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College Basketball · Big West · 2026-27

Cal State Fullerton Titans

1-1 · Coach Dedrique Taylor

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Power Rankings

#211▲2

Who is best right now.

-5.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -4.3 (#213)

Preseason: #213

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

14-18

Conference record
9-13
Conference title
<1%
Outright title
<1%
Luck
+0.4

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #213 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #184 in the country (-1.7), 18-16.
  • →49% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →1 transfer in, led by Troy Jenkins (Fresno State, 0 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro (11.9 ppg), Bryce Cofield (10.1 ppg, now at Cal State Bakersfield), Landon Seaman (12 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Cal State Fullerton

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Joshua WardG · Senior · #362 ranked2 · 233.020.57.54.539.4 (13-33)50.0 (4-8)73.3 (11-15)
Matthew WillenborgG · Senior · #1677 ranked2 · 227.517.07.52.553.8 (14-26)45.5 (5-11)33.3 (1-3)
Christian WilliamsG · Sophomore · #1123 ranked2 · 224.510.03.02.041.2 (7-17)33.3 (4-12)100.0 (2-2)
Bailey NunnG · Senior · #1534 ranked2 · 022.010.01.01.038.5 (5-13)33.3 (3-9)87.5 (7-8)
Anthony PongaG · Freshman · #4039 ranked2 · 021.54.01.50.027.3 (3-11)25.0 (2-8)0.0 (0-1)
Marley ZellerG · Freshman · #3735 ranked2 · 019.57.01.00.550.0 (5-10)60.0 (3-5)100.0 (1-1)
Tiernan StynesG · Junior · #3575 ranked2 · 219.00.52.01.50.0 (0-5)0.0 (0-5)50.0 (1-2)
Malcolm BellG · Senior · #3795 ranked2 · 216.010.02.50.566.7 (8-12)60.0 (3-5)50.0 (1-2)
Kendrick De LunaF · Senior · #1662 ranked1 · 011.02.00.02.025.0 (1-4)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Rockwell ReynoldsF · Junior2 · 09.52.52.02.033.3 (2-6)0.0 (0-2)25.0 (1-4)
Henry BeckettG · Freshman1 · 02.00.00.00.00.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Greg Howard Jr.G · Freshman1 · 02.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Joshua WardG · SeniorReturning3014.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast
Christian WilliamsG · SophomoreReturning259.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.2 ast
Kendrick De LunaF · SeniorReturning194.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast
Bailey NunnG · SeniorReturning145.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.5 ast
Davis WhiteG · SeniorReturning133.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast
Troy JenkinsG · SophomoreTransfer from Fresno State120 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast
Matthew QuinlanG · SophomoreReturning51.9 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro (11.9 ppg), Bryce Cofield (10.1 ppg, to Cal State Bakersfield), Landon Seaman (12 ppg), Jaden Henderson (7.6 ppg), KJ Garris (8.2 ppg, to Robert Morris)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
5Joshua WardReturningGSenior6-1 · 185Memphis, TN20.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G)14.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (34 G)#362 · +1.08
7Christian WilliamsReturningGSophomore6-0 · 185St. Louis, MO10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)9.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.2 ast (34 G)#1123 · +0.29
8Bailey NunnReturningGSenior6-0 · 175Melbourne, VIC10.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)5.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.5 ast (22 G)#1534 · +0.08
24Kendrick De LunaReturningFSenior6-10 · 230San Antonio, TX2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G)#1662 · +0.03
21Matthew WillenborgNew to Division IGSenior6-8Norman, OK17.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)—#1677 · +0.02
14Troy JenkinsTransfer from Fresno StateGSophomore6-4 · 180Newport Beach, CAHasn't played0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)#2745 · -0.40
1Davis WhiteReturningGSenior6-5 · 210Santa Clarita, CAHasn't played3.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast (28 G)#2903 · -0.45
22Matthew QuinlanReturningGSophomore6-0 · 170Phoenix, AZHasn't played1.9 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (8 G)#2997 · -0.49
42Tiernan StynesNew to Division IGJunior6-6Melbourne, VIC0.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)—#3575 · -0.75
3Marley ZellerFreshmanGFreshman6-6 · 190Portland, OR7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3735 · -0.81
11Malcolm BellNew to Division IGSenior6-6Diamond Bar, CA10.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3795 · -0.85
0Anthony PongaFreshmanGFreshman6-6Boucherville, PQ4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#4039 · -1.01
10Greg Howard Jr.FreshmanGFreshman6-2New Orleans, LA0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
13Henry BeckettFreshmanGFreshman6-6Dallas, TX0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
23Rockwell ReynoldsNew to Division IFJunior6-9Rancho Santa Margarita, CA2.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
12Sean Chris TresvantNew to Division IGJunior6-1Portland, ORHasn't played—Not ranked yet
2Drew McConnellTransfer from Cumberland (KY)GSenior6-1 · 170Buford, GAHasn't played20.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 3atSan Diego StateL78-102Box score →
Nov 7atSouth DakotaW87-85Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 12vsLincoln (CA)(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 18at#20UCLAProjected 68-95CSUF: 1% to win Compare
Nov 22atPortland StateProjected 77-79CSUF: 41% to win Compare
Nov 28vsWeber StateProjected 89-79CSUF: 82% to win Compare
Dec 3vsSacramento StateConferenceProjected 82-83CSUF: 45% to win Compare
Dec 5vsLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 81-77CSUF: 65% to win Compare
Dec 10atIdaho StateProjected 83-76CSUF: 74% to win Compare
Dec 12at#15BYUProjected 72-100CSUF: 1% to win Compare
Dec 20vsUtah TechProjected 83-78CSUF: 66% to win Compare
Dec 22vsGrace University(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 31vsUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 76-82CSUF: 30% to win Compare
Jan 2vsUC IrvineConferenceProjected 77-83CSUF: 33% to win Compare
Jan 7atUC Santa BarbaraConferenceProjected 73-87CSUF: 12% to win Compare
Jan 9atCal PolyConferenceProjected 82-90CSUF: 26% to win Compare
Jan 14vsCal State BakersfieldConferenceProjected 87-75CSUF: 84% to win Compare
Jan 16vsCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 84-83CSUF: 51% to win Compare
Jan 21atUC IrvineConferenceProjected 74-86CSUF: 15% to win Compare
Jan 23atUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 73-86CSUF: 14% to win Compare
Jan 28atUC RiversideConferenceProjected 77-78CSUF: 44% to win Compare
Jan 30atCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 79-78CSUF: 53% to win Compare
Feb 4vsCal PolyConferenceProjected 86-87CSUF: 48% to win Compare
Feb 6vsUC Santa BarbaraConferenceProjected 76-84CSUF: 27% to win Compare
Feb 11atCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 80-87CSUF: 28% to win Compare
Feb 13atCal State BakersfieldConferenceProjected 83-79CSUF: 65% to win Compare
Feb 18vsUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 81-86CSUF: 33% to win Compare
Feb 20atLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 78-80CSUF: 42% to win Compare
Feb 25atSacramento StateConferenceProjected 78-87CSUF: 24% to win Compare
Feb 27atUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 77-89CSUF: 15% to win Compare
Mar 4vsCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 82-74CSUF: 74% to win Compare
Mar 6vsUC RiversideConferenceProjected 80-75CSUF: 67% to win Compare