Power Rankings
#20▲14
Who is best right now.
+25.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +20.1 (#34)
Preseason: #34
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-8
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 8%
- Outright title
- 3%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #34 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #30 in the country (+23.1), 24-12.
- →48% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Jaylen Petty (Texas Tech, 9.9 ppg), Filip Jovic (Auburn, 6.3 ppg), Azavier Robinson (Butler, 6.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Nikola Kusturica (#59), Joe Philon III (#63), Javonte Floyd (#166).
- →Lost Donovan Dent (13.3 ppg, now at LSU), Tyler Bilodeau (17.6 ppg), Skyy Clark (11.5 ppg, now at LSU).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UCLA
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen PettyG · Sophomore · #185 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 52.2 (12-23) | 58.3 (7-12) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Eric Dailey Jr.F · Senior · #196 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 12.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 40.7 (11-27) | 0.0 (0-6) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Nikola KusturicaF · Freshman · #182 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 56.5 (13-23) | 36.4 (4-11) | 88.9 (8-9) |
| Trent PerryG · Junior · #92 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 33.3 (6-18) | 50.0 (4-8) | 84.2 (16-19) |
| Azavier RobinsonG · Sophomore · #882 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 20.0 (2-10) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Brandon WilliamsF · Senior · #1011 ranked | 2 · 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 41.7 (5-12) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Joe Philon IIIF · Freshman · #805 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 90.0 (9-10) | 100.0 (4-4) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Sergej MacuraF · Junior · #766 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 57.1 (4-7) | 66.7 (4-6) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Xavier BookerC · Senior · #407 ranked | 1 · 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Markell AlstonG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Gunars GrinvaldsF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jordan HouegbanG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Javonte FloydC · Freshman · #2567 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent PerryG · Junior |  Returning | 29 | 12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Eric Dailey Jr.F · Senior | Returning | 26 | 11.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Jaylen PettyG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Texas Tech | 24 | 9.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.2 ast |
| Xavier BookerC · Senior | Returning | 21 | 7.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Filip JovicC · Sophomore |  Transfer from Auburn | 19 | 6.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Sergej MacuraF · Junior |  Transfer from Mississippi State | 16 | 5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Azavier RobinsonG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Butler | 15 | 6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.4 ast |
| Brandon WilliamsF · Senior | Returning | 14 | 2.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Eric FreenyG · Junior | Returning | 11 | 2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Nikola KusturicaF · Freshman | Freshman · #59 recruit | 11 | — |
| Joe Philon IIIF · Freshman | Freshman · #63 recruit | 11 | — |
| Javonte FloydC · Freshman | Freshman · #166 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Donovan Dent (13.3 ppg, to 
LSU), Tyler Bilodeau (17.6 ppg), Skyy Clark (11.5 ppg, to LSU), Jamar Brown (3.8 ppg), Steven Jamerson II (1.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Trent Perry | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 195 | West Covina, CA | 16.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | 12.6 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.8 ast (35 G) | #92 · +1.88 |
| 17 | Nikola Kusturica | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 205 | Novi Sad, Serbia | 19.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #182 · +1.49 |
| 4 | Jaylen Petty | Transfer from Texas Tech | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 175 | Seattle, WA | 17.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.2 ast (33 G) | #185 · +1.49 |
| 3 | Eric Dailey Jr. | Returning | F | Senior | 6-8 · 235 | Palmetto, FL | 12.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 11.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast (35 G) | #196 · +1.45 |
| 38 | Filip Jovic | Transfer from Auburn | C | Sophomore | 6-8 · 245 | Bijeljina, Bosnia & Herzegovina | Hasn't played | 6.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.6 ast (37 G) | #386 · +1.06 |
| 1 | Xavier Booker | Returning | C | Senior | 6-11 · 250 | Indianapolis, IN | 8.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 7.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast (36 G) | #407 · +1.01 |
| 12 | Sergej Macura | Transfer from Mississippi State | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Ljubljana, Slovenia | 8.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 5.0 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast (28 G) | #766 · +0.58 |
| 7 | Joe Philon III | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 190 | Tampa, FL | 12.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #805 · +0.55 |
| 23 | Azavier Robinson | Transfer from Butler | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 195 | Indianapolis, IN | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.4 ast (22 G) | #882 · +0.48 |
| 5 | Brandon Williams | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 235 | Queens, NY | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (34 G) | #1011 · +0.37 |
| 8 | Eric Freeny | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 215 | Corona, CA | Hasn't played | 2.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast (28 G) | #1369 · +0.16 |
| 2 | Javonte Floyd | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-9 · 245 | Atlanta, GA | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2567 · -0.32 |
| 6 | Gunars Grinvalds | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 210 | Jurmala, Latvia | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Jordan Houegban | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 210 | Los Angeles, CA | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Markell Alston | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 185 | Queensbridge, NY | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)#10ArizonaHall of Fame Series - Las Vegas | W84-75Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsNorth Florida | W114-63Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsArkansas-Pine Bluff | Projected 97-59UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 16 |  vsLong Beach State | Projected 88-63UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsCal State Fullerton | Projected 95-68UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vsDelaware | Projected 86-61UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 |  vs (N)Saint Mary'sRady Children's Invitational | Projected 80-75UCLA: 65% to winUCLA: 65% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 | Rady Children's InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  vsOregonConference | Projected 83-73UCLA: 82% to winUCLA: 82% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vs (N)#11Gonzaga | Projected 78-80UCLA: 43% to winUCLA: 43% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 |  atWashingtonConference | Projected 81-74UCLA: 73% to winUCLA: 73% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsQuinnipiac | Projected 89-62UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsUC Riverside | Projected 88-61UCLA: 99% to winUCLA: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsSan Diego State | Projected 83-71UCLA: 84% to winUCLA: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atMarylandConference | Projected 82-74UCLA: 74% to winUCLA: 74% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atRutgersConference | Projected 80-72UCLA: 76% to winUCLA: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vs#6Michigan StateConference | Projected 77-78UCLA: 49% to winUCLA: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 | vsWashingtonConference | Projected 84-71UCLA: 87% to winUCLA: 87% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsWisconsinConference | Projected 82-72UCLA: 82% to winUCLA: 82% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 |  at#7NebraskaConference | Projected 72-78UCLA: 29% to winUCLA: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  vs#13MichiganConference | Projected 80-79UCLA: 56% to winUCLA: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atIndianaConference | Projected 78-79UCLA: 50% to winUCLA: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 |  at#4IllinoisConference | Projected 76-84UCLA: 22% to winUCLA: 22% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsIowaConference | Projected 76-70UCLA: 70% to winUCLA: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vsMinnesotaConference | Projected 78-67UCLA: 82% to winUCLA: 82% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atUSCConference | Projected 79-78UCLA: 52% to winUCLA: 52% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 |  vsOhio StateConference | Projected 82-75UCLA: 73% to winUCLA: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 |  atPurdueConference | Projected 77-73UCLA: 63% to winUCLA: 63% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  atNorthwesternConference | Projected 78-74UCLA: 63% to winUCLA: 63% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  vsPenn StateConference | Projected 89-72UCLA: 94% to winUCLA: 94% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | atOregonConference | Projected 80-76UCLA: 64% to winUCLA: 64% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vsUSCConference | Projected 82-75UCLA: 73% to winUCLA: 73% to win Compare |
Big Ten standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Michigan State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Nebraska | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | UCLA | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Indiana | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Iowa | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | USC | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Northwestern | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oregon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Minnesota | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Washington | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 13 | Rutgers | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 14 | Penn State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 17 | Maryland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Purdue | 0-0 | 0-2 |