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College Basketball · Big West · 2026-27

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

2-0 · Coach Joe Pasternack

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Power Rankings

#99▲15

Who is best right now.

+9.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +5.8 (#114)

Preseason: #114

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

24-8

Conference record
16-6
Conference title
44%
Outright title
29%
Luck
+0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #114 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #139 in the country (+2.6), 18-14.
  • →55% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Viljami Vartiainen (Weber State, 12.8 ppg), Eric Dibami (Florida International, 9.3 ppg), Antonio Chol (New Mexico, 7.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Jordan Charles (#294).
  • →Lost Colin Smith (11.9 ppg, now at Northwestern), Jason Fontenet II (6.6 ppg, now at Rhode Island), Zion Sensley (10.9 ppg, now at Loyola Marymount).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like UC Santa Barbara

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Aidan MahaneyG · Senior · #871 ranked2 · 224.011.50.52.053.3 (8-15)71.4 (5-7)100.0 (2-2)
CJ ShawG · Sophomore · #709 ranked2 · 222.58.01.51.033.3 (4-12)40.0 (2-5)100.0 (6-6)
Miro LittleG · Senior · #173 ranked2 · 220.57.01.55.057.1 (4-7)75.0 (3-4)42.9 (3-7)
Eric DibamiC · Sophomore · #597 ranked2 · 218.510.55.00.063.6 (7-11)— (0-0)70.0 (7-10)
RJ SmithG · Senior · #1201 ranked2 · 018.57.02.05.560.0 (6-10)50.0 (2-4)— (0-0)
Viljami VartiainenG · Senior · #832 ranked2 · 018.014.03.51.052.6 (10-19)45.5 (5-11)100.0 (3-3)
Marvin McGhee IVG · Senior · #957 ranked2 · 116.07.04.54.562.5 (5-8)60.0 (3-5)50.0 (1-2)
Antonio CholF · Senior · #1164 ranked2 · 012.510.03.50.050.0 (5-10)57.1 (4-7)66.7 (6-9)
Declan Duru Jr.F · Sophomore · #1663 ranked2 · 011.51.03.51.5100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)0.0 (0-2)
Michael SimcoeF · Sophomore · #2024 ranked2 · 110.02.50.50.033.3 (2-6)50.0 (1-2)— (0-0)
Luke ZuffelatoG · Sophomore · #2901 ranked2 · 08.51.01.00.525.0 (1-4)0.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-2)
Koat Keat TongF · Senior · #1977 ranked2 · 06.01.01.50.050.0 (1-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Jordan CharlesG · Freshman · #3538 ranked2 · 05.54.51.00.550.0 (3-6)0.0 (0-1)60.0 (3-5)
Marco John WuolC · Freshman2 · 04.01.01.00.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
John SimcoeF · Sophomore · #3067 ranked1 · 03.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Bryce BedgoodF · Sophomore2 · 02.51.52.00.00.0 (0-2)— (0-0)75.0 (3-4)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Aidan MahaneyG · SeniorReturning3114.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.7 ast
CJ ShawG · SophomoreReturning2812.2 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Antonio CholF · SeniorTransfer from New Mexico257.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.8 ast
RJ SmithG · SeniorTransfer from DePaul236.6 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast
Eric DibamiC · SophomoreTransfer from Florida International219.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Viljami VartiainenG · SeniorTransfer from Weber State2012.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast
Marvin McGhee IVG · SeniorReturning196.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast
Miro LittleG · SeniorReturning1911.9 pts · 5.4 reb · 4.6 ast
Declan Duru Jr.F · SophomoreTransfer from Texas131.2 pts · 1.2 reb · 0 ast
Michael SimcoeF · SophomoreReturning122.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast
Jordan CharlesG · FreshmanFreshman · #294 recruit8—
Koat Keat TongF · SeniorReturning72 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast
Luke ZuffelatoG · SophomoreReturning61 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast

