College Basketball · Big Ten · 2026-27
Michigan State Spartans
2-0 · Coach Tom Izzo
Power Rankings
#6▲7
Who is best right now.
+30.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +28.3 (#13)
Preseason: #13
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
24-8
- Conference record
- 14-6
- Conference title
- 22%
- Outright title
- 11%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #13 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #10 in the country (+31.2), 27-8.
- →60% of last season's minutes are back.
- →1 transfer in, led by Anton Bonke (Charlotte, 10.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →4 ranked freshmen: Jasiah Jervis (#32), Ethan Taylor (#41), Carlos Medlock Jr. (#55).
- →Lost Jaxon Kohler (12.5 ppg, now at BYU), Carson Cooper (11.1 ppg), Divine Ugochukwu (5.1 ppg, now at LSU).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Michigan State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr.G · Junior · #1 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 53.3 (8-15) | 14.3 (1-7) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Jasiah JervisG · Freshman · #530 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 40.0 (6-15) | 41.7 (5-12) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jordan ScottF · Sophomore · #355 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 45.5 (10-22) | 27.3 (3-11) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Coen CarrF · Senior · #127 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (7-14) | 100.0 (2-2) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Anton BonkeC · Senior · #251 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.5 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 (8-11) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (4-8) |
| Carlos Medlock Jr.G · Freshman · #642 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 66.7 (6-9) | 100.0 (3-3) | 16.7 (1-6) |
| Kur TengG · Junior · #849 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 50.0 (4-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Ethan TaylorC · Freshman · #661 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 55.6 (5-9) |
| Kaleb GlennF · Junior · #3121 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 (7-9) | 100.0 (1-1) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Cam WardF · Sophomore · #461 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Jesse McCullochF · Sophomore · #949 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (3-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Julius AventF · Freshman · #1526 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Matthew WatkinsG · Senior | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Brennan WaltonF · Sophomore · #1457 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Colin WaltonF · Sophomore · #1459 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr.G · Junior |  Returning | 35 | 15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 9.3 ast |
| Coen CarrF · Senior | Returning | 29 | 12 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Jordan ScottF · Sophomore | Returning | 21 | 5.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Kur TengG · Junior | Returning | 18 | 7.3 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast |
| Cam WardF · Sophomore | Returning | 17 | 5.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Anton BonkeC · Senior |  Transfer from Charlotte | 16 | 10.6 pts · 8.3 reb · 1 ast |
| Jasiah JervisG · Freshman | Freshman · #32 recruit | 15 | — |
| Ethan TaylorC · Freshman | Freshman · #41 recruit | 15 | — |
| Julius AventF · Freshman | Freshman · #92 recruit | 11 | — |
| Carlos Medlock Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #55 recruit | 11 | — |
| Jesse McCullochF · Sophomore | Returning | 9 | 2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Brennan WaltonF · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.4 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast |
| Colin WaltonF · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.2 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Jaxon Kohler (12.5 ppg, to 
BYU), Carson Cooper (11.1 ppg), Divine Ugochukwu (5.1 ppg, to 
LSU), Trey Fort (4.2 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Fears Jr. | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 190 | Joliet, IL | 12.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 10.0 ast (2 G) | 15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 9.3 ast (35 G) | #1 · +3.79 |
| 55 | Coen Carr | Returning | F | Senior | 6-6 · 230 | Stockbridge, GA | 11.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 12.0 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.2 ast (35 G) | #127 · +1.69 |
| 34 | Anton Bonke | Transfer from Charlotte | C | Senior | 7-2 · 266 | Port Vila, Vanuatu | 10.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.6 pts · 8.3 reb · 1.0 ast (34 G) | #251 · +1.28 |
| 6 | Jordan Scott | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 200 | Reston, VA | 11.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 5.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast (35 G) | #355 · +1.11 |
| 3 | Cam Ward | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 230 | Upper Marlboro, MD | 4.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.3 ast (34 G) | #461 · +0.93 |
| 25 | Jasiah Jervis | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Bronx, NY | 10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #530 · +0.83 |
| 7 | Carlos Medlock Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-11 · 178 | Westland, MI | 8.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #642 · +0.72 |
| 10 | Ethan Taylor | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-2 · 252 | Kansas City, KS | 4.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #661 · +0.70 |
