
College Basketball · Sun Belt · 2026-27
App State Mountaineers
2-0 · Coach Dustin Kerns
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-4.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -7.7 (#247)
Preseason: #247
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-15
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 7%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #247 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #206 in the country (-3.4), 19-13.
- →23% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Hermann Koffi (Stonehill, 12.8 ppg), Rrezon Elezaj (UConn, 0 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Jonathan Moss (#310).
- →Lost Kasen Jennings (15.2 ppg), Alonzo Dodd (13.8 ppg, now at East Texas A&M), Luke Wilson (10.7 ppg, now at Syracuse).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like App State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen ColonG · Senior · #3465 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 38.1 (8-21) | 36.8 (7-19) | — (0-0) |
| Ben KopetzkiG · Senior · #3193 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (6-18) | 36.4 (4-11) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Eren BanksG · Senior · #2487 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 12.5 (1-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jonathan MossG · Freshman · #3685 ranked | 1 · 0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) |
| Ted NealF · Freshman · #3111 ranked | 2 · 2 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 66.7 (6-9) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Rrezon ElezajC · Freshman · #1027 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Corbin AllenG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 71.4 (5-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Chad MoodieF · Senior · #2228 ranked | 2 · 2 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Da'Mori LytchF · Junior | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 87.5 (7-8) | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| KJ VasserG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 20.0 (1-5) | — (0-0) |
| Mason CostelloG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 45.5 (5-11) | 28.6 (2-7) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Andrin NjockF · Sophomore · #1745 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 66.7 (2-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Hermann KoffiG · Junior · #3106 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-3) |
| Bryan ChretienC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 (5-6) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Cameron O'KelleyG · Junior · #2559 ranked | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Luke LedfordG · Senior · #1748 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jackson LoveG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Grant ClaytonF · Sophomore · #911 ranked | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eren BanksG · Senior | 22 | 6.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Hermann KoffiG · Junior | 19 | 12.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Chad MoodieF · Senior | 14 | 2.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Rrezon ElezajC · Freshman | 12 | 0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast | |
| Andrin NjockF · Sophomore | 11 | 3.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Jonathan MossG · Freshman | Freshman · #310 recruit | 8 | — |
| Cameron O'KelleyG · Junior | 5 | 2.2 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Grant ClaytonF · Sophomore | 5 | 4 pts · 6 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Luke LedfordG · Senior | 5 | 5.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1 ast |
Gone from last season: Kasen Jennings (15.2 ppg), Alonzo Dodd (13.8 ppg, to
East Texas A&M), Luke Wilson (10.7 ppg, to
Syracuse), Jalen Tot (9.5 ppg), Michael Marcus Jr. (7.8 ppg, to
George Mason), Jason Clarke Jr. (3.4 ppg, to
IU Indianapolis)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Grant Clayton | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 220 | Asheville, NC | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | #911 · +0.45 | |
| 12 | Rrezon Elezaj | C | Freshman | 7-2 · 242 | Strathalbyn, SA | 5.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #1027 · +0.36 | |
| 21 | Andrin Njock | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Winterthur, Switzerland | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.4 ast (23 G) | #1745 · -0.01 | |
| 32 | Luke Ledford | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Raleigh, NC | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 5.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | #1748 · -0.01 | |
| 23 | Chad Moodie | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Grayson, GA | 4.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast (32 G) | #2228 · -0.20 | |
| 4 | Eren Banks | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Eatonton, GA | 5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast (30 G) | #2487 · -0.29 | |
| 14 | Cameron O'Kelley | G | Junior | 6-3 · 165 | Seneca, SC | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 2.2 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast (5 G) | #2559 · -0.32 | |
| 25 | Hermann Koffi | G | Junior | 6-4 · 203 | Quebec City, PQ | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 12.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G) | #3106 · -0.54 | |
| 7 | Ted Neal | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 200 | Greensboro, GA | 7.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3111 · -0.54 |
| 5 | Ben Kopetzki | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-0 · 185 | Andover, MN | 8.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3193 · -0.57 |
| 9 | Jaylen Colon | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-2 · 177 | Acworth, GA | 11.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3465 · -0.70 |
| 2 | Jonathan Moss | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 178 | Owensboro, KY | 10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3685 · -0.79 |
| 17 | Bryan Chretien | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-0 · 235 | Amiens, France | 10.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Corbin Allen | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 175 | Kansas City, MO | 11.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 22 | Jackson Love | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 170 | Boone, NC | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Da'Mori Lytch | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 · 200 | Dillon, SC | 8.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | KJ Vasser | G | Junior | 6-1 · 180 | Chicago, IL | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 3 | Mason Costello | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 · 195 | Waukee, IA | 7.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W63-49Box score → | |
| Nov 4 | vsChristendom(non-D1) | W108-43Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 62-82APP: 4% to winApp State: 4% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 65-73APP: 23% to winApp State: 23% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 65-69APP: 35% to winApp State: 35% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 69-71APP: 41% to winApp State: 41% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 67-71APP: 35% to winApp State: 35% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 66-78APP: 16% to winApp State: 16% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 73-66APP: 71% to winApp State: 71% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | vsCarolina University(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 5 | Projected 62-81APP: 5% to winApp State: 5% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 73-69APP: 64% to winApp State: 64% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 67-68APP: 48% to winApp State: 48% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 71-70APP: 56% to winApp State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Dec 31 | Projected 70-67APP: 60% to winApp State: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 72-64APP: 74% to winApp State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 70-75APP: 33% to winApp State: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 77-68APP: 78% to winApp State: 78% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 65-70APP: 34% to winApp State: 34% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 71-68APP: 60% to winApp State: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 72-68APP: 65% to winApp State: 65% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 72-71APP: 52% to winApp State: 52% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 68-67APP: 54% to winApp State: 54% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 69-76APP: 28% to winApp State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 72-67APP: 67% to winApp State: 67% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 69-74APP: 32% to winApp State: 32% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 75-68APP: 72% to winApp State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 72-73APP: 49% to winApp State: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 68-71APP: 39% to winApp State: 39% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 69-71APP: 44% to winApp State: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 26 | Projected 72-71APP: 52% to winApp State: 52% to win Compare | |
Sun Belt standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 0-2 |