
College Basketball · Horizon · 2026-27
Green Bay Phoenix
1-1 · Coach Doug Gottlieb
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-0.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -1.4 (#172)
Preseason: #172
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-12
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 13%
- Outright title
- 7%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #172 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #212 in the country (-4.6), 18-15.
- →32% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Orlando Lovejoy (Detroit Mercy, 15.9 ppg), Aidan Hadaway (Ohio, 14.4 ppg), Jaxon Edwards (IU Indianapolis, 11.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Preston Ruedinger (11.6 ppg), C.J. O'Hara (14.1 ppg, now at Wright State), Justin Allen (13.6 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Green Bay
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus HallF · Senior · #639 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 41.7 (5-12) | 50.0 (3-6) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Orlando LovejoyG · Senior · #836 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 66.7 (10-15) | — (0-0) | 33.3 (2-6) |
| Clarence PayiaG · Junior · #3796 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 58.3 (7-12) | 50.0 (4-8) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Ne'quan BrownG · Junior · #4060 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 40.0 (2-5) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Isaiah SutherlandF · Senior · #2219 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 75.0 (6-8) | 85.7 (6-7) | — (0-0) |
| Ahmere CarsonG · Junior · #3561 ranked | 2 · 1 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 0.0 (0-5) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Keegan Van KauwenbergG · Sophomore · #2960 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) |
| Henry GruetzmacherF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Mac WreckeG · Junior · #2629 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Maruan CicicC · Sophomore · #2848 ranked | 2 · 2 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Aidan HadawayF · Senior · #660 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 42.9 (3-7) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Stewart Erhart IIG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | 66.7 (2-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| LeBron ThomasG · Senior · #2285 ranked | 2 · 1 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Christian BurnettG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Brady FitzgeraldG · Sophomore · #2891 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Tadej ColnaricF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 75.0 (3-4) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus HallF · Senior | 30 | 13.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.5 ast | |
| Aidan HadawayF · Senior | 24 | 14.4 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Orlando LovejoyG · Senior | 24 | 15.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast | |
| Jaxon EdwardsGraduate Student | 19 | 11.6 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Isaiah SutherlandF · Senior | 15 | 3.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| LeBron ThomasG · Senior | 14 | 4 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Mac WreckeG · Junior | 11 | 3.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Maruan CicicC · Sophomore | 10 | 2.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Keegan Van KauwenbergG · Sophomore | 8 | 2.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Brady FitzgeraldG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Preston Ruedinger (11.6 ppg), C.J. O'Hara (14.1 ppg, to
Wright State), Justin Allen (13.6 ppg), Caden Wilkins (6.9 ppg, to
St. Thomas-Minnesota), Ramel Bethea (3.6 ppg, to
The Citadel), Vukasin Todorovic (2.9 ppg, to
Niagara)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Marcus Hall | F | Senior | 6-6 | Schofield, WI | 9.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 13.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.5 ast (30 G) | #639 · +0.73 | |
| 6 | Aidan Hadaway | F | Senior | 6-8 · 220 | Lafayette, GA | 3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 14.4 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.1 ast (32 G) | #660 · +0.70 | |
| 0 | Orlando Lovejoy | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Detroit, MI | 11.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 15.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast (31 G) | #836 · +0.52 | |
| Jaxon Edwards | Graduate Student | Hasn't played | 11.6 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.9 ast (30 G) | #870 · +0.49 | |||||
| 24 | Isaiah Sutherland | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Orlando, FL | 9.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast (23 G) | #2219 · -0.20 | |
| 22 | LeBron Thomas | G | Senior | 6-3 | Bishopville, SC | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.0 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #2285 · -0.22 | |
| 4 | Mac Wrecke | G | Junior | 6-5 | Hartland, WI | 2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast (23 G) | #2629 · -0.35 | |
| 20 | Maruan Cicic | C | Sophomore | 7-0 | Bar, Montenegro | 1.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.1 ast (21 G) | #2848 · -0.43 | |
| 21 | Brady Fitzgerald | G | Sophomore | 6-4 | Fortville, IN | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2891 · -0.45 | |
| 3 | Keegan Van Kauwenberg | G | Sophomore | 6-3 | Kaukauna, WI | 9.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast (18 G) | #2960 · -0.47 | |
| 2 | Ahmere Carson | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 | Chicago, IL | 6.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3561 · -0.74 |
| 23 | Clarence Payia | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-6 | Beaumont, TX | 10.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3796 · -0.85 |
| 7 | Ne'quan Brown | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-8 | Tacoma, WA | 7.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #4060 · -1.16 |
| 31 | Henry Gruetzmacher | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 | Brookfield, WI | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 36 | Tadej Colnaric | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Rogaska Slatina, Slovenia | 2.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Christian Burnett | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 | Milledgeville, GA | 6.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Stewart Erhart II | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-2 | Tanana, AK | 4.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| Jalen Overway | New to Division I | Senior | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsLawrence University(non-D1) | W94-51Box score → |
| Nov 5 | L64-81Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 73-78GB: 33% to winGreen Bay: 33% to win Compare | |
| Nov 10 | Projected 70-76GB: 31% to winGreen Bay: 31% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | vsViterbo(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 17 | Projected 79-69GB: 79% to winGreen Bay: 79% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 70-87GB: 7% to winGreen Bay: 7% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 78-74GB: 64% to winGreen Bay: 64% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 81-68GB: 87% to winGreen Bay: 87% to win Compare | |
| Dec 3 | Projected 80-72GB: 76% to winGreen Bay: 76% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 76-78GB: 43% to winGreen Bay: 43% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 72-71GB: 51% to winGreen Bay: 51% to win Compare | |
| Dec 17 | Projected 78-71GB: 73% to winGreen Bay: 73% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 71-74GB: 41% to winGreen Bay: 41% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 76-75GB: 51% to winGreen Bay: 51% to win Compare | |
| Jan 3 | Projected 76-70GB: 71% to winGreen Bay: 71% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 81-76GB: 68% to winGreen Bay: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 78-69GB: 77% to winGreen Bay: 77% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 76-71GB: 67% to winGreen Bay: 67% to win Compare | |
| Jan 17 | Projected 77-75GB: 57% to winGreen Bay: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 81-72GB: 78% to winGreen Bay: 78% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 80-70GB: 82% to winGreen Bay: 82% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 81-74GB: 73% to winGreen Bay: 73% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 75-68GB: 72% to winGreen Bay: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 79-67GB: 86% to winGreen Bay: 86% to win Compare | |
| Feb 7 | Projected 77-73GB: 65% to winGreen Bay: 65% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 73-81GB: 24% to winGreen Bay: 24% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 78-79GB: 46% to winGreen Bay: 46% to win Compare | |
| Feb 19 | Projected 84-69GB: 90% to winGreen Bay: 90% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 84-71GB: 88% to winGreen Bay: 88% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 73-74GB: 47% to winGreen Bay: 47% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 72-71GB: 53% to winGreen Bay: 53% to win Compare | |
Horizon standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-1 |