College Basketball · Big Ten · 2026-27
Michigan Wolverines
1-1 · Coach Mike Boynton Jr. (new)
Power Rankings
#13▼9
Who is best right now.
+28.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +32.9 (#4)
Preseason: #4
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-9
- Conference record
- 14-6
- Conference title
- 12%
- Outright title
- 5%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #4 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #1 in the country (+43.6), 37-3.
- →36% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Kenny Noland (Columbia, 17.1 ppg), Moustapha Thiam (Cincinnati, 12.8 ppg), J.P. Estrella (Tennessee, 10 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →4 ranked freshmen: Quinn Costello (#34), Lincoln Cosby (#46), Joseph Hartman (#95).
- →Lost Yaxel Lendeborg (15.1 ppg), Morez Johnson Jr. (13.1 ppg), Aday Mara (12.1 ppg).
- →New head coach: Mike Boynton Jr., replacing Dusty May. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Michigan
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McKenneyG · Sophomore · #176 ranked | 2 · 2 | 35.5 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 43.3 (13-30) | 46.7 (7-15) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Elliot CadeauG · Senior · #80 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 25.0 (4-16) | 11.1 (1-9) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Roddy Gayle Jr.G · Senior · #202 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 17.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 56.5 (13-23) | 0.0 (0-5) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| J.P. EstrellaF · Senior · #27 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 81.2 (13-16) | 0.0 (0-2) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Quinn CostelloF · Freshman · #558 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 35.3 (6-17) | 26.7 (4-15) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Ricky LiburdG · Sophomore · #2562 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 11.1 (1-9) | 14.3 (1-7) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Oscar GoodmanF · Junior · #611 ranked | 2 · 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 22.2 (2-9) | 0.0 (0-6) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Moustapha ThiamC · Junior · #172 ranked | 1 · 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jalen ReedF · Senior · #445 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Kenny NolandG · Senior · #585 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 25.0 (1-4) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Marcus MollerC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot CadeauG · Senior |  Returning | 27 | 10.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 5.8 ast |
| Trey McKenneyG · Sophomore | Returning | 22 | 9.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Roddy Gayle Jr.G · Senior | Returning | 21 | 7.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast |
| J.P. EstrellaF · Senior |  Transfer from Tennessee | 17 | 10 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Moustapha ThiamC · Junior |  Transfer from Cincinnati | 17 | 12.8 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Lincoln CosbyF · Freshman | Freshman · #46 recruit | 15 | — |
| Quinn CostelloF · Freshman | Freshman · #34 recruit | 15 | — |
| Jalen ReedF · Senior |  Transfer from LSU | 12 | 9.5 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Kenny NolandG · Senior |  Transfer from Columbia | 12 | 17.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.6 ast |
| Joseph HartmanG · Freshman | Freshman · #95 recruit | 11 | — |
| Malachi BrownG · Freshman | Freshman · #190 recruit | 9 | — |
| Oscar GoodmanF · Junior | Returning | 6 | 1.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Howard Eisley Jr.G · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Yaxel Lendeborg (15.1 ppg), Morez Johnson Jr. (13.1 ppg), Aday Mara (12.1 ppg), Nimari Burnett (8.2 ppg), L.J. Cason (8.4 ppg, to 
Miami), Will Tschetter (3.6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | J.P. Estrella | Transfer from Tennessee | F | Senior | 6-11 · 240 | Scarborough, ME | 17.0 pts · 10.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.8 ast (33 G) | #27 · +2.51 |
| 3 | Elliot Cadeau | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 180 | West Orange, NJ | 7.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 5.8 ast (40 G) | #80 · +1.91 |
| 52 | Moustapha Thiam | Transfer from Cincinnati | C | Junior | 7-2 · 250 | Dakar, Senegal | 2.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 12.8 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.5 ast (31 G) | #172 · +1.51 |
| 1 | Trey McKenney | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 220 | Flint, MI | 19.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.9 ast (40 G) | #176 · +1.49 |
| 11 | Roddy Gayle Jr. | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 205 | Niagara Falls, NY | 17.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 7.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast (39 G) | #202 · +1.42 |
| 19 | Jalen Reed | Transfer from LSU | F | Senior | 6-9 · 245 | Jackson, MS | 3.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 9.5 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.7 ast (6 G) | #445 · +0.95 |
| 8 | Quinn Costello | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 220 | Medford, MA | 8.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #558 · +0.80 |
| 2 | Kenny Noland | Transfer from Columbia | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Apex, NC | 1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 17.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.6 ast (28 G) | #585 · +0.78 |
