
College Basketball · Mountain West · 2026-27
UNLV Rebels
2-0 · Coach Josh Pastner
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+8.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +10.2 (#91)
Preseason: #91
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
19-12
- Conference record
- 10-8
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- +0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #91 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #104 in the country (+7.2), 18-17.
- →23% of last season's minutes are back.
- →8 transfers in, led by AJ Storr (Ole Miss, 15.5 ppg), Dontrez Williams (Lindenwood, 15.2 ppg), MJ Thomas (New Orleans, 10.8 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Jackson Kiss (#130), Kota Suttle Jr. (#253).
- →Lost Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (20.7 ppg, now at Texas Tech), Kimani Hamilton (12.8 ppg, now at Mississippi State), Howie Fleming Jr. (9 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UNLV
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam MilesG · Sophomore · #797 ranked | 2 · 2 | 36.5 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 36.4 (8-22) | 37.5 (6-16) | 100.0 (13-13) |
| Sebastian MackG · Senior · #1757 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 51.5 (17-33) | 33.3 (4-12) | 90.9 (10-11) |
| Tyrin JonesF · Sophomore · #152 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.0 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 38.1 (8-21) | 50.0 (1-2) | 75.0 (12-16) |
| Dontrez WilliamsG · Junior · #1400 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 69.2 (9-13) | 0.0 (0-1) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Jackson KissF · Freshman · #1811 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Jeremy FoumenaC · Senior · #1067 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 58.3 (7-12) | — (0-0) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Kota Suttle Jr.G · Freshman · #3203 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) |
| Issac WilliamsonG · Sophomore · #2220 ranked | 1 · 0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| MJ ThomasF · Junior · #463 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-3) |
| Terrance Ford Jr.G · Junior | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrin JonesF · Sophomore | 26 | 11.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| AJ StorrG · Senior | 24 | 15.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Issac WilliamsonG · Sophomore | 21 | 8.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.2 ast | |
| MJ ThomasF · Junior | 20 | 10.8 pts · 8 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Tyler HarrisF · Senior | 18 | 5.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Dontrez WilliamsG · Junior | 18 | 15.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 2 ast | |
| Cam MilesG · Sophomore | 16 | 5.4 pts · 1 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Sebastian MackG · Senior | 16 | 7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Jeremy FoumenaC · Senior | 15 | 3.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Moustapha LoumF · Junior | 13 | 2.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Jackson KissF · Freshman | Freshman · #130 recruit | 9 | — |
| Kota Suttle Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #253 recruit | 8 | — |
| Jalen CunninghamG · Junior | 5 | 0.7 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (20.7 ppg, to
Texas Tech), Kimani Hamilton (12.8 ppg, to
Mississippi State), Howie Fleming Jr. (9 ppg), Walter Brown (3.8 ppg), Ladji Dembele (4.3 ppg, to
Washington State), Jacob Bannarbie (5.4 ppg, to
Providence)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tyrin Jones | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 200 | Las Vegas, NV | 14.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 11.9 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.4 ast (32 G) | #152 · +1.57 | |
| 10 | MJ Thomas | F | Junior | 6-8 · 226 | Denton, TX | 3.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.8 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.5 ast (32 G) | #463 · +0.93 | |
| 22 | AJ Storr | G | Senior | 6-5 · 205 | Rockford, IL | Hasn't played | 15.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.9 ast (35 G) | #491 · +0.88 | |
| 8 | Tyler Harris | F | Senior | 6-8 · 210 | Hayward, CA | Hasn't played | 5.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G) | #789 · +0.56 | |
| 2 | Cam Miles | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Chicago, IL | 17.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 5.4 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.7 ast (25 G) | #797 · +0.55 | |
| 1 | Jeremy Foumena | C | Senior | 6-11 · 255 | Montreal, PQ | 7.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.2 ast (26 G) | #1067 · +0.33 | |
| 0 | Dontrez Williams | G | Junior | 6-6 · 190 | Sikeston, MO | 11.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 15.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.0 ast (29 G) | #1400 · +0.15 | |
| 24 | Sebastian Mack | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Chicago, IL | 24.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 7.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast (18 G) | #1757 · -0.01 | |
| 9 | Jackson Kiss | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 235 | Auckland, New Zealand | 5.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1811 · -0.04 |
| 12 | Issac Williamson | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 200 | Moreno Valley, CA | 5.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 8.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.2 ast (33 G) | #2220 · -0.20 | |
| 13 | Jalen Cunningham | G | Junior | 6-2 · 185 | Las Vegas, NV | Hasn't played | 0.7 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #2225 · -0.20 | |
| 34 | Moustapha Loum | F | Junior | 6-10 · 225 | Dakar, Senegal | Hasn't played | 2.4 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.2 ast (21 G) | #2839 · -0.43 | |
| 5 | Kota Suttle Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 195 | Atlanta, GA | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3203 · -0.57 |
| 3 | Terrance Ford Jr. | G | Junior | 6-2 · 180 | Chicago, IL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 | W89-77Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | W88-79Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 13 | Projected 78-77UNLV: 51% to winUNLV: 51% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 69-88UNLV: 5% to winUNLV: 5% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Players Era 8Round 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 19 | Players Era 8Championship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 23 | Projected 87-73UNLV: 88% to winUNLV: 88% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 82-71UNLV: 83% to winUNLV: 83% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 79-76UNLV: 60% to winUNLV: 60% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 75-83UNLV: 25% to winUNLV: 25% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 83-76UNLV: 74% to winUNLV: 74% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 80-83UNLV: 39% to winUNLV: 39% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 90-80UNLV: 80% to winUNLV: 80% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | vsWestminster (UT)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | Projected 90-69UNLV: 96% to winUNLV: 96% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 78-88UNLV: 18% to winUNLV: 18% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 84-79UNLV: 66% to winUNLV: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 79-83UNLV: 36% to winUNLV: 36% to win Compare | |
| Jan 15 | Projected 84-71UNLV: 87% to winUNLV: 87% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 83-77UNLV: 68% to winUNLV: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 82-76UNLV: 70% to winUNLV: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 77-81UNLV: 37% to winUNLV: 37% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 75-80UNLV: 34% to winUNLV: 34% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 88-70UNLV: 93% to winUNLV: 93% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 87-76UNLV: 84% to winUNLV: 84% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 81-78UNLV: 59% to winUNLV: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-87UNLV: 18% to winUNLV: 18% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 80-74UNLV: 71% to winUNLV: 71% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 81-85UNLV: 37% to winUNLV: 37% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 91-67UNLV: 98% to winUNLV: 98% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 72-83UNLV: 17% to winUNLV: 17% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 86-74UNLV: 85% to winUNLV: 85% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 79-80UNLV: 48% to winUNLV: 48% to win Compare | |
Mountain West standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |