hasn't played | 4.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.6 ast (11 G) | #1166 · +0.27 | |
| 4 | Cavin Holden | G | Senior | 6-2 · 175 | Longview, WA | 8.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 8.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast (8 G) | #1324 · +0.19 | |
| 31 | Christian King | F | Senior | 6-8 · 210 | Kirkland, WA | 12.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.6 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (28 G) | #1331 · +0.18 | |
| 12 | Seth Amunrud | G | Senior | 6-3 · 175 | Bozeman, MT | 1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast (24 G) | #1403 · +0.14 | |
| 44 | Jaden Steppe | F | Junior | 6-8 · 220 | Tualatin, OR | 7.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #1432 · +0.13 | |
| 21 | London Praytor | F | Sophomore | 7-0 · 220 | Colorado Springs, CO | 7.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.2 ast (16 G) | #1827 · -0.05 | |
| 2 | Howie Keene | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 195 | The Woodlands, TX | 10.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast (25 G) | #2151 · -0.17 | |
| 0 | Darnez Slater | G | Junior | 6-3 · 185 | Eastvale, CA | 8.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.5 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast (23 G) | #2183 · -0.18 | |
| 22 | Calum Rutherfurd | F | Senior | 6-11 · 225 | Sebastopol, CA | Hasn't played | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G) | #2439 · -0.27 | |
| 1 | Isaiah Crane | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-1 · 180 | Portland, OR | 3.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3870 · -0.87 |
| 11 | DJ Johnson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Auburn, WA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Hale Hansen | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 · 195 | Phoenix, AZ | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | CJ Purdie | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 185 | Davidson, NC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 14 | James Steward | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 210 | Chandler, AZ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L74-84Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | W83-70Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 12 | Projected 71-91MTST: 5% to winMontana State: 5% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 85-78MTST: 72% to winMontana State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 68-88MTST: 4% to winMontana State: 4% to win Compare | |
| Nov 19 | Projected 70-80MTST: 19% to winMontana State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | vsNorthwest Indian(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 30 | Projected 84-76MTST: 74% to winMontana State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 80-71MTST: 79% to winMontana State: 79% to win Compare | |
| Dec 7 | vsWest Coast Baptist(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 11 | Projected 71-81MTST: 19% to winMontana State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Dec 20 | Projected 85-68MTST: 93% to winMontana State: 93% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | vsNorthwest University(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 | Projected 79-69MTST: 81% to winMontana State: 81% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 81-72MTST: 77% to winMontana State: 77% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 82-68MTST: 88% to winMontana State: 88% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 85-75MTST: 81% to winMontana State: 81% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 82-71MTST: 82% to winMontana State: 82% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 80-70MTST: 81% to winMontana State: 81% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 80-74MTST: 72% to winMontana State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 82-70MTST: 85% to winMontana State: 85% to win Compare | |
| Jan 25 | Projected 82-70MTST: 84% to winMontana State: 84% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 83-68MTST: 91% to winMontana State: 91% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 78-75MTST: 58% to winMontana State: 58% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 76-72MTST: 64% to winMontana State: 64% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 77-73MTST: 63% to winMontana State: 63% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 79-74MTST: 65% to winMontana State: 65% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 88-71MTST: 93% to winMontana State: 93% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 85-65MTST: 96% to winMontana State: 96% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 84-71MTST: 87% to winMontana State: 87% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 79-73MTST: 69% to winMontana State: 69% to win Compare | |
| Mar 1 | Projected 79-74MTST: 67% to winMontana State: 67% to win Compare | |
Big Sky standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 |