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College Basketball · Big West · 2026-27

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Preseason · Coach Todd Lee

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Preseason Power Rankings

#324▼1

Who is best right now.

-15.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -15.7 (#323)

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

8-24

Conference record
4-18
Conference title
0%
Outright title
0%
Luck
0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #323 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #325 in the country (-16.7), 8-24.
  • →6% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →4 transfers in, led by Bryce Cofield (Cal State Fullerton, 10.1 ppg), Chudi Dioramma (Arkansas State, 5.1 ppg), Cameron Barnes (Illinois State, 1.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Dailin Smith (16.5 ppg), AJ George (8.2 ppg), CJ Hardy (12.4 ppg).

Teams like Cal State Bakersfield

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Jaden AlexanderG · Senior · #2421 ranked1 · 131.013.06.00.033.3 (3-9)0.0 (0-3)63.6 (7-11)
Kjay BradleyG · Senior1 · 129.023.02.06.050.0 (7-14)50.0 (2-4)87.5 (7-8)
Tom KoppensF · Senior1 · 124.06.08.02.066.7 (2-3)100.0 (1-1)25.0 (1-4)
Bryce CofieldG · Sophomore · #1081 ranked1 · 124.04.09.00.012.5 (1-8)0.0 (0-1)100.0 (2-2)
Petar IvancicF · Freshman1 · 123.023.08.00.088.9 (8-9)0.0 (0-1)63.6 (7-11)
Pietro IannuzziG · Freshman1 · 019.03.01.03.033.3 (1-3)0.0 (0-2)50.0 (1-2)
Kristian PayneG · Freshman1 · 015.011.06.01.044.4 (4-9)0.0 (0-3)75.0 (3-4)
Chudi DiorammaF · Senior · #1243 ranked1 · 011.08.06.00.057.1 (4-7)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Cameron BarnesF · Senior · #1890 ranked1 · 09.00.01.01.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-1)
Sean PouedetG · Junior · #2507 ranked1 · 08.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Iliyan PishtikovG · Sophomore1 · 05.02.00.00.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-2)100.0 (2-2)
Blake DibbleG · Junior1 · 02.00.00.01.00.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Bryce CofieldG · SophomoreTransfer from Cal State Fullerton2410.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.4 ast
Chudi DiorammaF · SeniorTransfer from Arkansas State195.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.7 ast
Jaden AlexanderG · SeniorReturning149.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast
Cameron BarnesF · SeniorTransfer from Illinois State131.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.4 ast
Sean PouedetG · JuniorTransfer from Dayton130.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.4 ast

Gone from last season: Dailin Smith (16.5 ppg), AJ George (8.2 ppg), CJ Hardy (12.4 ppg), Ronald Jessamy (13.5 ppg, to Texas State), Tom Mark (6.7 ppg), Kadar Waller (3.3 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
12Bryce CofieldTransfer from Cal State FullertonGSophomore6-7 · 210Los Angeles, CA4.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.4 ast (34 G)#1081 · +0.32
10Chudi DiorammaTransfer from Arkansas StateFSenior6-10 · 240London, England8.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)5.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.7 ast (25 G)#1243 · +0.24
23Cameron BarnesTransfer from Illinois StateFSenior6-10 · 205Dallas, TX0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)1.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.4 ast (13 G)#1890 · -0.07
25Jaden AlexanderReturningGSenior6-4 · 210Fairfield, CA13.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)9.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast (20 G)#2421 · -0.27
27Sean PouedetTransfer from DaytonGJunior6-2 · 190Vilvoorde, Belgium0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)0.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.4 ast (14 G)#2507 · -0.30
2Kristian PayneFreshmanGFreshman6-6 · 195Oklahoma City, OK11.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
44Petar IvancicFreshmanFFreshman6-10 · 225Pula, Croatia23.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
18Pietro IannuzziFreshmanGFreshman6-6 · 205Turin, Italy3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
7Iliyan PishtikovNew to Division IGSophomore6-3 · 200Botevgrad, Bulgaria2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
3Blake DibbleNew to Division IGJunior6-2 · 180Bakersfield, CA0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
5Kjay BradleyTransfer from San DiegoGSenior6-1 · 185Inglewood, CA23.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 6.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
0Snookey WigingtonNew to Division IGSenior5-9 · 140Los Angeles, CA——Not ranked yet
30Tom KoppensNew to Division IFSenior6-8 · 220Melbourne, VIC6.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 5vsStanton(non-D1)W93-54Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8vsNorth Dakota StateProjected 76-79CSUB: 40% to win Compare
Nov 12atWestern IllinoisProjected 77-71CSUB: 71% to win Compare
Nov 15atNorth Dakota StateProjected 72-82CSUB: 21% to win Compare
Nov 20atIdahoProjected 70-80CSUB: 18% to win Compare
Nov 25atPepperdineProjected 72-84CSUB: 15% to win Compare
Nov 28vsNorthern ArizonaProjected 77-75CSUB: 56% to win Compare
Dec 3vsUC Santa BarbaraConferenceProjected 69-83CSUB: 11% to win Compare
Dec 5vsCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 75-83CSUB: 25% to win Compare
Dec 12vsWhittier(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 19atLoyola MarymountProjected 68-87CSUB: 6% to win Compare
Dec 22atSan DiegoProjected 71-85CSUB: 11% to win Compare
Dec 31atUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 70-89CSUB: 5% to win Compare
Jan 2atSacramento StateConferenceProjected 70-86CSUB: 8% to win Compare
Jan 7vsUC RiversideConferenceProjected 72-75CSUB: 40% to win Compare
Jan 9vsCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 74-75CSUB: 49% to win Compare
Jan 14atCal State FullertonConferenceProjected 75-87CSUB: 16% to win Compare
Jan 16atLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 70-80CSUB: 20% to win Compare
Jan 21atCal PolyConferenceProjected 74-89CSUB: 9% to win Compare
Jan 23atUC Santa BarbaraConferenceProjected 66-86CSUB: 4% to win Compare
Jan 28vsSacramento StateConferenceProjected 74-83CSUB: 21% to win Compare
Jan 30vsUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 73-85CSUB: 14% to win Compare
Feb 4atUC IrvineConferenceProjected 67-86CSUB: 5% to win Compare
Feb 6atUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 65-85CSUB: 4% to win Compare
Feb 11vsLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 73-77CSUB: 39% to win Compare
Feb 13vsCal State FullertonConferenceProjected 79-83CSUB: 35% to win Compare
Feb 18vsCal PolyConferenceProjected 78-86CSUB: 23% to win Compare
Feb 20atCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 72-87CSUB: 10% to win Compare
Feb 25atCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 71-78CSUB: 28% to win Compare
Feb 27atUC RiversideConferenceProjected 69-78CSUB: 21% to win Compare
Mar 4vsUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 69-82CSUB: 12% to win Compare
Mar 6vsUC IrvineConferenceProjected 70-83CSUB: 14% to win Compare

Big West standings

No games yet: Power Rankings order until the season tips off.

All conference standings →