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College Basketball · Big Ten · 2026-27

USC Trojans

1-0 · Coach Eric Musselman

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Power Rankings

#40▼2

Who is best right now.

+20.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +19.1 (#38)

Preseason: #39

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

20-12

Conference record
11-9
Conference title
1%
Outright title
<1%
Luck
+0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #39 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #76 in the country (+12.2), 18-14.
  • →24% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →7 transfers in, led by Isaac Bruns (South Dakota, 20.6 ppg), Jalen Cox (Colgate, 17.9 ppg), Jadis Jones (Lindenwood, 15.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →3 ranked freshmen: Christian Collins (#8), Adonis Ratliff (#20), Darius Ratliff (#31).
  • →Lost Kam Woods (8.8 ppg), Ezra Ausar (14.8 ppg), Chad Baker-Mazara (18.5 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like USC

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Rodney RiceG · Senior · #36 ranked1 · 132.015.06.09.040.0 (4-10)50.0 (3-6)100.0 (4-4)
Alijah ArenasG · Sophomore · #996 ranked1 · 129.021.08.02.064.3 (9-14)33.3 (1-3)100.0 (2-2)
Darius RatliffC · Freshman · #438 ranked1 · 128.014.02.02.050.0 (5-10)100.0 (1-1)75.0 (3-4)
Adonis RatliffF · Freshman · #200 ranked1 · 124.025.06.03.070.0 (7-10)71.4 (5-7)75.0 (6-8)
KJ LewisG · Senior · #543 ranked1 · 023.010.01.02.080.0 (4-5)66.7 (2-3)— (0-0)
Isaac BrunsG · Senior · #692 ranked1 · 016.02.03.03.00.0 (0-4)0.0 (0-1)50.0 (2-4)
Jalen CoxG · Senior · #188 ranked1 · 010.02.00.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Aaron Hunkin-ClaytorG · Junior · #993 ranked1 · 010.00.00.01.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Jacob CofieF · Junior · #263 ranked1 · 19.02.03.01.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Joshua HughesF · Senior · #1838 ranked1 · 09.00.02.02.00.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Jadis JonesG · Junior · #201 ranked1 · 08.04.03.00.0100.0 (2-2)— (0-0)0.0 (0-2)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Jacob CofieF · JuniorReturning309.9 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast
Christian CollinsF · FreshmanFreshman · #8 recruit24—
KJ LewisG · SeniorTransfer from Georgetown2114.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.5 ast
Eric ReibeC · SophomoreTransfer from UConn215.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.5 ast
Jalen CoxG · SeniorTransfer from Colgate2117.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Adonis RatliffF · FreshmanFreshman · #20 recruit21—
Jadis JonesG · JuniorTransfer from Lindenwood1915.2 pts · 8.4 reb · 2.5 ast
Aaron Hunkin-ClaytorG · JuniorTransfer from Hawai'i166 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.9 ast
Joshua HughesF · SeniorTransfer from Evansville169.3 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.8 ast
Isaac BrunsG · SeniorTransfer from South Dakota1620.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.3 ast
Darius RatliffC · FreshmanFreshman · #31 recruit15—
Alijah ArenasG · SophomoreReturning1414.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast
Rodney RiceG · SeniorReturning1020.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 6 ast

