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College Basketball · Big Ten · 2026-27

Illinois Fighting Illini

2-0 · Coach Brad Underwood

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Power Rankings

#4▲2

Who is best right now.

+33.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +30.8 (#6)

Preseason: #6

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

26-6

Conference record
16-4
Conference title
60%
Outright title
42%
Luck
0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #6 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #4 in the country (+36.7), 28-9.
  • →57% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →1 transfer in, led by Stefan Vaaks (Providence, 15.8 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →6 ranked freshmen: Quentin Coleman (#18), Lucas Morillo (#50), Zavier Zens (#148).
  • →Lost Keaton Wagler (17.9 ppg), Kylan Boswell (12.3 ppg), Ben Humrichous (5.8 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Illinois

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Ethan BrownG · Freshman · #402 ranked2 · 225.012.59.56.064.3 (9-14)50.0 (5-10)100.0 (2-2)
Zavier ZensF · Freshman · #1088 ranked2 · 022.515.03.01.050.0 (10-20)40.0 (6-15)100.0 (4-4)
Quentin ColemanG · Freshman · #67 ranked2 · 221.516.06.54.054.2 (13-24)18.2 (2-11)66.7 (4-6)
Andrej StojakovicG · Senior · #44 ranked2 · 221.022.56.04.064.3 (18-28)50.0 (3-6)66.7 (6-9)
Stefan VaaksG · Sophomore · #275 ranked2 · 019.015.54.53.057.1 (12-21)45.5 (5-11)33.3 (2-6)
Tomislav IvisicC · Senior · #97 ranked2 · 218.06.03.54.035.7 (5-14)20.0 (2-10)— (0-0)
Lucas MorilloG · #2649 ranked2 · 016.56.55.51.050.0 (5-10)20.0 (1-5)100.0 (2-2)
Lincoln WilliamsG · Freshman · #1801 ranked1 · 116.012.09.00.080.0 (4-5)100.0 (1-1)60.0 (3-5)
Jason JakstysC · Junior · #577 ranked2 · 014.52.03.51.066.7 (2-3)— (0-0)0.0 (0-1)
Zvonimir IvisicF · Senior · #156 ranked2 · 013.05.07.00.055.6 (5-9)0.0 (0-3)— (0-0)
Landon DavisF · Freshman · #2883 ranked2 · 09.53.02.00.5100.0 (2-2)100.0 (2-2)0.0 (0-2)
Blake FagbemiG · Sophomore · #1093 ranked2 · 07.04.02.00.560.0 (3-5)50.0 (2-4)— (0-0)
Jake DavisF · Senior · #436 ranked1 · 16.02.03.01.0— (0-0)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
Quentin McCoyG · Junior2 · 01.51.00.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
David MirkovicF · SophomoreReturning3013.3 pts · 8 reb · 2.6 ast
Andrej StojakovicG · SeniorReturning2513.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1 ast
Tomislav IvisicC · SeniorReturning2410.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.6 ast
Quentin ColemanG · FreshmanFreshman · #18 recruit21—
Jake DavisF · SeniorReturning205.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast
Zvonimir IvisicF · SeniorReturning196.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.3 ast
Stefan VaaksG · SophomoreTransfer from Providence1715.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Lucas MorilloFreshmanFreshman · #50 recruit15—
Zavier ZensF · FreshmanFreshman · #148 recruit9—
Ethan BrownG · FreshmanFreshman · #213 recruit8—
Landon DavisF · FreshmanFreshman · #244 recruit8—
Lincoln WilliamsG · FreshmanFreshman · #203 recruit8—
Jason JakstysC · JuniorReturning61.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast

