College Basketball · Big Ten · 2026-27
Oregon Ducks
2-0 · Coach Tony Stubblefield (new)
Power Rankings
#64▲4
Who is best right now.
+15.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +13.5 (#68)
Preseason: #68
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-14
- Conference record
- 8-12
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #68 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #97 in the country (+8.5), 12-20.
- →21% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Fred Payne (Boston College, 15.8 ppg), Tyrone Riley IV (San Francisco, 12.2 ppg), Andrew Meadow (Boise State, 12.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Tajh Ariza (#33), Seven Spurlock (#214).
- →Lost Jackson Shelstad (15.6 ppg, now at Louisville), Takai Simpkins (12.5 ppg, now at Lipscomb), Nate Bittle (16.8 ppg).
- →New head coach: Tony Stubblefield, replacing Dana Altman. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Oregon
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IVG · Junior · #465 ranked | 1 · 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 54.5 (6-11) | 50.0 (1-2) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Fred PayneG · Senior · #826 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 60.0 (12-20) | 50.0 (4-8) | — (0-0) |
| Andrew MeadowF · Senior · #576 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 64.3 (9-14) | 50.0 (3-6) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Malique EwinC · Senior · #47 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 60.0 (9-15) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| Wei LinG · Junior · #1921 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 15.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 78.6 (11-14) | 71.4 (5-7) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Dwayne AristodeF · Sophomore · #655 ranked | 1 · 0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Taylor Bol BowenF · Senior · #391 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 44.4 (4-9) | 33.3 (1-3) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jasper JohnsonG · Sophomore · #1456 ranked | 2 · 1 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Sean StewartF · Senior · #828 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 75.0 (6-8) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Tajh ArizaF · Freshman · #541 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Pharaoh ComptonF · Junior · #367 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (8-8) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Seven SpurlockF · Freshman · #2789 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Jerry Easter IIG · Sophomore · #1315 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malique EwinC · Senior |  Transfer from Arkansas | 26 | 9.8 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast |
| Andrew MeadowF · Senior |  Transfer from Boise State | 26 | 12.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1 ast |
| Sean StewartF · Senior |  Returning | 23 | 6.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Fred PayneG · Senior |  Transfer from Boston College | 22 | 15.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast |
| Tyrone Riley IVG · Junior |  Transfer from San Francisco | 22 | 12.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Taylor Bol BowenF · Senior |  Transfer from Alabama | 22 | 6.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Dwayne AristodeF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Arizona | 20 | 3.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Pharaoh ComptonF · Junior |  Transfer from San Diego State | 20 | 7.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Jerry Easter IIG · Sophomore |  Transfer from USC | 18 | 4.4 pts · 3 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Jasper JohnsonG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Kentucky | 18 | 4.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Wei LinG · Junior | Returning | 17 | 6.6 pts · 0.9 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Tajh ArizaF · Freshman | Freshman · #33 recruit | 15 | — |
| Seven SpurlockF · Freshman | Freshman · #214 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Jackson Shelstad (15.6 ppg, to 
Louisville), Takai Simpkins (12.5 ppg, to 
Lipscomb), Nate Bittle (16.8 ppg), Kwame Evans Jr. (13.3 ppg, to 
Villanova), Dezdrick Lindsay (5.3 ppg, to 
Kansas State), Devon Pryor (2.9 ppg, to 
UT Rio Grande Valley)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Malique Ewin | Transfer from Arkansas | C | Senior | 6-10 · 240 | Lawrenceville, GA | 12.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 9.8 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.0 ast (37 G) | #47 · +2.19 |
| 9 | Pharaoh Compton | Transfer from San Diego State | F | Junior | 6-7 · 235 | Chicago, IL | 8.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.3 ast (33 G) | #367 · +1.08 |
| 7 | Taylor Bol Bowen | Transfer from Alabama | F | Senior | 6-10 · 202 | Jericho, VT | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 6.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast (30 G) | #391 · +1.04 |
| 5 | Tyrone Riley IV | Transfer from San Francisco | G | Junior | 6-6 · 200 | Watts, CA | 17.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 12.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast (31 G) | #465 · +0.92 |
| 0 | Tajh Ariza | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 | Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #541 · +0.82 |
| 8 | Andrew Meadow | Transfer from Boise State | F | Senior | 6-7 · 218 | Santa Clarita, CA | 11.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 12.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.0 ast (32 G) | #576 · +0.79 |
