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College Basketball · Summit · 2026-27

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

1-1 · Coach Johnny Tauer

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Power Rankings

#138▲1

Who is best right now.

+2.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +1.6 (#139)

Preseason: #139

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

23-9

Conference record
11-3
Conference title
70%
Outright title
53%
Luck
+0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #139 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #107 in the country (+5.8), 24-10.
  • →28% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →3 transfers in, led by Caden Wilkins (Green Bay, 6.9 ppg), Jeremy Lorenz (DePaul, 2.2 ppg), Kendall Blue (Nebraska, 0.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Nick Janowski (16.1 ppg, now at Davidson), Nolan Minessale (19.8 ppg, now at Marquette), Ben Oosterbaan (7.6 ppg, now at San Francisco).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like St. Thomas-Minnesota

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Jeremy LorenzF · Junior · #1030 ranked2 · 229.514.55.02.545.8 (11-24)25.0 (2-8)71.4 (5-7)
Tim FranksG · Sophomore · #1603 ranked2 · 227.514.04.00.543.8 (7-16)42.9 (6-14)100.0 (8-8)
Austin HerroG · Junior · #575 ranked2 · 227.05.52.54.038.5 (5-13)0.0 (0-2)50.0 (1-2)
Hayden TibbitsG · Junior · #1212 ranked2 · 226.514.01.54.046.2 (6-13)45.5 (5-11)91.7 (11-12)
Carter BjerkeF · Senior · #704 ranked2 · 224.58.03.52.046.2 (6-13)44.4 (4-9)0.0 (0-1)
Jonovan WilkinsonG · Junior · #3541 ranked2 · 022.06.50.51.040.0 (4-10)42.9 (3-7)100.0 (2-2)
Caden WilkinsF · Sophomore · #1845 ranked2 · 016.54.04.00.550.0 (3-6)0.0 (0-1)100.0 (2-2)
Kendall BlueG · Senior · #1561 ranked1 · 016.06.05.01.025.0 (2-8)0.0 (0-5)50.0 (2-4)
Julius WadeG · Sophomore · #3699 ranked2 · 013.04.03.00.050.0 (3-6)33.3 (1-3)100.0 (1-1)
Brogan MadsonG · Sophomore1 · 04.02.00.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Kyle CountsF · Sophomore · #2606 ranked2 · 03.50.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Carter BjerkeF · SeniorReturning259.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Austin HerroG · JuniorReturning215.5 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast
Caden WilkinsF · SophomoreTransfer from Green Bay186.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast
Jeremy LorenzF · JuniorTransfer from DePaul132.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast
Kendall BlueG · SeniorTransfer from Nebraska130.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.2 ast
Hayden TibbitsG · JuniorReturning113.1 pts · 1 reb · 1.1 ast
Tim FranksG · SophomoreReturning62.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast
Tommy Humphries Jr.G · JuniorReturning61.1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast
Adam TauerG · JuniorReturning50.4 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast
Kyle CountsF · SophomoreReturning51 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast

Gone from last season: Nick Janowski (16.1 ppg, to Davidson), Nolan Minessale (19.8 ppg, to Marquette), Ben Oosterbaan (7.6 ppg, to San Francisco), Isaiah Johnson-Arigu (10.5 ppg, to Northern Iowa), Ryan Dufault (5.7 ppg), Jermaine Coleman (4.4 ppg, to Youngstown State)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
2Austin HerroReturningGJunior6-3 · 180Milwaukee, WI5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)5.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (27 G)#575 · +0.79
32Carter BjerkeReturningFSenior6-9 · 255Plymouth, MN8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)9.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast (34 G)#704 · +0.65
33Jeremy LorenzTransfer from DePaulFJunior6-8 · 230Brillion, WI14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.0 ast (9 G)#1030 · +0.36
1Hayden TibbitsReturningGJunior5-11 · 160Medina, MN14.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)3.1 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.1 ast (26 G)#1212 · +0.25
4Kendall BlueTransfer from NebraskaGSenior6-6 · 200Woodbury, MN6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.2 ast (19 G)#1561 · +0.06
5Tim FranksReturningGSophomore6-5 · 190Mequon, WI14.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast (16 G)#1603 · +0.05
21Caden WilkinsTransfer from Green BayFSophomore6-7 · 230Bettendorf, IA4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G)#1845 · -0.05
10Tommy Humphries Jr.ReturningGJunior6-5 · 205Minneapolis, MNHasn't played1.1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast (9 G)#1968 · -0.10
15Adam TauerReturningGJunior6-3 · 185Saint Paul, MNHasn't played0.4 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast (12 G)#2419 · -0.27
24Kyle CountsReturningFSophomore6-7 · 210Wilsonville, OR0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)1.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G)#2606 · -0.34
22Jonovan WilkinsonNew to Division IGJunior6-2 · 200Radcliffe, IA6.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#3541 · -0.73
11Julius WadeNew to Division IGSophomore6-6 · 170Oakland, CA4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#3699 · -0.80
3JoJo Mitchell IIIFreshmanGFreshman6-2 · 185Minneapolis, MNHasn't played—Not ranked yet
13Luka MomcilovicReturningFFreshman6-8 · 220Pewaukee, WIHasn't played—Not ranked yet
0Brogan MadsonNew to Division IGSophomore6-1 · 190Mankato, MN2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2atPresbyterianW87-78Box score →
Nov 6atMinnesotaL62-76Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8vsGreen BayProjected 78-73STMN: 67% to win Compare
Nov 11vsMacalester(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 14atArmyProjected 79-71STMN: 76% to win Compare
Nov 16atLong Island UniversityProjected 77-74STMN: 61% to win Compare
Nov 19vsSoutheast Missouri StateProjected 82-72STMN: 82% to win Compare
Nov 21atMilwaukeeProjected 81-74STMN: 72% to win Compare
Nov 25atUNC WilmingtonProjected 74-78STMN: 36% to win Compare
Nov 27vs (N)LibertyLive Oak Bank Holiday ClassicProjected 76-73STMN: 61% to win Compare
Nov 28vs (N)PrincetonSeahawk ClassicProjected 75-70STMN: 64% to win Compare
Dec 3vsNorth Central (MN)(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 5atBucknellProjected 83-69STMN: 88% to win Compare
Dec 10vsUNC AshevilleProjected 83-71STMN: 86% to win Compare
Dec 12vsArkansas StateProjected 82-76STMN: 72% to win Compare
Dec 15vsUC San DiegoProjected 75-76STMN: 48% to win Compare
Dec 22atStanfordProjected 70-80STMN: 20% to win Compare
Jan 2vsSt. Olaf(non-D1)Upcoming
Jan 7vsNorth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 82-73STMN: 79% to win Compare
Jan 10vsNorth DakotaConferenceProjected 85-69STMN: 91% to win Compare
Jan 16vsOmahaConferenceProjected 84-70STMN: 89% to win Compare
Jan 21atOral RobertsConferenceProjected 80-71STMN: 79% to win Compare
Jan 23atKansas CityConferenceProjected 82-75STMN: 71% to win Compare
Jan 28vsSouth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 77-72STMN: 68% to win Compare
Jan 30vsSouth DakotaConferenceProjected 87-74STMN: 86% to win Compare
Feb 4atNorth DakotaConferenceProjected 82-72STMN: 79% to win Compare
Feb 6atNorth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 79-76STMN: 61% to win Compare
Feb 13atOmahaConferenceProjected 81-73STMN: 74% to win Compare
Feb 18vsKansas CityConferenceProjected 85-72STMN: 87% to win Compare
Feb 21vsOral RobertsConferenceProjected 83-68STMN: 91% to win Compare
Feb 25atSouth DakotaConferenceProjected 84-78STMN: 70% to win Compare
Feb 27atSouth Dakota StateConferenceProjected 74-75STMN: 47% to win Compare