| 12 | Oscar Goodman | Returning | F | Junior | 6-7 · 235 | Opunake, New Zealand | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 1.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast (16 G) | #611 · +0.76 |
| 5 | Lincoln Cosby | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 215 | Cincinnati, OH | Hasn't played | — | #801 · +0.55 |
| 7 | Howard Eisley Jr. | Returning | G | Junior | 6-0 · 180 | New York, NY | Hasn't played | 0.3 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (9 G) | #1050 · +0.34 |
| 10 | Joseph Hartman | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 200 | Richmond, VA | Hasn't played | — | #1630 · +0.04 |
| 0 | Ricky Liburd | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 200 | Hollywood, FL | 2.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2562 · -0.32 |
| 15 | Malachi Brown | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 205 | Knoxville, TN | Hasn't played | — | #2890 · -0.45 |
| 4 | Brandon McCoy Jr.Out for season | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 200 | Oakland, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Marcus Moller | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-3 · 230 | Copenhagen, Denmark | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 31 | Harrison Hochberg | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 220 | New York, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsOakland | W84-68Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vs (N)#9UConnHall of Fame Series - Boston | L77-85Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsMarquette | Projected 79-72MICH: 73% to winMichigan: 73% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vsWilliam & Mary | Projected 93-68MICH: 99% to winMichigan: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  atVillanova | Projected 80-76MICH: 64% to winMichigan: 64% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)CreightonPlayers Era 16 | Projected 81-72MICH: 77% to winMichigan: 77% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 99-53MICH: 99% to winMichigan: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vs (N)#19Louisville | Projected 82-80MICH: 54% to winMichigan: 54% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  atRutgersConference | Projected 83-73MICH: 80% to winMichigan: 80% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsNorthwesternConference | Projected 83-72MICH: 84% to winMichigan: 84% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vsDetroit Mercy | Projected 94-60MICH: 99% to winMichigan: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  vsToledo | Projected 90-67MICH: 98% to winMichigan: 98% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsWashingtonConference | Projected 87-72MICH: 90% to winMichigan: 90% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  at#7NebraskaConference | Projected 74-79MICH: 33% to winMichigan: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 |  vsPurdueConference | Projected 83-71MICH: 84% to winMichigan: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  vsMinnesotaConference | Projected 80-68MICH: 85% to winMichigan: 85% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atIndianaConference | Projected 80-79MICH: 55% to winMichigan: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsOregonConference | Projected 86-74MICH: 86% to winMichigan: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atUSCConference | Projected 81-79MICH: 58% to winMichigan: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  at#20UCLAConference | Projected 79-80MICH: 44% to winMichigan: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsOhio StateConference | Projected 85-76MICH: 78% to winMichigan: 78% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  atWisconsinConference | Projected 82-76MICH: 70% to winMichigan: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vs#4IllinoisConference | Projected 81-82MICH: 48% to winMichigan: 48% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  vs#6Michigan StateConference | Projected 79-78MICH: 54% to winMichigan: 54% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 | atMinnesotaConference | Projected 77-71MICH: 70% to winMichigan: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vsIowaConference | Projected 79-71MICH: 75% to winMichigan: 75% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  atPenn StateConference | Projected 89-76MICH: 87% to winMichigan: 87% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 | at#6Michigan StateConference | Projected 76-81MICH: 32% to winMichigan: 32% to win Compare |
| Mar 4 |  vsMarylandConference | Projected 88-72MICH: 91% to winMichigan: 91% to win Compare |
| Mar 7 | atOhio StateConference | Projected 81-79MICH: 58% to winMichigan: 58% to win Compare |
Big Ten standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Michigan State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Nebraska | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | UCLA | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Indiana | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Iowa | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | USC | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Northwestern | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oregon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Minnesota | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Washington | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 13 | Rutgers | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 14 | Penn State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | Michigan | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 17 | Maryland | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Purdue | 0-0 | 0-2 |