| 3 | Dwayne Aristode | Transfer from Arizona | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 220 | Lelystad, Netherlands | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 3.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast (35 G) | #655 · +0.71 |
| 4 | Fred Payne | Transfer from Boston College | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Grambling, LA | 14.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 15.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast (31 G) | #826 · +0.53 |
| 13 | Sean Stewart | Returning | F | Senior | 6-9 · 220 | Windermere, FL | 6.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #828 · +0.52 |
| 1 | Jerry Easter II | Transfer from USC | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 193 | Toledo, OH | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.1 ast (29 G) | #1315 · +0.19 |
| 2 | Jasper Johnson | Transfer from Kentucky | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 180 | Lexington, KY | 3.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 4.9 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast (35 G) | #1456 · +0.12 |
| 23 | Wei Lin | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 | Xiamen, China | 15.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 0.9 reb · 1.7 ast (30 G) | #1921 · -0.08 |
| 17 | Luke Johnson | Returning | F | Junior | 6-8 | Portland, OR | Hasn't played | 1.1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast (12 G) | #2297 · -0.23 |
| 11 | Seven Spurlock | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 | Dallas, TX | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2789 · -0.41 |
| 15 | Rian Gonzales | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 | Albuquerque, NM | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsMontana | W87-69Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsEastern Washington | W98-71Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 93-57ORE: 99% to winOregon: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vsPepperdine | Projected 87-70ORE: 92% to winOregon: 92% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vs (N)Oregon State | Projected 79-78ORE: 55% to winOregon: 55% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)St. John'sPlayers Era 16 | Projected 75-79ORE: 34% to winOregon: 34% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  at#20UCLAConference | Projected 73-83ORE: 18% to winOregon: 18% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 | vsUSCConference | Projected 79-80ORE: 49% to winOregon: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsIndiana State | Projected 85-68ORE: 93% to winOregon: 93% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsSouthern | Projected 89-67ORE: 97% to winOregon: 97% to win Compare |
| Dec 20 |  vsPortland State | Projected 84-66ORE: 94% to winOregon: 94% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  atOhio StateConference | Projected 75-82ORE: 29% to winOregon: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atPenn StateConference | Projected 83-79ORE: 63% to winOregon: 63% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsIndianaConference | Projected 77-79ORE: 46% to winOregon: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 |  vs#7NebraskaConference | Projected 72-79ORE: 26% to winOregon: 26% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  at#6Michigan StateConference | Projected 70-84ORE: 11% to winOregon: 11% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  at#13MichiganConference | Projected 74-86ORE: 14% to winOregon: 14% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsNorthwesternConference | Projected 77-75ORE: 59% to winOregon: 59% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsRutgersConference | Projected 80-73ORE: 73% to winOregon: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vs (N)#11Gonzaga | Projected 74-84ORE: 21% to winOregon: 21% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  atWisconsinConference | Projected 76-79ORE: 39% to winOregon: 39% to win Compare |
| Feb 7 |  vsWashingtonConference | Projected 81-75ORE: 69% to winOregon: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 |  atIowaConference | Projected 70-77ORE: 27% to winOregon: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atMinnesotaConference | Projected 71-74ORE: 41% to winOregon: 41% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 |  vsMarylandConference | Projected 81-75ORE: 71% to winOregon: 71% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vs#4IllinoisConference | Projected 75-85ORE: 20% to winOregon: 20% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  vsPurdueConference | Projected 77-74ORE: 59% to winOregon: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atUSCConference | Projected 75-82ORE: 28% to winOregon: 28% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | vs#20UCLAConference | Projected 76-80ORE: 36% to winOregon: 36% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atWashingtonConference | Projected 77-78ORE: 49% to winOregon: 49% to win Compare |
Big Ten standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Michigan State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Nebraska | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | UCLA | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Indiana | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Iowa | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | USC | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Northwestern | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oregon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Minnesota | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Washington | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 13 | Rutgers | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 14 | Penn State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 17 | Maryland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Purdue | 0-0 | 0-2 |