Gone from last season: Colin Smith (11.9 ppg, to Northwestern), Jason Fontenet II (6.6 ppg, to Rhode Island), Zion Sensley (10.9 ppg, to Loyola Marymount), Hosana Kitenge (7.5 ppg), Zachiah Clark (3.1 ppg, to William & Mary), Evans Kipruto (2.6 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
1Miro LittleReturningGSenior6-4 · 195Tampere, Finland7.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G)11.9 pts · 5.4 reb · 4.6 ast (18 G)#173 · +1.51
9Eric DibamiTransfer from Florida InternationalCSophomore6-10 · 240Yaounde, Cameroon10.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)9.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 1.4 ast (30 G)#597 · +0.77
3CJ ShawReturningGSophomore6-5 · 190North Las Vegas, NV8.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)12.2 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.3 ast (32 G)#709 · +0.65
8Viljami VartiainenTransfer from Weber StateGSenior6-6 · 205Helsinki, Finland14.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)12.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.0 ast (26 G)#832 · +0.52
20Aidan MahaneyReturningGSenior6-3 · 185Lafayette, CA11.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)14.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.7 ast (32 G)#871 · +0.49
4Marvin McGhee IVReturningGSenior6-7 · 200Atlanta, GA7.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G)6.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast (28 G)#957 · +0.40
12Antonio CholTransfer from New MexicoFSenior6-9 · 215Buffalo, NY10.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)7.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.8 ast (37 G)#1164 · +0.27
5RJ SmithTransfer from DePaulGSenior6-3 · 195Chino, CA7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G)6.6 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast (32 G)#1201 · +0.26
10Declan Duru Jr.Transfer from TexasFSophomore6-8 · 230Munich, Germany1.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)1.2 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G)#1663 · +0.03
00Koat Keat TongReturningFSenior6-10 · 220Orange County, CA1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)2.0 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (15 G)#1977 · -0.11
23Michael SimcoeReturningFSophomore6-8 · 225Phoenix, AZ2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast (31 G)#2024 · -0.12
2Luke ZuffelatoReturningGSophomore6-5 · 200Santa Barbara, CA1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)1.0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast (10 G)#2901 · -0.45
21John SimcoeReturningFSophomore6-5 · 200Phoenix, AZ0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G)#3067 · -0.52
6Jordan CharlesFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 165Scarborough, ON4.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3538 · -0.73
7Marco John WuolFreshmanCFreshman6-11 · 220Munich, Germany1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
35Bryce BedgoodReturningFSophomore6-11 · 210Valencia, CA1.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsSan Francisco State(non-D1)W85-55Box score →
Nov 7vsOaklandW90-67Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 11vsNevadaProjected 72-76UCSB: 37% to win Compare
Nov 15vsUC Merced(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 19atPepperdineProjected 80-74UCSB: 69% to win Compare
Nov 24vsUNC GreensboroProjected 84-66UCSB: 94% to win Compare
Nov 27vs (N)LehighGratitude Thanksgiving ClassicProjected 78-67UCSB: 82% to win Compare
Dec 3atCal State BakersfieldConferenceProjected 83-69UCSB: 89% to win Compare
Dec 5vsCal PolyConferenceProjected 86-76UCSB: 80% to win Compare
Dec 12vs (N)YaleJack Jones ClassicProjected 76-72UCSB: 65% to win Compare
Dec 18vsWeber StateProjected 89-69UCSB: 96% to win Compare
Dec 22atFresno StateProjected 77-71UCSB: 69% to win Compare
Dec 31atCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 79-68UCSB: 82% to win Compare
Jan 2atUC RiversideConferenceProjected 77-69UCSB: 76% to win Compare
Jan 7vsCal State FullertonConferenceProjected 87-73UCSB: 88% to win Compare
Jan 9vsLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 81-67UCSB: 88% to win Compare
Jan 14atUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 78-79UCSB: 47% to win Compare
Jan 16atSacramento StateConferenceProjected 79-76UCSB: 59% to win Compare
Jan 21vsCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 84-73UCSB: 82% to win Compare
Jan 23vsCal State BakersfieldConferenceProjected 86-66UCSB: 96% to win Compare
Jan 28vsUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 76-72UCSB: 64% to win Compare
Jan 30vsUC IrvineConferenceProjected 78-73UCSB: 67% to win Compare
Feb 4atLong Beach StateConferenceProjected 78-70UCSB: 74% to win Compare
Feb 6atCal State FullertonConferenceProjected 84-76UCSB: 73% to win Compare
Feb 11vsUC RiversideConferenceProjected 80-66UCSB: 89% to win Compare
Feb 13vsCalifornia BaptistConferenceProjected 82-65UCSB: 92% to win Compare
Feb 18atCal State NorthridgeConferenceProjected 81-77UCSB: 64% to win Compare
Feb 20atCal PolyConferenceProjected 83-79UCSB: 62% to win Compare
Feb 25atUC IrvineConferenceProjected 75-76UCSB: 46% to win Compare
Feb 27atUC San DiegoConferenceProjected 73-75UCSB: 43% to win Compare
Mar 4vsSacramento StateConferenceProjected 82-73UCSB: 78% to win Compare
Mar 6vsUtah ValleyConferenceProjected 81-76UCSB: 68% to win Compare