| 2 | Kur Teng | Returning | G | Junior | 6-5 · 200 | Manchester, NH | 7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (35 G) | #849 · +0.51 |
| 35 | Jesse McCulloch | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 245 | Cleveland, OH | 6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast (28 G) | #949 · +0.41 |
| 40 | Brennan Walton | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Okemos, MI | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.4 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G) | #1457 · +0.12 |
| 43 | Colin Walton | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Okemos, MI | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.2 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G) | #1459 · +0.12 |
| 0 | Julius Avent | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 226 | Springfield, NJ | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1526 · +0.08 |
| 8 | Kaleb Glenn | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 215 | Louisville, KY | 9.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3121 · -0.54 |
| 20 | Matthew Watkins | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-4 · 203 | Perrysburg, OH | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsQuinnipiac | W96-59Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsToledo | W91-61Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vs (N)#1DukeState Farm Champions Classic | Projected 74-78MSU: 35% to winMichigan State: 35% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsNorthern Iowa | Projected 86-63MSU: 97% to winMichigan State: 97% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  at#12Tennessee | Projected 74-75MSU: 45% to winMichigan State: 45% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsDetroit Mercy | Projected 92-57MSU: 99% to winMichigan State: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 |  vs (N)#18Arkansas | Projected 82-79MSU: 60% to winMichigan State: 60% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsMinnesotaConference | Projected 79-65MSU: 89% to winMichigan State: 89% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsDrake | Projected 88-64MSU: 98% to winMichigan State: 98% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  atMarylandConference | Projected 83-72MSU: 83% to winMichigan State: 83% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsMerrimack | Projected 86-54MSU: 99% to winMichigan State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)#11GonzagaAcrisure Series | Projected 79-77MSU: 55% to winMichigan State: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsOakland | Projected 92-63MSU: 99% to winMichigan State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsPennsylvania | Projected 91-66MSU: 98% to winMichigan State: 98% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  at#7NebraskaConference | Projected 73-76MSU: 40% to winMichigan State: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  vsWashingtonConference | Projected 85-68MSU: 93% to winMichigan State: 93% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  at#20UCLAConference | Projected 78-77MSU: 51% to winMichigan State: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atUSCConference | Projected 80-76MSU: 65% to winMichigan State: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsOregonConference | Projected 84-70MSU: 89% to winMichigan State: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atOhio StateConference | Projected 80-75MSU: 65% to winMichigan State: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  vsPenn StateConference | Projected 91-69MSU: 97% to winMichigan State: 97% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsPurdueConference | Projected 81-68MSU: 88% to winMichigan State: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 | vsMarylandConference | Projected 86-69MSU: 93% to winMichigan State: 93% to win Compare |
| Feb 5 |  vs (N)#4IllinoisConference | Projected 78-80MSU: 44% to winMichigan State: 44% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 |  vsRutgersConference | Projected 84-66MSU: 94% to winMichigan State: 94% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  at#13MichiganConference | Projected 78-79MSU: 46% to winMichigan State: 46% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  atIowaConference | Projected 74-71MSU: 62% to winMichigan State: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vs#7NebraskaConference | Projected 76-73MSU: 62% to winMichigan State: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  atIndianaConference | Projected 79-75MSU: 62% to winMichigan State: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 | vs#13MichiganConference | Projected 81-76MSU: 68% to winMichigan State: 68% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  atNorthwesternConference | Projected 79-72MSU: 73% to winMichigan State: 73% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 |  vsWisconsinConference | Projected 83-69MSU: 89% to winMichigan State: 89% to win Compare |
Big Ten standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Michigan State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Nebraska | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | UCLA | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Indiana | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Iowa | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | USC | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Northwestern | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oregon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Minnesota | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Washington | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 13 | Rutgers | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 14 | Penn State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 17 | Maryland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Purdue | 0-0 | 0-2 |