College Basketball · Big Sky · 2026-27
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
0-2 · Coach Shane Burcar
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-13.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -14.0 (#309)
Preseason: #309
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
12-20
- Conference record
- 7-13
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #309 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #313 in the country (-15.2), 10-22.
- →38% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Dylan Anderson (Murray State, 1.5 ppg), Max Majerle (North Dakota State, 1 ppg), Cade Bennett (Saint Mary's, 1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Zack Davidson (14 ppg, now at Hawai'i), Traivar Jackson (7.2 ppg), Karl Poom (8.9 ppg, now at North Dakota State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Northern Arizona
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris KominG · Sophomore · #1544 ranked | 2 · 2 | 35.5 | 22.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 57.7 (15-26) | 46.2 (6-13) | 69.2 (9-13) |
| Lucas ToukamF · Freshman · #2677 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 55.6 (10-18) | 25.0 (1-4) | 55.6 (5-9) |
| Ryan AbelmanG · Senior · #1869 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 36.8 (7-19) | 35.3 (6-17) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Max MajerleG · Senior · #2720 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 22.2 (2-9) | 0.0 (0-5) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Tamiel GreenF · Sophomore · #3606 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 100.0 (4-4) | — (0-0) | 88.9 (8-9) |
| Dylan AndersonF · Senior · #2468 ranked | 2 · 1 | 19.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 28.6 (2-7) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Cade BennettG · Senior · #1523 ranked | 2 · 1 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 16.7 (1-6) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Luke WieskampF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Mason DorseyG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Noah GeorgeG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Zach TannerF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan AbelmanG · Senior |  Returning | 28 | 10.5 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Chris KominG · Sophomore | Returning | 25 | 7.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast |
| Brennan PetersonG · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 4.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 2 ast |
| Dylan AndersonF · Senior |  Transfer from Murray State | 16 | 1.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Max MajerleG · Senior |  Transfer from North Dakota State | 13 | 1 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Cade BennettG · Senior |  Transfer from Saint Mary's | 13 | 1 pts · 1 reb · 0.5 ast |
| JT AmundsenG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Zack Davidson (14 ppg, to 
Hawai'i), Traivar Jackson (7.2 ppg), Karl Poom (8.9 ppg, to North Dakota State), Isaiah Shaw (8.1 ppg, to 
UConn), Diego Campisano (7 ppg), Arne Osojnik (6.4 ppg, to 
Northwestern State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cade Bennett | Transfer from Saint Mary's | G | Senior | 6-0 · 170 | Moraga, CA | 1.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (8 G) | #1523 · +0.08 |
| 2 | Chris Komin | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 165 | Cypress, CA | 22.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 7.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast (31 G) | #1544 · +0.08 |
| 11 | Ryan Abelman | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 210 | Las Vegas, NV | 12.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.9 ast (30 G) | #1869 · -0.06 |
| 4 | Dylan Anderson | Transfer from Murray State | F | Senior | 7-0 · 225 | Chandler, AZ | 6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G) | #2468 · -0.29 |
| 1 | Lucas Toukam | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 205 | Bafoussam, Cameroon | 13.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2677 · -0.36 |
| 7 | Max Majerle | Transfer from North Dakota State | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Scottsdale, AZ | 4.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.5 ast (18 G) | #2720 · -0.38 |
| 5 | Brennan Peterson | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 165 | Scottsdale, AZ | Hasn't played | 4.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 2.0 ast (32 G) | #2961 · -0.47 |
| 30 | JT Amundsen | Returning | G | Sophomore | 5-8 · 165 | Goodyear, AZ | Hasn't played | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (4 G) | #3214 · -0.58 |
| 6 | Tamiel Green | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 275 | Atlanta, GA | 8.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3606 · -0.76 |
| 35 | Johnny Mautz | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 185 | Saint Michaels, MD | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Noah George | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Malton, ON | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 33 | Zach Tanner | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 205 | Salt Lake City, UT | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Luke Wieskamp | Transfer from Menlo | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Phoenix, AZ | 1.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Mason Dorsey | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 · 195 | Los Angeles, CA | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 31 | Nana Keutcha | New to Division I | C | Junior | 6-10 · 220 | Yaounde, Cameroon | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 |  atUNLV | L77-89Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atNew Mexico | L65-94Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  at#10Arizona | Projected 62-95NAU: 1% to winNorthern Arizona: 1% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  atKentucky | Projected 63-89NAU: 1% to winNorthern Arizona: 1% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 | vsEmbry Riddle (AZ)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 21 |  atCal Poly | Projected 74-87NAU: 13% to winNorthern Arizona: 13% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atCal State Bakersfield | Projected 75-77NAU: 44% to winNorthern Arizona: 44% to win Compare |
| Dec 3 |  vsMontanaConference | Projected 75-76NAU: 48% to winNorthern Arizona: 48% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsMontana StateConference | Projected 71-80NAU: 21% to winNorthern Arizona: 21% to win Compare |
| Dec 10 | vsNelson American Indian(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 14 | vsJustice(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 16 |  at#25West Virginia | Projected 58-86NAU: 1% to winNorthern Arizona: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  at#16Iowa State | Projected 59-90NAU: 1% to winNorthern Arizona: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 | vsBenedictine Mesa(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 |  atWeber StateConference | Projected 78-81NAU: 40% to winNorthern Arizona: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atIdaho StateConference | Projected 75-74NAU: 54% to winNorthern Arizona: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atEastern WashingtonConference | Projected 72-80NAU: 25% to winNorthern Arizona: 25% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atIdahoConference | Projected 70-78NAU: 23% to winNorthern Arizona: 23% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsUtah TechConference | Projected 75-76NAU: 45% to winNorthern Arizona: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atPortland StateConference | Projected 69-77NAU: 24% to winNorthern Arizona: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsNorthern ColoradoConference | Projected 74-78NAU: 37% to winNorthern Arizona: 37% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 | atMontana StateConference | Projected 68-83NAU: 9% to winNorthern Arizona: 9% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atMontanaConference | Projected 72-79NAU: 28% to winNorthern Arizona: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsIdaho StateConference | Projected 78-71NAU: 73% to winNorthern Arizona: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsWeber StateConference | Projected 81-77NAU: 62% to winNorthern Arizona: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 |  vsSouthern UtahConference | Projected 77-76NAU: 50% to winNorthern Arizona: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atUtah TechConference | Projected 71-79NAU: 26% to winNorthern Arizona: 26% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsIdahoConference | Projected 73-75NAU: 41% to winNorthern Arizona: 41% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsEastern WashingtonConference | Projected 75-77NAU: 44% to winNorthern Arizona: 44% to win Compare |
| Feb 22 | vsPortland StateConference | Projected 72-74NAU: 42% to winNorthern Arizona: 42% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atSouthern UtahConference | Projected 73-79NAU: 30% to winNorthern Arizona: 30% to win Compare |
| Mar 1 | atNorthern ColoradoConference | Projected 71-81NAU: 19% to winNorthern Arizona: 19% to win Compare |
Big Sky standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Utah | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Montana State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Northern Colorado | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Idaho | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Portland State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Utah Tech | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Montana | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Eastern Washington | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Northern Arizona | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Weber State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Idaho State | 0-0 | 0-2 |