Gone from last season: Keaton Wagler (17.9 ppg), Kylan Boswell (12.3 ppg), Ben Humrichous (5.8 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
0David MirkovicReturningFSophomore6-9 · 250Niksic, MontenegroHasn't played13.3 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.6 ast (37 G)#19 · +2.69
2Andrej StojakovicReturningGSenior6-7 · 205Thessaloniki, Greece22.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (34 G)#44 · +2.22
11Quentin ColemanFreshmanGFreshman6-4 · 180O'Fallon, IL16.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)—#67 · +1.96
13Tomislav IvisicReturningCSenior7-1 · 270Vodice, Croatia6.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)10.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.6 ast (34 G)#97 · +1.86
44Zvonimir IvisicReturningFSenior7-2 · 250Vodice, Croatia5.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)6.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.3 ast (37 G)#156 · +1.57
7Stefan VaaksTransfer from ProvidenceGSophomore6-7 · 215Tabasalu, Estonia15.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)15.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast (31 G)#275 · +1.24
34Ethan BrownFreshmanGFreshman6-4 · 185Rolla, MO12.5 pts · 9.5 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G)—#402 · +1.02
15Jake DavisReturningFSenior6-6 · 210McCordsville, IN2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)5.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast (37 G)#436 · +0.97
31Jason JakstysReturningCJunior6-10 · 220Yorkville, IL2.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)1.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast (9 G)#577 · +0.79
23Lucas MorilloFreshmanFreshmanHasn't played—#866 · +0.49
22Zavier ZensFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 215Milwaukee, WI15.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#1088 · +0.32
8Blake FagbemiReturningGSophomore6-0 · 180Naperville, IL4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)0.2 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (11 G)#1093 · +0.32
1Lincoln WilliamsFreshmanGFreshman6-5 · 180Kankakee, IL12.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—#1801 · -0.04
27Landon DavisFreshmanFFreshman6-9 · 220Waukee, IA3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#2883 · -0.45
5Quentin McCoyTransfer from Arizona StateGJunior6-1 · 170Chicago, IL1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G)Not ranked yet
Lucas Morillo—G6.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#2649 · -0.35

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsFairleigh DickinsonW120-45Box score →
Nov 5vsPennsylvaniaW112-70Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10at#17Texas TechProjected 76-75ILL: 55% to win Compare
Nov 13vsSam HoustonProjected 95-66ILL: 99% to win Compare
Nov 17at#1DukeProjected 76-82ILL: 30% to win Compare
Nov 20vsEastern IllinoisProjected 98-54ILL: 99% to win Compare
Nov 23vsWinthropProjected 101-68ILL: 99% to win Compare
Nov 27vsWestern KentuckyProjected 91-67ILL: 98% to win Compare
Dec 4vs (N)#9UConnBad Boy Mowers SeriesProjected 79-76ILL: 60% to win Compare
Dec 8atMinnesotaConferenceProjected 80-70ILL: 80% to win Compare
Dec 12vsPenn StateConferenceProjected 95-71ILL: 98% to win Compare
Dec 20vs (N)MissouriProjected 85-76ILL: 79% to win Compare
Dec 29vsSeattle UProjected 88-65ILL: 98% to win Compare
Jan 2atWisconsinConferenceProjected 84-74ILL: 80% to win Compare
Jan 5vsPurdueConferenceProjected 85-70ILL: 91% to win Compare
Jan 9vsOhio StateConferenceProjected 87-74ILL: 87% to win Compare
Jan 13atNorthwesternConferenceProjected 83-74ILL: 79% to win Compare
Jan 16atMarylandConferenceProjected 87-74ILL: 87% to win Compare
Jan 19vs#7NebraskaConferenceProjected 80-75ILL: 68% to win Compare
Jan 24atIndianaConferenceProjected 83-77ILL: 68% to win Compare
Jan 27vsUSCConferenceProjected 87-74ILL: 87% to win Compare
Jan 30vs (N)North CarolinaNashville Hoops ShowdownProjected 86-76ILL: 82% to win Compare
Feb 2vs#20UCLAConferenceProjected 84-76ILL: 78% to win Compare
Feb 5vs (N)#6Michigan StateConferenceProjected 80-78ILL: 56% to win Compare
Feb 9at#13MichiganConferenceProjected 82-81ILL: 53% to win Compare
Feb 12atPurdueConferenceProjected 82-73ILL: 79% to win Compare
Feb 16vsNorthwesternConferenceProjected 86-70ILL: 91% to win Compare
Feb 20atOregonConferenceProjected 85-75ILL: 80% to win Compare
Feb 23atWashingtonConferenceProjected 86-73ILL: 86% to win Compare
Feb 28vsWisconsinConferenceProjected 88-71ILL: 92% to win Compare
Mar 3atRutgersConferenceProjected 85-71ILL: 88% to win Compare
Mar 6vsIowaConferenceProjected 81-70ILL: 84% to win Compare

Big Ten standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Illinois0-02-0
2Michigan State0-02-0
3Nebraska0-02-0
4UCLA0-02-0
5Indiana0-02-0
6Iowa0-02-0
7USC0-01-0
8Northwestern0-02-0
9Oregon0-02-0
10Wisconsin0-02-0
11Minnesota0-02-0
12Washington0-01-0
13Rutgers0-01-0
14Penn State0-02-0
15Michigan0-01-1
16Ohio State0-01-1
17Maryland0-01-1
18Purdue0-00-2
All conference standings →