College Basketball · Big West · 2026-27
Sacramento State Hornets
1-1 · Coach Mike Bibby
Power Rankings
#146▲21
Who is best right now.
+1.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -0.8 (#167)
Preseason: #167
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-14
- Conference record
- 12-10
- Conference title
- 3%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #167 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #265 in the country (-9.2), 10-21.
- →33% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Larry Hughes II (Cal State Northridge, 17.7 ppg), Marcus Wilson (UC Davis, 12.4 ppg), Osiris Grady (UC Riverside, 9.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Chidi Nwigwe (#195), Ashton Pierce (#251).
- →Lost Prophet Johnson (18.2 ppg), Jeremiah Cherry (15.5 ppg, now at San Diego State), Mark Lavrenov (9.9 ppg, now at New Mexico State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Sacramento State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes IIG · Senior · #915 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 (12-30) | 30.0 (6-20) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Mikey WilliamsG · Junior · #1034 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 33.3 (8-24) | 18.2 (2-11) | 81.2 (13-16) |
| Osiris GradyF · Senior · #1787 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 43.8 (7-16) | 25.0 (1-4) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Marcus WilsonG · Sophomore · #839 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 37.5 (6-16) | 25.0 (2-8) | 53.8 (7-13) |
| Taj GloverG · Sophomore · #1877 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.0 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 73.3 (11-15) | 66.7 (4-6) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Sasa CianiF · Senior · #2451 ranked | 2 · 2 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (2-4) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Chidi NwigweG · Freshman · #2889 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Arman MadiG · Junior · #1593 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Giannis AsimakopoulosF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Joao Das ChagasC · Junior · #1809 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Ridvan TuticF · Senior · #1558 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Ashton PierceG · Freshman · #3379 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Romari RobinsonG · Sophomore · #3043 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Mason HuntF · Junior | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Melvin Stubbs Jr.G · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes IIG · Senior |  Transfer from Cal State Northridge | 26 | 17.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Marcus WilsonG · Sophomore |  Transfer from UC Davis | 25 | 12.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.9 ast |
| Mikey WilliamsG · Junior |  Returning | 23 | 17.1 pts · 3 reb · 4.5 ast |
| Osiris GradyF · Senior |  Transfer from UC Riverside | 23 | 9.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Arman MadiG · Junior | Returning | 22 | 7 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Ridvan TuticF · Senior |  Transfer from Stonehill | 18 | 7.1 pts · 7.8 reb · 1 ast |
| Sasa CianiF · Senior |  Transfer from Penn State | 16 | 2.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Taj GloverG · Sophomore | Returning | 15 | 4.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Joao Das ChagasC · Junior |  Transfer from UAB | 12 | 1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0 ast |
| Romari RobinsonG · Sophomore | Returning | 11 | 1.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Chidi NwigweG · Freshman | Freshman · #195 recruit | 9 | — |
| Ashton PierceG · Freshman | Freshman · #251 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Prophet Johnson (18.2 ppg), Jeremiah Cherry (15.5 ppg, to 
San Diego State), Mark Lavrenov (9.9 ppg, to 
New Mexico State), Jahni Summers (9.9 ppg, to 
South Dakota), Shaqir O'Neal (5.3 ppg), Brandon Gardner (4.1 ppg, to 
Norfolk State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marcus Wilson | Transfer from UC Davis | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 180 | Albuquerque, NM | 10.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 12.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.9 ast (33 G) | #839 · +0.52 |
| 0 | Larry Hughes II | Transfer from Cal State Northridge | G | Senior | 6-5 · 187 | St. Louis, MO | 18.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 17.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast (33 G) | #915 · +0.44 |
| 1 | Mikey Williams | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 203 | San Diego, CA | 15.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 17.1 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.5 ast (21 G) | #1034 · +0.35 |
| 11 | Ridvan Tutic | Transfer from Stonehill | F | Senior | 6-11 · 245 | Novi Pazar, Serbia | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 7.1 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.0 ast (30 G) | #1558 · +0.07 |
| 23 | Arman Madi | Returning | G | Junior | 6-6 · 210 | Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.0 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.5 ast (30 G) | #1593 · +0.05 |
| 12 | Osiris Grady | Transfer from UC Riverside | F | Senior | 6-9 · 220 | Las Vegas, NV | 10.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast (31 G) | #1787 · -0.03 |
| 34 | Joao Das Chagas | Transfer from UAB | C | Junior | 6-10 · 250 | Goiás, Brazil | 1.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | #1809 · -0.04 |
| 2 | Taj Glover | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 195 | Atlanta, GA | 13.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 4.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.2 ast (29 G) | #1877 · -0.07 |