Gone from last season: Kam Woods (8.8 ppg), Ezra Ausar (14.8 ppg), Chad Baker-Mazara (18.5 ppg), Amarion Dickerson (4.6 ppg, to Grand Canyon), Jordan Marsh (7.2 ppg, to Temple), Jerry Easter II (4.4 ppg, to Oregon)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
1Rodney RiceReturningGSenior6-5 · 199Clinton, MD15.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 9.0 ast (1 G)20.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 6.0 ast (6 G)#36 · +2.32
7Christian CollinsFreshmanFFreshman6-9 · 200Inglewood, CAHasn't played—#112 · +1.78
8Jalen CoxTransfer from ColgateGSenior6-3 · 180View Park, CA2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)17.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 5.3 ast (31 G)#188 · +1.47
3Adonis RatliffFreshmanFFreshman6-11Atlanta, GA25.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)—#200 · +1.44
20Jadis JonesTransfer from LindenwoodGJunior6-5 · 180New Madrid, MO4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)15.2 pts · 8.4 reb · 2.5 ast (28 G)#201 · +1.43
12Eric ReibeTransfer from UConnCSophomore7-1 · 260Hannover, GermanyHasn't played5.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.5 ast (40 G)#247 · +1.29
5Jacob CofieReturningFJunior6-10 · 231Seattle, WA2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)9.9 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G)#263 · +1.26
13Darius RatliffFreshmanCFreshman7-0Atlanta, GA14.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)—#438 · +0.97
2KJ LewisTransfer from GeorgetownGSenior6-4 · 210Midland, TX10.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)14.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.5 ast (28 G)#543 · +0.81
4Isaac BrunsTransfer from South DakotaGSenior6-5North Sioux City, SD2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)20.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.3 ast (20 G)#692 · +0.66
30Aaron Hunkin-ClaytorTransfer from Hawai'iGJunior6-3 · 175Wahiawa, HI0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)6.0 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.9 ast (17 G)#993 · +0.38
0Alijah ArenasReturningGSophomore6-7 · 199Woodland Hills, CA21.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)14.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast (14 G)#996 · +0.38
22Joshua HughesTransfer from EvansvilleFSenior6-10Brisbane, QLD0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)9.3 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.8 ast (32 G)#1838 · -0.05
33Onyeka Joe AguFreshmanCFreshman6-10Brussels, BelgiumHasn't played—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsMilwaukeeW95-63Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8vs (N)Wichita StateLake Tahoe ClassicProjected 78-74USC: 65% to win Compare
Nov 11atCaliforniaProjected 79-76USC: 60% to win Compare
Nov 15vsArkansas-Pine BluffProjected 97-61USC: 99% to win Compare
Nov 19vsTarleton StateProjected 88-69USC: 95% to win Compare
Nov 22vsLouisianaProjected 85-60USC: 98% to win Compare
Nov 25vs (N)South CarolinaAcrisure SeriesProjected 80-72USC: 74% to win Compare
Nov 26vs (N)Utah StateAcrisure SeriesProjected 78-79USC: 45% to win Compare
Dec 2vsWashingtonConferenceProjected 83-73USC: 80% to win Compare
Dec 5atOregonConferenceProjected 80-79USC: 51% to win Compare
Dec 8atSan DiegoProjected 85-73USC: 85% to win Compare
Dec 13vs (N)#17Texas TechCoast to Coast ChallengeProjected 72-77USC: 34% to win Compare
Dec 19vsJacksonvilleProjected 86-64USC: 97% to win Compare
Dec 22vsWestern MichiganProjected 85-65USC: 96% to win Compare
Dec 30atPurdueConferenceProjected 77-76USC: 50% to win Compare
Jan 2atIndianaConferenceProjected 77-81USC: 37% to win Compare
Jan 5atMarylandConferenceProjected 81-77USC: 63% to win Compare
Jan 8atRutgersConferenceProjected 79-75USC: 65% to win Compare
Jan 12vs#6Michigan StateConferenceProjected 76-80USC: 35% to win Compare
Jan 16vsWisconsinConferenceProjected 81-74USC: 73% to win Compare
Jan 23vs#13MichiganConferenceProjected 79-81USC: 42% to win Compare
Jan 27at#4IllinoisConferenceProjected 74-87USC: 13% to win Compare
Jan 30atNorthwesternConferenceProjected 78-77USC: 50% to win Compare
Feb 3vsIowaConferenceProjected 75-73USC: 58% to win Compare
Feb 6vsMinnesotaConferenceProjected 77-70USC: 73% to win Compare
Feb 10atWashingtonConferenceProjected 80-77USC: 61% to win Compare
Feb 13vs#20UCLAConferenceProjected 78-79USC: 48% to win Compare
Feb 20vsOhio StateConferenceProjected 81-78USC: 62% to win Compare
Feb 23at#7NebraskaConferenceProjected 71-81USC: 19% to win Compare
Feb 27vsOregonConferenceProjected 82-75USC: 72% to win Compare
Mar 2vsPenn StateConferenceProjected 89-74USC: 89% to win Compare
Mar 6at#20UCLAConferenceProjected 75-82USC: 27% to win Compare

Big Ten standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Illinois0-02-0
2Michigan State0-02-0
3Nebraska0-02-0
4UCLA0-02-0
5Indiana0-02-0
6Iowa0-02-0
7USC0-01-0
8Northwestern0-02-0
9Oregon0-02-0
10Wisconsin0-02-0
11Minnesota0-02-0
12Washington0-01-0
13Rutgers0-01-0
14Penn State0-02-0
15Michigan0-01-1
16Ohio State0-01-1
17Maryland0-01-1
18Purdue0-00-2
All conference standings →