
College Basketball · Summit · 2026-27
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
1-1 · Coach Johnny Tauer
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+2.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +1.6 (#139)
Preseason: #139
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-9
- Conference record
- 11-3
- Conference title
- 70%
- Outright title
- 53%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #139 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #107 in the country (+5.8), 24-10.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Caden Wilkins (Green Bay, 6.9 ppg), Jeremy Lorenz (DePaul, 2.2 ppg), Kendall Blue (Nebraska, 0.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Nick Janowski (16.1 ppg, now at Davidson), Nolan Minessale (19.8 ppg, now at Marquette), Ben Oosterbaan (7.6 ppg, now at San Francisco).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like St. Thomas-Minnesota
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy LorenzF · Junior · #1030 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 45.8 (11-24) | 25.0 (2-8) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Tim FranksG · Sophomore · #1603 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 43.8 (7-16) | 42.9 (6-14) | 100.0 (8-8) |
| Austin HerroG · Junior · #575 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 38.5 (5-13) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Hayden TibbitsG · Junior · #1212 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 45.5 (5-11) | 91.7 (11-12) |
| Carter BjerkeF · Senior · #704 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 44.4 (4-9) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Jonovan WilkinsonG · Junior · #3541 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Caden WilkinsF · Sophomore · #1845 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Kendall BlueG · Senior · #1561 ranked | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 (2-8) | 0.0 (0-5) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Julius WadeG · Sophomore · #3699 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 33.3 (1-3) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Brogan MadsonG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Kyle CountsF · Sophomore · #2606 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carter BjerkeF · Senior | 25 | 9.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast | |
| Austin HerroG · Junior | 21 | 5.5 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast | |
| Caden WilkinsF · Sophomore | 18 | 6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Jeremy LorenzF · Junior | 13 | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast | |
| Kendall BlueG · Senior | 13 | 0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Hayden TibbitsG · Junior | 11 | 3.1 pts · 1 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Tim FranksG · Sophomore | 6 | 2.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Tommy Humphries Jr.G · Junior | 6 | 1.1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Adam TauerG · Junior | 5 | 0.4 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Kyle CountsF · Sophomore | 5 | 1 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Nick Janowski (16.1 ppg, to
Davidson), Nolan Minessale (19.8 ppg, to
Marquette), Ben Oosterbaan (7.6 ppg, to
San Francisco), Isaiah Johnson-Arigu (10.5 ppg, to
Northern Iowa), Ryan Dufault (5.7 ppg), Jermaine Coleman (4.4 ppg, to
Youngstown State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austin Herro | G | Junior | 6-3 · 180 | Milwaukee, WI | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 5.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (27 G) | #575 · +0.79 | |
| 32 | Carter Bjerke | F | Senior | 6-9 · 255 | Plymouth, MN | 8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 9.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast (34 G) | #704 · +0.65 | |
| 33 | Jeremy Lorenz | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Brillion, WI | 14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.0 ast (9 G) | #1030 · +0.36 | |
| 1 | Hayden Tibbits | G | Junior | 5-11 · 160 | Medina, MN | 14.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.1 ast (26 G) | #1212 · +0.25 | |
| 4 | Kendall Blue | G | Senior | 6-6 · 200 | Woodbury, MN | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.2 ast (19 G) | #1561 · +0.06 | |
| 5 | Tim Franks | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 190 | Mequon, WI | 14.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast (16 G) | #1603 · +0.05 | |
| 21 | Caden Wilkins | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 230 | Bettendorf, IA | 4.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G) | #1845 · -0.05 | |
| 10 | Tommy Humphries Jr. | G | Junior | 6-5 · 205 | Minneapolis, MN | Hasn't played | 1.1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast (9 G) | #1968 · -0.10 | |
| 15 | Adam Tauer | G | Junior | 6-3 · 185 | Saint Paul, MN | Hasn't played | 0.4 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast (12 G) | #2419 · -0.27 | |
| 24 | Kyle Counts | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 210 | Wilsonville, OR | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G) | #2606 · -0.34 | |
| 22 | Jonovan Wilkinson | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-2 · 200 | Radcliffe, IA | 6.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3541 · -0.73 |
| 11 | Julius Wade | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 170 | Oakland, CA | 4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3699 · -0.80 |
| 3 | JoJo Mitchell III | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Minneapolis, MN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Luka Momcilovic | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 220 | Pewaukee, WI | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 0 | Brogan Madson | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 190 | Mankato, MN | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W87-78Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | L62-76Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 78-73STMN: 67% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 67% to win Compare | |
| Nov 11 | vsMacalester(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 14 | Projected 79-71STMN: 76% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 76% to win Compare | |
| Nov 16 | Projected 77-74STMN: 61% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 61% to win Compare | |
| Nov 19 | Projected 82-72STMN: 82% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 82% to win Compare | |
| Nov 21 | Projected 81-74STMN: 72% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 72% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 74-78STMN: 36% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 36% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 76-73STMN: 61% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 61% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 75-70STMN: 64% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 64% to win Compare | |
| Dec 3 | vsNorth Central (MN)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 5 | Projected 83-69STMN: 88% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 88% to win Compare | |
| Dec 10 | Projected 83-71STMN: 86% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 86% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 82-76STMN: 72% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 72% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 75-76STMN: 48% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 48% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 70-80STMN: 20% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 20% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | vsSt. Olaf(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 7 | Projected 82-73STMN: 79% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 79% to win Compare | |
| Jan 10 | Projected 85-69STMN: 91% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 91% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 84-70STMN: 89% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 89% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 80-71STMN: 79% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 79% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 82-75STMN: 71% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 71% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 77-72STMN: 68% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 87-74STMN: 86% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 86% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 82-72STMN: 79% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 79% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 79-76STMN: 61% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 81-73STMN: 74% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 85-72STMN: 87% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 87% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 83-68STMN: 91% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 91% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 84-78STMN: 70% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 70% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 74-75STMN: 47% to winSt. Thomas-Minnesota: 47% to win Compare | |
Summit standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-2 |