| 22 | Sasa Ciani | Transfer from Penn State | F | Senior | 6-10 · 240 | Nova Gorica, Slovenia | 3.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.2 ast (28 G) | #2451 · -0.28 |
| 8 | Chidi Nwigwe | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-7 · 210 | Monroe, NY | 1.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2889 · -0.45 |
| 7 | Romari Robinson | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 195 | Miami, FL | 0.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.5 ast (24 G) | #3043 · -0.51 |
| 24 | Ashton Pierce | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 180 | Muncie, IN | 2.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3379 · -0.65 |
| 9 | Melvin Stubbs Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 180 | Tucson, AZ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Giannis Asimakopoulos | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 200 | Thessaloniki, Greece | 2.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Mason Hunt | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 210 | Prescott, AZ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Zach Anderson | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 190 | Scottsdale, AZ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsJessup University(non-D1) | W90-74Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atSanta Clara | L77-83Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 14 | vsUC Davis | Projected 82-75SAC: 73% to winSacramento State: 73% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  atStanford | Projected 71-82SAC: 16% to winSacramento State: 16% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atPresbyterian | Projected 79-77SAC: 57% to winSacramento State: 57% to win Compare |
| Dec 3 |  atCal State FullertonConference | Projected 83-82SAC: 55% to winSacramento State: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atUtah ValleyConference | Projected 77-84SAC: 27% to winSacramento State: 27% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 | vsBethesda(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 13 |  vsPepperdine | Projected 83-76SAC: 72% to winSacramento State: 72% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atFresno State | Projected 78-77SAC: 51% to winSacramento State: 51% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsPacific | Projected 73-74SAC: 46% to winSacramento State: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 | vsCal State NorthridgeConference | Projected 83-78SAC: 67% to winSacramento State: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsCal State BakersfieldConference | Projected 86-70SAC: 92% to winSacramento State: 92% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atUC IrvineConference | Projected 74-81SAC: 27% to winSacramento State: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atUC San DiegoConference | Projected 73-81SAC: 24% to winSacramento State: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsCal PolyConference | Projected 86-81SAC: 65% to winSacramento State: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsUC Santa BarbaraConference | Projected 76-79SAC: 41% to winSacramento State: 41% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 | vsUC RiversideConference | Projected 80-70SAC: 80% to winSacramento State: 80% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsCalifornia BaptistConference | Projected 82-70SAC: 85% to winSacramento State: 85% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 | atCal State BakersfieldConference | Projected 83-74SAC: 79% to winSacramento State: 79% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atCal State NorthridgeConference | Projected 80-82SAC: 43% to winSacramento State: 43% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | atCalifornia BaptistConference | Projected 78-73SAC: 68% to winSacramento State: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atUC RiversideConference | Projected 77-74SAC: 60% to winSacramento State: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | vsUC San DiegoConference | Projected 76-78SAC: 45% to winSacramento State: 45% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsUC IrvineConference | Projected 77-78SAC: 48% to winSacramento State: 48% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 |  atLong Beach StateConference | Projected 78-75SAC: 58% to winSacramento State: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsUtah ValleyConference | Projected 81-82SAC: 49% to winSacramento State: 49% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsCal State FullertonConference | Projected 87-78SAC: 77% to winSacramento State: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsLong Beach StateConference | Projected 81-72SAC: 78% to winSacramento State: 78% to win Compare |
| Mar 4 | atUC Santa BarbaraConference | Projected 73-82SAC: 22% to winSacramento State: 22% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atCal PolyConference | Projected 82-85SAC: 41% to winSacramento State: 41% to win Compare |
Big West standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC Santa Barbara | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | UC San Diego | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | UC Irvine | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Utah Valley | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | UC Riverside | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Cal State Bakersfield | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Sacramento State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Cal Poly | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Cal State Fullerton | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Cal State Northridge | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Long Beach State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | California Baptist | 0-0 | 0-2 |